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Guide Metallographer:8.12今日黄金走势分析,高位盘整,高抛低吸为主

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  goldMessage interpretation:


Friday(8month12day)The international gold price remains firm, but the rebound in the US dollar index limits the upward space for gold prices. The market continues to believe that the United States7The weakening of monthly inflation pressure is unlikely to prompt the Federal Reserve to change its monetary policy path, and the rise of non yield asset gold still faces constraints.


Thursday(8month11day)According to published data, the United States7Monthly Producer Price Index(PPI)年率显著下降,月率更是意外收缩。美国7monthPPI数据表现与大幅回落的CPI数据合拍。


  通胀可能已经见顶的迹象,继续引发人们猜测,美联储可能会采取不那么激进的紧缩政策。利率futuresTraders currently expect that the Federal Reserve9Monthly interest rate increase at least50Basis points, interest rate hike75The probability of a basis point is35.5%。


  但旧金山联储主席戴利表示,尽管9Monthly interest rate increase0.5个百分点“是有道理的”,她对继续通过更大幅度加息控制通胀的可能性持开放态度。她说她不想被最近通胀读数改善“蒙蔽”。


  戴利指出:“我们还有很多工作要做。我只是不想做得太被动,以至于我们发现自己破坏了劳动力市场。”她还表示,将关注接下来的消费者价格和非农薪资数据,以更好地调整其决定。


  戴利还推翻了美联储在本轮加息后的迅速降息预期。她说:“我不会让利率走出驼峰形态,我考虑将它们提高到我们认为合适的水平,然后将它们保持在那里。”


  道明证券的策略师认为:“黄金实物需求强劲可能加剧空头回补反弹……但金价现在需要突破1830美元,才能吸引趋势投资者进一步做多计划。”


  与此同时,在投资者对美联储下一步举措进行重新定价之际,美元可能会遭受一些额外的波动。从宏观角度来看,美元似乎受到了美联储与多数G10Monetary Central Bank(Especially the European Central Bank)Supported by policy differences.


Today's Focus:


  13:30France Q2ILOunemployment rate


  14:00UK Q2GDPAnnual rate correction value


  14:00britain6Three months in a monthGDPMonthly rate


  14:00britain6Monthly manufacturing output rate


  14:00britain6Commodity Trade Account after Monthly Adjustment


  14:00britain6Monthly industrial output rate


  14:45France7monthCPIMonthly rate


  17:00eurozone6Monthly industrial output rate


  20:30U.S.A7Monthly Import Price Index Monthly Rate


  22:00U.S.A8Initial monthly University of Michigan consumer confidence index


Technical analysis of gold:


Overnight BeautyCPIThe slowdown in data has weakened market expectations for a strong interest rate hike in the US dollar, and the US dollar has fallen. However, gold has not shown a significant rebound, and the upward pressure is measured to1807/8The first line immediately stopped, and then chose to fall back due to the rebound of the US dollar and the pressure of its own technical structure, falling back to1790Nearby oscillation, there is an overcast star line with an upward shadow in the vicinity of the daily line. On the hourly chart, the expected state of gold following the technological trend overnight is more obvious,CPIShort term increase after data, breaking through1800However, it is under pressure at the trend line, and thus gold has entered an end state in both short-term and ultra short-term structures, facing pressure repair. Subsequently, the market has also undergone downward adjustments as expected, and the current market has fallen back to1790Below, trading at1785Nearby. The short-term trend is also moving towards further adjustment.


You can follow above the daily gold1795Nearby short term pressure, as long as the gold market does not return to this level, the overall technical bias of the gold market is still obvious. If there is no interference from the fundamentals, even if the market is on this level1795Above, there is also1800Suppression, as long as one does not stand above this position, there are still conditions to adjust. Focus on trend line support for the day below1785Nearby, but the main support may fall on1778Nearby, this position is also10Support near the daily line, once this position is lost, it can be seen again in the later golden period1770Nearby retreat is expected, and the expected level of adjustment will not be significant, so the downward route may not be as smooth. In the short term, due to the expected technical pullback in the gold market, the main focus is on continuing to hold short and choosing high or short positions. Currently, before the demand for daily level deviation adjustment is fully released, many orders are temporarily not considered for participation.


Overnight already1800The empty order above is currently available in the1780-1785Reduce positions or stop profits, keep some orders for review1770Next, we will do a stop profit. Here, we must do a stop profit for empty orders. Currently, the market is only adjusting to the previous gains, and if there is a decline, we also need to rebound. In summary, today's gold operation guidelines suggest that bullish rebounds should be the main focus, while bearish pullbacks should be the secondary focus, with short-term attention from above1800-1802Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1770-1775Frontline support.


Empty order strategy:


Gold rebound:1797-1800Short selling in batches nearby, stop loss5Points, target1790-1780Nearby, break down and take a look1775-1770First line (recommended for reference only!)


Multiple order strategy:


Gold Callback:1783-1778Batch long nearby, stop loss5Points, target1790-1793Nearby, break down and take a look1798-1803First line (recommended for reference only!)


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