Analysis of the latest trend of spot gold international crude oil Operation suggestions

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Analysis of the latest gold market:

Analysis of Gold News: Tuesday（8month16日）亚市盘初，现货黄金在1780关口下方徘徊，目前交投于1777.35dollar/盎司附近，隔夜美元指数大幅上涨，创下一周新高，对金价打压明显，金价一度跌至1770关口附近，日K线图在相对高位出现“看跌吞没”的顶部信号，投资者需要提防金价的进一步下跌风险。分析师表示：“黄金一直停留在1800美元附近，周一美元走强正推动黄金和整个大宗商品市场下跌。现在黄金交投很谨慎，美联储将继续加息......投资者确实预期利率即将提高。”高级分析师在一份报告中称，在中国经济数据疲软之后，黄金和白银价格也因需求担忧而降低。分析师指出，美元的避险需求再次盖过了黄金的避险需求，而且美元指数上涨0.8%，使黄金和其他以美元定价的大宗商品对海外买家来说更加昂贵。整体来看，对全球经济衰退的担忧情绪有所升温，而同时对美元的避险需求大幅回升，对金价打压明显，黄金技术面出现了一些顶部信号，而且失守了10Daily moving average1785附近支撑，可能会进一步试探布林线中轨1750关口附近支撑。不过，地缘局势依然紧张，仍需留意避险买盘和逢低买盘的支撑情况，密切关注市场对美联储加息预期的变化。

From a technical perspective, gold rebounded after a weekly fluctuation and decline;KDJGold fork, the price of gold rebounded near the offline track of the Bollinger Line, with a bias towards further exploring the mid track of the Bollinger Line in the future1857.69Nearby resistance. However,MACDThe dead cross signal is still on, pay attention5Posterior mean square1771.91Nearby support, if it falls below this position, it will weaken the bullish signal in the future. The daily level fluctuates and rises;MACDThe golden cross crosses the zero axis and the Bollinger Line is initially open. The gold price is expected to move upwards along the Bollinger Line track in the future, with preliminary resistance reference1800At the checkpoint, last week's high point resistance1807.22Nearby, further resistance continues to refer to7month4Daily high point1814.16Nearby,6month30Resistance to daily highs1824.98Nearby;100Daily moving average resistance1836.26Nearby. However,KDJThe high dead cross signal is still continuing, and the gold price has not effectively broken through for multiple trading days1800At the critical juncture, it is also necessary to guard against the risk of a return to a downward trend, with initial support in the10Daily moving average1784.68Nearby, then8month8Daily low point support at1770.58附近，若失守该支撑，则增加短线看空信号。综上所述，黄金今日操作思路上秦泽冉建议反弹高空为主，回调低多为辅，上方重点关注1785-1790Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1765-1760Frontline support. The article can only provide you with a temporary direction and ideas. As for the specific entry point and timing of settlement, please pay attention to Qin Zeran's firm offer and it will be provided in real time.

　　crude oilLatest market analysis:

　　原油最新行情分析：周二（8month16At the beginning of the Asian market, Meiyou is currently reporting88.39dollar/桶；油价周一下跌超4%，一度创逾半年新低至86.81dollar/桶，受累于全球经济衰退担忧，将导致燃料需求减少，加之伊朗正式回应欧盟提出的核协议文本，伊核协议或将达成，伊朗原油重回市场预期影响。在暗示距离与美国达成核协议更进一步，并恢复伊朗面向全球市场的石油出口后，伊朗在北京时间今日凌晨表示已就欧盟方面提出的核协议草案文本发出正式回应。伊朗学生通讯社援引“知情人士”的话称，伊朗对最新协议草案的立场已传达给欧盟首席特使博雷尔，并且将在未来两天内收到欧盟方面的答复，但没有透露更多细节。周一早些时候，伊朗外长表示，“如果美国表现出切实的态度和灵活性”，就可以在未来几天内与美国达成协议，恢复履行核协议。总体来看，油价短线重点关注伊核谈判最终文本出炉，若伊核协议达成，伊朗原油重回市场，加之俄石油出口税下调，油价或进一步下探，但也需警惕俄乌紧张局势进一步上升的风险。

　　原油技术面分析：原油昨日开盘即是弱势下跌，盘中一度阴跌了一天，从亚盘反弹92.0附近承压之后一路极弱下跌，且破位了前期低点87.0.且日线收在低位。日线仍处于下行通道中运行。上周在反弹通道上轨处承压后，本周开盘即走出弱势下跌。日线看空延续。4小时图一波连阴线直接下行走低并破位，尾盘伴随两根小阳线修正，从结构上来看，重新构造了依托95.0做高点的台阶下行通道，小时图昨晚尾盘的反弹高点在89.50.通常一波趋势的延续，前一日尾盘反弹的高点就是隔日的强弱临界点，弱势的话不过尾盘高。综合来看，原油今日短线操作思路上秦泽冉建议以回踩低多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期重点关注92.2-92.7Frontline resistance, short-term focus below87.7-87.2Frontline support.

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This article is originally contributed by Qin Zeran. I interpret world economic news, analyze global investment trends, and conduct in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, and silver. Due to the delay of network push, the above contents are personal suggestions. Since the network documents are timely, the suggestions are only for reference, and operational risk is borne by yourself! Reproduction and plagiarism without permission are strictly prohibited.