Guide Metallographer:8.12今日黄金走势分析，黄金严重顶背离待修复

Market Review:


InternationalgoldThursday(8month11day)Maintain a volatile trend, opening price1797.83dollar/Ounces, highest price1799.89dollar/Ounces, lowest price1783.35dollar/Ounces, closing price1790.24dollar/ounce.


Interpretation of the Golden News:


　　美联储方面，旧金山联储主席戴利在接受采访时表示，不排除美联储在9monthFOMC会议上连续第三次加息75个基点，将密切关注8月非农和CPI数据。戴利坚称，到今年年底，联邦基金利率应该会升至略低于3.5%的水平，同时，戴利驳斥了投资者关于美联储明年将突然开始降息的预期。虽然7monthCPI数据回落，但近期美联储官员集体鹰派，认为仍需要较长时间观察通胀回落的证据，这为9Monthly interest rate increase75个基点带来支撑。


United States7monthPPIMonthly rate recorded-0.5%，自全球公共卫生事件初期以来首次下降，加之周三公布的美国7monthCPI增速放缓，助长了市场对通胀见顶的预期。


　　昨日晚间公布的美国初请失业金人数超过前值再次上升，接近去年11月以来的最高水平，这表明劳动力市场继续放缓。数据显示，美国截至8month6The number of initial claims for unemployment benefits in the current week is26.210000 people, the former value is26万人，市场预期为26.3万人。续请失业金人数为142.810000 people, the former value is141.6万人，市场预期为140.7万人。虽然上周非农数据表现亮眼，但从初请失业金的人数不断增加上，也可以窥见美国劳动力市场的隐忧，虽然目前还未能动摇美联储加息的信心，但如果未来伴随失业率抬头，则有可能加重市场对于经济的担忧。


Today's Focus:


　　13:30France Q2ILOunemployment rate


　　14:00UK Q2GDPAnnual rate correction value


　　14:00britain6Three months in a monthGDPMonthly rate


　　14:00britain6Monthly manufacturing output rate


　　14:00britain6Commodity Trade Account after Monthly Adjustment


　　14:00britain6Monthly industrial output rate


　　14:45France7monthCPIMonthly rate


　　17:00eurozone6Monthly industrial output rate


　　20:30U.S.A7Monthly Import Price Index Monthly Rate


　　22:00U.S.A8Initial monthly University of Michigan consumer confidence index


Technical analysis of gold:


Overnight BeautyCPIThe slowdown in data has weakened market expectations for a strong interest rate hike in the US dollar, and the US dollar has fallen. However, gold has not shown a significant rebound, and the upward pressure is measured to1807/8The first line immediately stopped, and then chose to fall back due to the rebound of the US dollar and the pressure of its own technical structure, falling back to1790Nearby oscillation, there is an overcast star line with an upward shadow in the vicinity of the daily line. On the hourly chart, the expected state of gold following the technological trend overnight is more obvious,CPIShort term increase after data, breaking through1800However, it is under pressure at the trend line, and thus gold has entered an end state in both short-term and ultra short-term structures, facing pressure repair. Subsequently, the market has also undergone downward adjustments as expected, and the current market has fallen back to1790Below, trading at1785Nearby. The short-term trend is also moving towards further adjustment.


You can follow above the daily gold1795Nearby short term pressure, as long as the gold market does not return to this level, the overall technical bias of the gold market is still obvious. If there is no interference from the fundamentals, even if the market is on this level1795Above, there is also1800Suppression, as long as one does not stand above this position, there are still conditions to adjust. Focus on trend line support for the day below1785Nearby, but the main support may fall on1778Nearby, this position is also10Support near the daily line, once this position is lost, it can be seen again in the later golden period1770Nearby retreat is expected, and the expected level of adjustment will not be significant, so the downward route may not be as smooth. In the short term, due to the expected technical pullback in the gold market, the main focus is on continuing to hold short and choosing high or short positions. Currently, before the demand for daily level deviation adjustment is fully released, many orders are temporarily not considered for participation.


Overnight already1800The empty order above is currently available in the1780-1785Reduce positions or stop profits, keep some orders for review1770Next, we will do a stop profit. Here, we must do a stop profit for empty orders. Currently, the market is only adjusting to the previous gains, and if there is a decline, we also need to rebound. In summary, today's gold operation guidelines suggest that bullish rebounds should be the main focus, while bearish pullbacks should be the secondary focus, with short-term attention from above1800-1802Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1770-1775Frontline support.


Empty order strategy:


Gold rebound:1797-1800Short selling in batches nearby, stop loss5Points, target1790-1780Nearby, break down and take a look1775-1770First line (recommended for reference only!)


Multiple order strategy:


Gold Callback:1783-1778Batch long nearby, stop loss5Points, target1790-1793Nearby, break down and take a look1798-1803First line (recommended for reference only!)


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