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Guide Metallographer:8.3今日黄金走势分析,金价修正调整后震荡上行

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  goldMessage interpretation:


  受到全球经济衰退风险提升,以及美元指数高位回落的情况下,近段时间的黄金价格走势明显偏向于多方,所以昨日也是一度继续向上方打开反弹并且,已经非常靠近1800大关,但可惜美盘后段重新承压后出现回落,相信短期的方向还需要等待更加多清晰线索的指引,比如本周的一系列就业市场数据。


  指南金师现货黄金参考新闻:上周公布的数据显示,美国经济连续第二个季度萎缩,加剧了关于该国是否已经或即将陷入衰退的持续争论。美联储主席鲍威尔已经表示,美联储承认衰退“肯定有可能”,但美联储仍然专注于控制通胀,即使以美国经济衰退为代价。


Today's Focus:


  14:00Germany6Monthly and quarterly trade accounts adjustment


  14:30Switzerland7monthCPIMonthly rate


  15:50France7Monthly service industryPMIFinal value


  15:55Germany7Monthly service industryPMIFinal value


  16:00eurozone7Monthly service industryPMIFinal value


  16:30britain7Monthly service industryPMI


  17:00eurozone6monthPPIMonthly rate


  17:00eurozone6Monthly retail sales rate


  21:45U.S.A7monthMarkitService industryPMIFinal value


  22:00U.S.A7monthISMNon manufacturingPMI


  22:00U.S.A6Monthly factory order rate


  指南金师提别提醒:今日的市场基本面集中在美国市场的经济数据身上,夜晚的耐用品订单数据值得重点关注,因为近段时间的经济衰退迹象愈发明显,经济数据的表现可谓至关重要,一旦出现恶化的情况,就会引起美联储以及市场投资者的关注。


Technical analysis of gold:


  黄金昨日先扬后抑,尾盘形成探高回落收低,亚欧盘开盘的上涨主要是延续了前一日的尾盘整理蓄势。惯性冲高之后,触及到了此前的下跌破低口阻力以及黄金分割点0.618.0Resistance in1786-1790一带形成压制,昨日放量之后,美盘时段承压。尾盘再回落收低,这也是昨日强调短线冲高后谨防冲高回落。随着日线的探高收低,今日短线还会延续走回落,同时也是争夺一个方向选择的问题,由于此前连阳上升之后,首次转阴,这波转阴是结束反弹还是回踩蓄势后重新反转向上有待确认。还需要多加几个交易日的收盘情况来决定。


Gold4小时完成了ABC浪的反弹,这是下跌趋势中的反弹小三浪,昨日形成冲高回落,C浪高点回撤,今日回踩会接近上升趋势线,也就是4小时的多头支撑线,两个上涨浪形反弹,使得短线走多,今日此根上升线是关键,此前离得比较远,不好判定,随着昨日的冲高回落,今日亚盘就会逼近上升线,若是失守且收盘在趋势线之下,则趋势重新转空,反之下探后能够启稳,那么短线还将继续延伸反弹。并且存在反转向上的可能。均线指标来看,昨日触及到了270单位均线承压,目前中期均线还在大周期均线之下,这也是昨日强调在1786上方价格有较大的冲高回落风险。今日短线相对就比较分化,随着昨日的回落,小时图还会适当延续,不过4小时要关注上升趋势线1746-1743附近的防守。亚盘触及后可能会有反弹,但能否启稳还要等到欧美盘之后再来确认。反应到短线操作上,多空都有操作机会。综上所述,黄金今日操作思路上指南金师建议以反弹做空为主,回踩低多为辅,上方短期关注1778-1783Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1754-1749Frontline support.


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