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Always stay on the front line of investment and maintain a scientific attitude towards the investment market! Refuse to be blind, refuse to be ambiguous - Hello everyone,I am Teacher Qin Zeran!
There are no unprofitable investments, only immature operational models and precise and unique market structure analysis. I amgoldSenior analyst Qin Zeran is proficient in the band trend operation of the gold market, daily high and low short-term operations, has years of in-depth research on the rhythm of the market, has a bold and unrestrained personality, and sharp and accurate trading techniques. Over the years of employment, I have diligently helped countless friends who have fallen into confusion in their investments to get out of the mud. If you have any difficulties, Zeran has clever solutions!
Analysis of the latest gold market:
Analysis of gold news: Thursday(8month11day),现货黄金探底回升,美国7月通胀数据明显低于预期,促使交易员调降美联储激进加息前景。经济衰退担忧也给金市带来支撑,尽管美联储政策制定者强调抗通胀远未取得胜利。美国7monthCPIUp year-on-year8.5%, much lower than the previous value9.1%,也低于预期。这为过去两年一直目睹物价大幅攀升的美国人提供了明显的通胀缓解迹象。交易员调降美联储9月政策会议连续第三次75个基点加息预期,他们现在认为加息0.5个百分点是更有可能的选择,并预计2023年下半年开始降息。美联储是否必须以牺牲实体经济为代价,在较长期采取激进的货币政策,以抵御通胀的持续上行风险?美联储是否能够通过严格的短期加息来防止通胀势头持续?目前,市场似乎倾向于后一种情况。在某种程度上,美联储已经“做得够多了”,届时美元将不再有进一步的动力。
黄金技术面分析:隔夜美CPIThe slowdown in data has weakened market expectations for a strong interest rate hike in the US dollar, and the US dollar has fallen. However, gold has not shown a significant rebound, and the upward pressure is measured to1807/8The first line immediately stopped, and then chose to fall back due to the rebound of the US dollar and the pressure of its own technical structure, falling back to1790Nearby oscillation, there is an overcast star line with an upward shadow in the vicinity of the daily line. On the hourly chart, the expected state of gold following the technological trend overnight is more obvious,CPIShort term increase after data, breaking through1800However, it is under pressure at the trend line, and thus gold has entered an end state in both short-term and ultra short-term structures, facing pressure repair. Subsequently, the market has also undergone downward adjustments as expected, and the current market has fallen back to1790Below, trading at1785Nearby. The short-term trend is also moving towards further adjustment.
You can follow above the daily gold1795Nearby short term pressure, as long as the gold market does not return to this level, the overall technical bias of the gold market is still obvious. If there is no interference from the fundamentals, even if the market is on this level1795Above, there is also1800Suppression, as long as one does not stand above this position, there are still conditions to adjust. Focus on trend line support for the day below1785Nearby, but the main support may fall on1778Nearby, this position is also10Support near the daily line, once this position is lost, it can be seen again in the later golden period1770Nearby retreat is expected, and the expected level of adjustment will not be significant, so the downward route may not be as smooth. In the short term, due to the expected technical pullback in the gold market, the main focus is on continuing to hold short and choosing high or short positions. Currently, before the demand for daily level deviation adjustment is fully released, many orders are temporarily not considered for participation.
Overnight already1800The empty order above is currently available in the1780-1785Reduce positions or stop profits, keep some orders for review1770附近再做止盈,此处空单一定要做止盈,目前行情也只是对前面涨幅的调整,有回落也需要反弹。综上所述,今日黄金操作思路上秦泽冉建议反弹高空为主,回调做多为辅,上方短期关注1800-1802Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1770-1775Frontline support. The article can only provide you with a temporary direction and ideas. As for the specific entry point and timing of settlement, please pay attention to Qin Zeran's firm offer and it will be provided in real time.
crude oilLatest market analysis:
Analysis of crude oil news: Thursday(8month11day),国际油价持坚,尽管供应中断担忧有所缓解,但仍有一些分散迹象表明需求强劲,市场正寻找燃料需求改善的新证据,就供需前景达成新的共识。美国能源信息署隔夜公布的最新数据显示,美国原油库存在最近一周大增545.8万桶,增幅远超预期的73000桶。最近一周汽油产品供应量上升至每天910万桶,但过去4周需求与去年同期相比下降了6%。与此同时,世界各地原油现货价格开始伴随futures价格下跌,反映出俄罗斯主导的供应中断担忧缓解。夏季驾驶旺季美国汽油需求低于往常,表明高油价削减了全球主要石油消费国的消费量,对全球经济潜在放缓担忧加剧。
原油技术面分析:原油价格近期保持低位震荡的走势,价格触底87美元一线之后,多次向下试探,均未能下破,下方支撑强劲。日线级别,布林带开口,价格多次受到下轨附近支撑,形成低位横盘整理走势,而昨日的探底回升使得价格有了进一步上涨的势头,早间开盘价格延续昨日上涨,短线有试探布林中轨一线可能。4小时,布林带开口向上,价格连续阳线震荡上行,日内有打开上轨走高的趋势,而日内需要关注的是上方92.5一线阻力的破位情况,一旦上破,价格大概率会冲击95.5一线,日内操作思路上回调做多即可,下方关注91-91.5附近支撑。综合来看,原油今日短线操作思路上秦泽冉建议以回踩低多为主,反弹高空为辅,上方短期重点关注95.5-96.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below92.1-91.6Frontline support.
I believe everyone has seen too many analysts who show their profits in various markets, but Qin Zeran does not have magnificent profits. His strategy is publicly disclosed by friends every day, and the strategy is accurate and verified by the market situation. Keeping up is earning! No one earns every day, but someone earns every day. The difference lies in whether that person is you! There are many friends who have added Qin Zeran and are always skeptical about Qin Zeran's strategy. Is Teacher Qin's strategy accurate? Am I following or not? What should I do if I lose? I'll take a look again. Then the market came, others made a profit, and you lost. You always miss one opportunity after another in a skeptical wait and see, and then miss the next opportunity in a sigh of regret, so repeatedly that you lose the whole game. As an investor, we should remember our original intention of coming to this market and not let all our efforts go to waste. We should take cooperation and win-win as the starting point, cultivate and promote a healthy, harmonious and standardized trading philosophy, fundamentally eliminate non-performing trading models and order taking models, and truly achieve mutual benefit.
This article is originally contributed by Qin Zeran. I interpret world economic news, analyze global investment trends, and conduct in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, and silver. Due to the delay of network push, the above contents are personal suggestions. Since the network documents are timely, the suggestions are only for reference, and operational risk is borne by yourself! Reproduction and plagiarism without permission are strictly prohibited.
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