Guide Metallographer:8.10今日黄金走势分析，周三市场静待CPI数据出炉

　　goldMessage interpretation:


　　由于此前的非农表现暗示美国的劳动力市场依然强劲，这可能会打消美联储的忧虑而继续采取大力度加息，也使得上周五的金价一度出现大幅回落。不过在本周重新开盘后，黄金还是逐步企稳了支撑后反弹，目前大有再次冲击1800大关的迹象，但要观察本周后市的一些关键数据情况，尤其是通胀方面的数据。


　　指南金师现货黄金参考新闻：市场参与者不断在通胀忧虑或增长衰退担忧之间来回切换。当公布的数据表明经济具有弹性时，钟摆会转向通胀，交易员会预计美联储更快加息。当数据令人失望时，经济衰退担忧占主导地位，美联储快速加息预期下降。


　　周三关注数据：


　　04:30From the United States to8month5Day and WeekAPIcrude oilstock(10000 barrels)


　　09:30China7monthCPIthe annual rate


　　14:00Germany7monthCPIMonthly rate final value


　　20:30U.S.A7Monthly and quarterly adjustmentsCPIthe annual rate


　　20:30U.S.A7After adjusting the roseCPIMonthly rate


　　20:30U.S.A7Monthly and quarterly adjustment coreCPIthe annual rate


　　22:00U.S.A6Monthly wholesale sales rate


　　22:30From the United States to8month5Day and WeekEIACrude oil inventory(10000 barrels)


　　22:30From the United States to8month5Day and WeekEIA战略石油储备库存(10000 barrels)


　　指南金师提别提醒：日内的市场基本面主要集中在美国的经济数据为主，不过重要程度不高，所以预计不会对金价产生太大的影响，目前应该会把焦点放在明晚的通胀数据身上，这对于美联储后续的加息力度会极具参考价值。


Technical analysis of gold:


　　昨日金价技术面企稳1770关口震荡迎来多头震荡上行修复，欧盘小幅冲高刺破1779一线承压快速回落二次回踩下探至1772一线企稳回升，晚间多头进一步反弹走高强势突破1780关口延续走强，并在凌晨震荡上行刺破1789一线强势收盘，日k线报收探底回升反包中阳，整体价格在1770上方再度出现强势企稳形态，今日短线价格还有进一步冲高上行预期，上方压力关注上周五开跌口1794上方，近期整体走势依旧处于多空震荡循环节奏，并非多头极强形态，今日冲高依旧可空一次再看回落震荡下方支撑关注1779关口，日内依托此区间继续看震荡。


　　从黄金盘面走势来看周线上在反弹触及到前期的压力位附近之后开始回落，在周线走势上连续的反弹完成之后大概率已经完成对于前期下跌的反弹修正，在周线走势上可能会开启第五浪下跌。在日线走势上非农之后大幅下跌几乎吞没掉上个交易日的涨幅，在H4级别走势上跌破前期的高位震荡区间自后惯性下跌，尾盘的一波小幅反弹基本完成技术形态的修复，黄金具备二次下跌的空间。高位冲高跳水，短期10average1780下成为反压，触及逢高空试探，下方留意66Daily moving average1753一线；黄金小时线级别：隔夜冲高回落，黄金承压1794-99，下方短期通道支撑1775-70一线，那么操作上可以依托1794-99分批空，综上所述，今日黄金操作思路上指南金师建议反弹做空为主，回调做多为辅，上方短期关注1794-1799Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1775-1770Frontline support.


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