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goldMessage interpretation:
国际黄金大跌1.5%,盘中创新低跌至1772.8美元,回吐上一个交易日全部涨势,1800美元仍是黄金技术上重大关口压力位。美联储决策者针对抗通胀和加息的前景发表鹰派言论支撑美元反弹,进一步打压了黄金。
In terms of data, the United States7月进口物价七个月来首次下降,受助于美元走强以及燃料和非燃料成本下降,与此同时,8月消费者一年通胀预期下降,这是物价压力可能已经触顶的最新迹象。密西根大学的一项调查显示,8月美国消费者信心从今年夏天早些时候的纪录低位进一步回升,在能源价格大幅下降的背景下,美国家庭的短期通胀预期再次下降。尽管7Monthly inflation has declined, but Federal Reserve policymakers remain vigilant about the inflation situation. Richmond Fed Chairman Barkin Last Friday(8month12day)表示,他希望进一步提高利率以控制通胀,“我希望看到通胀在一段时间内得到控制。在此之前,我认为我们将不惜抑制经济增长也要加息。
本周,市场将会重点关注美国零售数据,以及美联储上月的议息纪录,目前市场预期美国7The monthly retail sales rate will vary from6Month on month growth1%Decline to month on month increase0.1%,或将加剧市场对经济衰退的担忧,有望给金价提供进一步上涨动能。
Today's Focus:
09:30澳洲联储公布货币政策会议纪要
14:00britain6Three months in a monthILOunemployment rate
14:00britain7Monthly unemployment rate
14:00britain7Number of applicants for monthly unemployment benefits
17:00Germany8monthZEWEconomic Sentiment Index
17:00eurozone8monthZEWEconomic Sentiment Index
17:00eurozone6Monthly adjusted trade account
20:30Canada7monthCPIMonthly rate
20:30U.S.A7Annualized total monthly construction of new houses
20:30U.S.A7Total monthly construction permits
21:15U.S.A7Monthly industrial output rate
Technical analysis of gold:
How does gold fluctuate? It hasn't exceeded the limit in the past week1798reach1805Short selling in the region. Yesterday, gold fluctuated and fell all the way since the opening, indicating that the bearish trend is still evident, which means1800Limited upside space, ready to decline at any time30reach40The US dollar range is very easy. Last week, we attacked the station in the middle of the night1800Regional, but there was no correlation with Monday's rise, indicating a clear bullish trend, with consecutive breakdowns yesterday5Rihe10The daily moving average indicates a decline in upward momentum and downward pressure1788reach1795Area.
Looking back at the market last week, although gold surged, most of the time it was1798reach1805区域压力下,冲高回落走势,指南金师始终坚持高空昨日又是近30The trend of the US dollar adjustment is familiar to the market. Recently, there has been a surge in prices, with raids in the early hours of the night. The next day, warm water is turned on to cook frogs, and the surge has dropped,1787Fall to1753Area, followed by1794Fall to1765Area, rear1808Fall to1783Regions, all close30The US dollar fell and adjusted, so yesterday1802reach1772Also30USD range. Only a break1765Only then can we open up the downward space.
Yesterday was international againETFThe main force is reducing its holdings, looking at what international giants are doing in the gold rebound7After the monthly interest rate hike rebounded, the main force has been to reduce holdings every time it rebounded, only once7month29Daily breakthrough1750Increase your holdings a bit, but then continue to decrease your holdings, which indicates that2070Falling continuously for six months to1680near400After the US dollar range, it is not optimistic about the future upward trend to push up and reduce holdings. It is expected that there will be lower positions to buy at the bottom and increase holdings in the future. We must take a warning from this high selling and low buying, and a slight amplification of the bearish situation can lead to a flash crash.
Currently, gold does not have a bullish market foundation, and both daily and monthly trading lines are bearish control. Simple moving averages are temporarily staggered without long positions, and even key pressure positions have not broken. Why is a bull market? Moreover, even if the bull market rises and rebounds in the first wave120The US dollar range also requires a second round of retesting to solidify the bottom support, so that we can go further in the later stage and only reach those who are destined. That's all I've said to tell you at this moment1800Don't chase too much on the market, there's not much room for growth, and there's always room for decline80reach100US dollars, every time we change the price, we always add a space to drive in. The flight attendant drives until nothing grows. If you still hesitate, we can only haha! Last week, I gave you expectations.
The time-sharing chart has actually deviated from the short selling signal,1790reach1798Continuous deviation in the region indicates that the1685I have basically completed the five steps of doing long signals all the way, and yesterday, I went down to the ground and broke the level for a day. I sorted it out horizontally for a week1784Region, so the top to bottom transition here is still a short space region, with concentrated pressure during time sharing1788reach1795Region, which means that as long as1795The consolidation of the lower horizontal market is all due to bearish control of the rebound market, with a target of two dips and one dip1765reach1750Since the market is adjusting under critical pressure, it's good for you to make a rebound and short the trend.
Gold rebound1784-88One line empty, loss release1793, Objective1770-65。
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