Guide Metallographer:8.8今日黄金走势分析，多头仍等待CPI确认

　　goldMessage interpretation:


　　上周五黄金承压，金价从最近一个月高位遇阻回落，指南金师认为，金价下跌主要因美国7月份非农数据表现靓丽，这导致市场对美联储在9Monthly interest rate hike75个基点的预期大幅升温，推动美元与美债收益率反弹，给黄金造成了一定压力，不过当天日K线录得一根带较长下影线的阴线，以及日内黄金一度反弹，都暗示下方存在较强支撑，这是因为当前地缘局势继续紧张，仍有一些逢低买盘在支撑金价。


　　展望后市，本周市场焦点开始转向美国7monthCPI数据，早些时候公布的美国6月通胀，创造最近40年以来的新高，虽然目前市场预期7monthCPIdata8.9%, compared to6Of the month9.1%有所下降，但也将创造40年以来的次高水平，若最后公布的数据结果符合预期，甚至高于预期乃至前值，都将进一步加强美联储在9Monthly interest rate increase75个基点的预期，而在显然对金价不利。


　　消息方面，上周公布的美国7月非农数据表现靓丽，新增非农就业岗位52.8万，远高于前值以及市场预期，是今年2月份以来的最大增幅，超过所有经济学家的预期，这大大缓解了市场对美国经济衰退的担忧情绪，推动美元大涨，美债收益率普遍上涨，美联储在9Monthly interest rate hike75个基点的概率，从数据公布前的38%，上升至数据公布后的68%，美联储理事鲍曼也在周六发表讲话，表示美联储应该考虑在未来的会议上多次加息75个基点。虽然市场看空因素大幅增加，但金价跌幅相对有限，因地缘紧张局势，吸引黄金避险买盘


Technical analysis of gold:


Last week, gold first rebounded, followed by a correction, and then experienced an abnormal upward movement before non agricultural activities. However, on Friday, the non agricultural unexpected beauty triggered a significant rebound in gold. Prior to the unexpected rebound, the daily line closed with a negative line and the weekly line closed with a small positive line. The pressure was measured to10Near the weekly moving average, according to the weekly structure, short-term gains may be temporarily postponed. It is highly likely that there will be some correction adjustments this week, but the space is not expected to be very large. Below, we can focus on5Weekly moving average1750Nearby support.


In terms of daily structure, although the gold trend was a bit messy last week, the structural pattern is still very clear. Thursday's abnormal pull up and pressure measurement60The pressure near the daily line has led to a technical overbought market and a top deviation in technical indicators, which has also made room for the situation of non agricultural banks on Friday. After the non agricultural period, gold significantly retreated and fell back to5Daily line1775Below, although it will eventually close near this level, there is still a clear signal of adjustment at the daily level. There is a possibility that the market will continue to retreat this week, but currently the daily moving average is crossing upwards, so the moving average will also provide some support. Therefore, this week's gold can see the continuation of the recovery, but don't expect too much space. You can pay attention to it below first10Daily line1760Nearby support, if there is a break, then look again1750even to the extent that20Daily line1740Near.


The trend of gold combined with the hourly chart shows a significant pullback in the market after the announcement of non-agricultural products on Friday evening, with a downward trend1765Nearby rebound, but rebound not broken1780Since then, the market has been in a narrow range of sideways fluctuations until now, indicating that the confidence of market bulls has indeed been suppressed, but there have also been counterattacks. Therefore, although there is a need for continued decline in the market this week, it may not be easy to fall. Continue to follow above at the beginning of the week1780-83It is expected that there will not be a high possibility of a breakthrough in the short selling gap. You can continue to follow Friday's low point below1765as well as1760Nearby support testing, looking forward to market breaking1760But don't have too strong expectations, even if it falls, you need to take it step by step. In summary, the guidelines for today's gold operation are as follows: bullish bullish bullish bullish bullish bullish bullish bullish bullish bullish bullish bullish bullish bullish bullish bullish bullish bullish bullish bullish bullish bullish bullish bullish bullish bullish bullish bullish bullish bullish bullish bullish bullish1783-1788Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1760-1755Frontline support.


Operational strategy:


On Monday, there was relatively little news and the market was basically volatile. It is expected that1770-1785Interval oscillation, can be operated from low to high altitude


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