Dingsheng Jinshi:8.18今日黄金走势分析，金价短期1783空头防守仍...

——8.18goldAnalysis——


Gold continued its decline and closed lower yesterday, with its highest rebound at1782.30Under pressure on the first line, hold on to the neck line of the low mouth, and the pressure will fall again to break through the low, breaking through1765to1759.80At a low level, the daily line touched the middle track of Bollinger Road and closed nearby. Today we still need to test the gains and losses of the medium track, and the current pace of the daily line is slightly slow and stagnant. Accompanied by a three consecutive negative pullback, it broke the previous weak upward pattern, but the space for pullback seems not too large, and it will be horizontal consolidation for a longer time.


　　消息方面：美联储联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)7月的会议记录显示，通胀消退的时间可能比预期的要长。未来加息的步伐将取决于未来出炉的经济数据，以及美联储就经济对之前加息的适应情况做出的评估。会议记录发布后，联邦基金利率futures交易员预计9Monthly interest rate increase50The probability of a basis point is57.5%。


Technical aspect:4Houtu walked out of the head and shoulder top falling shape, falling below1783Continuously descending after the neckline. At present, a small-scale two wave decline has also been constructed, relying on1807Make one wave high point, while the small period two wave high points are1786.70.This is also the reason why we have been bearish below this level this week, as the critical point has not recovered and the short-term trend remains bearish. The hour chart shows a step like oscillation decline, but the pace is relatively slow. The step decline is characterized by a chronic oscillation. After sorting out the hour chart at the beginning of the week, the moving average indicator has turned downward, and the short-term thinking for the day relies on it1783Make a defensive rebound and bear short first, breaking the low point in the hourly chart1770-1772形成阻力，今日短线在阻力处反弹看空。


　　具体操作策略参考：


Gold:1770-1772Air defense1782.50target1760-1753.


　　——8.18crude oilAnalysis——


　　美油昨日低位震荡，如预期的进行“盘底”过程，晚间EIA数据大幅缩减，也给美油带来回弹动能，但日线最终也只还是收得一十字星线，不过这也符合预期的“盘底”过程需要。日线结构上，美油此前预期86-85区域内会有止跌以及反复震荡盘底过程，目前来看前两日行情对86均有刺破动作，但并未在其下逗留太久，但短线反弹动能也不是很强，说明当前市场情绪是消沉的，基本面没有绝对利好的情况下，多头信心难以建立起来，所以未来美油可以持看低位震荡盘整蓄势待发的过程，等待基本面的利多消息来刺激，带来波段级别的反弹可能。但也要注意基本面方面随时可能调转方向的风险。


　　操作上，日内美油可尝试进行短多参与，参考回踩87-86.8、86.3/2附近轻仓短多，如果有效跌回86The following manual stop loss, let's take a look at the target first5Daily line88.0-3Reduce positions nearby, change to break even and stop loss, and hold the remaining orders for further review89、90附近再做减仓。


Serve as an analyst and commentator for well-known financial channels such as "Golden Net" and "Globalforeign exchange》Professional contributors to several well-known financial forums such as "Huitong Net" and "Zhongjin Net", specializing in short, medium, and long term operations of gold, crude oil, and silver. Investment is risky, and caution should be exercised when entering the market. Suggestions are for reference only; This article is original by Dingsheng Jinshi, who carefully writes every analysis and conveys valuable investment concepts. If there is any similarity, it is purely plagiarism. Readers should be discerning and respect originality!