Yu Yue on Jin:8.5黄金还会跌吗，黄金原油最新走势操作建议

　goldTrend analysis



　　昨日黄金持续震荡回弹，尾盘甚至冲破1790，测压至1795Nearby, the daily chart closed with a saturated bullish candlestick. Prior to the release of tonight's non farm data, such an abnormal trend in gold undoubtedly increased the uncertainty risk of tonight's non farm data.



　　日线结构上，周二的冲高回落阴线并未来带来空间上的进一步回修，昨日行情持续震荡回弹，收得实体饱和阳线也很是意外，这不仅使得日线级别指标出现顶部背离，同时上方也将面临60Daily line1800附近压力，如果晚间非农利空黄金，那么昨日的这波反常上涨很有可能会给行情造成更大的空间回落。而如果晚间非农利多黄金，则昨日的反常上涨则提前透支了上涨空间，对于后面的分析以及操作上都带来难度而不是机会。日内黄金暂看上方60Daily line1800Nearby pressure, pay attention below5Daily line1775Nearby support, if there is an upward break, the trend will be abnormal, and it is also very likely to open up a new upward trend, but this approach is not very helpful for operation. If there is a downward break, the trend will be abnormal5On the daily basis, the short-term market trend is extended and adjusted, and there may be a pullback below20Near the daily line.



Based on the hourly chart trend, gold continued to climb and rebound yesterday. Before the major data, the market appeared in a small upward trend, which is difficult to understand. It is necessary to take strict precautions against this abnormal trend. Gold is expected to remain stable for the time being within the day1790Nearby competition for volatility, technical conditions allow market conditions to be tested1800Nearby, below focus on yesterday's abnormal rebound breakthrough1775-73This is also yesterday's market trend1790There is a low point of retracement after being under pressure nearby, so if this level falls, the short-term abnormal market may also come to an end.



　　操作上，鉴于今晚非农数据公布，市场情绪紧张异常，不确定的风险会比较大，故日内保守选择观望为宜。激进则还是参考技术走势需要，侧重于择高搏短空，但是务必要控制轻仓状态，严格带好止损，不断的尝试，以防市场情绪突变带来异动走势风险。



　　①保守选择观望，有待晚间非农数据后根据数据情况以及实际走势再做进一步操作策略调整。



　　②白盘激进可继续在1790附近极轻仓搏一次短空，手动止损1795Look at the target below1787-85先改保本止损或减仓，下方回撤1780-75区域再做减离。



　　③如果白盘时段行情再度异常拉升，上方测压至1800、1803，激进可再尝试搏短空，严格带止损1805Above, look down at the target1795-90附近即先减仓或改保本止损，可留有搏晚间非农行情。



　　crude oilLatest market analysis:




　　原油技术面分析：原油昨日蓄势破低，打破了日线以及周线级别的颈线防守点，且收在之下，日线首次有效跌破，那么周线大概率也要收盘下破，破位则当作周线双顶级别的调整。空间会比较大，目前日线昨日在反弹96.50承压后收在低位，此前的破低口92.30转换成阻力。4小时围绕在中轨附近承压整理蓄势破低，初步形成了有效破位，4小时单阴下挫破位后一直收在低点之下，形成了放量跌破，今日会延续弱势进一步下行放量。而破低口92.30就是第一道阻力，此前在低点处伴随拉锯，破位之后，预计反弹的空间相对有限，会直接弱势整理后摔出新低，故亚盘的位置比较重要，要积极切入，不然容易踏空点位。综上所述，原油今日操作思路上建议以反弹高空为主，回踩低多为辅，上方短期关注91.3-91.8Frontline resistance, short-term focus below86.0-85.5Frontline support.




Silver Technology Analysis:



　　白银日线收带上下影线小阳线，目前处于短期线附近及上方运行，5Japan and Japan10日均线向上运行，中期线走平偏向下，MACDRun up,KDJ走平粘合。关注价格回撤测试布林中轨19.5附近的支撑。4小时行震荡回落，价格早盘震荡修正，交投5日均线承压附近，白银下方关注支撑关注19.7-19.5，关注多头势能的情绪释放，一旦价格上破行情将再次回到震荡慢涨的格局，白银近期承压重点关注20.6关口，这一线不上破，价格难以打开上行空间。白银交易上建议回撤19.78Nearby, stop loss19.65, look at the goal20.1-20.4Break through holdings of reduced positions.