Guide Metallographer:8.11goldCPI数据落地，黄金买预期卖事实

　　goldMessage interpretation:


Thursday(8month11day)，国际金价下跌，因美债收益率反弹，增加持有非孳息资产黄金的机会成本。尽管美国通胀出现放缓迹象，但美联储官员评论指出将进一步加息。


　　由于汽油成本急剧下降，美国7月份消费价格上行速度大幅放缓，提振美联储激进加息政策放松预期，美指隔夜一度重挫近1.6%to6New low since the end of the month104.634。


　　但美指隔夜收盘回补部分跌势，金价则从盘中录得的一个多月来的最高水平1807.72dollar/盎司回落收跌。美联储决策者指出，他们将继续收紧货币政策，直到价格压力完全消除。


　　富国银行分析师认为，在美联储开始相信它正在成功控制物价上涨压力之前，通胀数据还需要继续降温几次。他们预计，9月份美联储会议上至少会加息50Basis points.


　　ED&F Man Capital MarketsanalystEdward Meir表示：“隔夜美国通胀数据公布后，美元大幅下挫，美债收益率也下降，但临近收盘债券收益率回升，美元现在略微走强，这正在损害金价。此外，美联储官员表示，他们仍需要加息，这对黄金不利。我们可能会看到金价在短期内回落至1780US dollars. "


　　金价现在回落至1800美元关口下方，多头有理由在重新上涨前保持谨慎。尽管如此，任何有意义的回调仍可能被视为买入机会，全球经济衰退担忧仍然支撑金价。


　　在道明证券策略师看来，大规模商品交易顾问(CTA)购买计划可能会加剧黄金涨势，“美国通胀数据低于预期，可能会引发大量做多交易。尽管随着相关的地缘政治风险消退，交易员正在抛售他们最近增持的黄金头寸，但新的CTA购买可能会抵消这种压力……在宏观面临不利因素再次打压金价之前，价格可能会走高。”


Today's Focus:


　　14:00Germany6Monthly and quarterly adjustment of current account


　　20:30U.S.A7monthPPIMonthly rate


　　20:30From the United States to8month6Number of initial claims for unemployment benefits in the current week


Technical analysis of gold:


Gold reached a slight high yesterday and then closed flat, with a daily yield of slightly higherKLine, highest probe1807dollar|Ounces, the integer level has reached, with a slight decline in the end of the day and still closing at1794Nearby, previous high point. The daily line is currently entering a stage of being bullish to cautious. After releasing space through continuous rebounds, there is gradually resistance to suppress upward, and currently there is still a competition between rebounds and trend reversals. On the two trading days of this week, it was characterized by a seesaw oscillation, with a weak outlook and a fluctuation above the upward trend line. Insufficient spatial continuity and twists and turns. On a weekly basis, this week is the fourth week of rebound, with clear signs of weakness in strength. The weekly line may be accompanied by a double step back to confirm support. The common method of sawing and washing in volatile market conditions.4The hourly chart temporarily maintains stability and operates within the ascending channel, with repeated twists and turns, but the attached figureMACDUnable to reach new heights, causing the short-term rhythm to start sawing. At present, Bollinger Road has also started to close. Combining with yesterday's approach, although there has been a slight increase, sustainability is a problem, not unilateral, but rather presented in a fluctuating form for a longer period of time. It is difficult to achieve a one-sided market and space that is determined by the combination of space and form. The uncertainty of the long and short positions of the US dollar also makes it more difficult to determine the short-term range of gold. Perhaps it will be accompanied by a sawing and vibrating dish washing for a long time. In summary, the guidelines for today's gold operation are as follows: the gold teacher suggests focusing on rebounding from high altitude, with a short term focus on the upper part of the bullish market1802-1807Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1780-1775Frontline support.


Empty order strategy:


Gold rebound:1797-1800Short selling in batches nearby, stop loss5Points, target1790-1780Nearby, break down and take a look1775-1770First line (recommended for reference only!)


Multiple order strategy:


Gold Callback:1783-1778Batch long nearby, stop loss5Points, target1790-1793Nearby, break down and take a look1798-1803First line (recommended for reference only!)


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