Dingsheng Jinshi:8.2今日黄金走势分析，金价高位震荡待突破，...

——近期消息面频繁刺激gold上涨，一直居高不下，非农或会再添一把火？——


Monday(8month1day)In the early trading session of the Asian market, spot gold remained strong, currently located at1768dollar/Around ounces; Last week, gold prices surged nearly40美元。美元交投于105.88Nearby, after a series of mixed economic data releases last week, investors' concerns about economic recession temporarily outweighed their concerns about inflation; Rising demand for risk aversion boosted gold's rise last week, hitting its highest intraday level1767.82dollar/ounce. Spot gold closed sharply higher39.01USD, increase2.26%Set a new high in nearly a month; About1768.00dollar/After a three week high of ounces, gold started trading sideways, but there is still reason for gold to rise. Gold bulls are targeting again this week1800The price may be adjusted simultaneously in US dollars, but the technical side is beneficial for bulls. meet8At the beginning of the month, a new week, a new month, bulls still control the opening. Precious metals benefit from the lower yield environment and the weakening of the US dollar, making them a safe haven for those seeking assets outside of the US dollar. Follow the United States within the day7monthISMmanufacturingPMIData disclosure. If the US manufacturing industryPMINot as expected, this will hit the trend of the US dollar, thereby driving up gold prices.


　　上周黄金多头实现大爆发，金价单周涨幅达到近40USD. Federal Reserve Chairman Powell made doveish remarks after raising interest rates this week, coupled with the United StatesGDPThe unexpected contraction of data has led to a significant decline in the US dollar, thereby stimulating a surge in gold prices. This week, investors will welcome the US non farm payrolls report, which is expected to reignite the gold market. But Powell also pointed out that the Federal Reserve will determine the magnitude of future interest rate hikes based on upcoming economic data, and as interest rates become tighter, slowing down the pace of interest rate hikes may be appropriate. This week, there will be a US non farm employment report, which is expected to confirm a slowdown in the economy and significant fluctuations in the gold market. Investors should pay attention to risk control and management.


　　8.2Analysis of the latest gold market trend:


From the early golden period2070高点开启了下跌浪走势，一路单边下行至1680附近。当时本人反复强调，下跌5浪已经到了尾声，1Waves from2070—1890, decline180dollar;5Waves from1870—1680跌幅也够190美金了，并且多次表示1680的重要性，果不其然黄金触及1680位置，迎来了反弹回升阶段，并且完美在1682抄底成功。关注本人的朋友都知道，我一直表示加息落地后黄金将迎来再一次的猛攻，目前已经成功突围至1750关口。从当前走势来看，下跌5浪已经确认结束，若是根据八浪循环理论，那么现在迎来的是ABC反弹调整阶段，所以布局的1680中长线多单可以在1760减仓继续持有看反弹。


　　黄金下探1680如期迎来了反弹回升阶段，并且成功突破布林中轨至1770高位，MA5—MA10均线开始金叉上行，MACD红柱能延续放量；周线也是大阳拉升收尾，代表多头看涨情绪高昂，虽然当前冲高1770涨势有所停滞，但并不妨碍黄金反弹的决心。个人还是坚持看继续回升，我们先不说依据八浪循环理论，将迎来的ABC反弹调整的幅度有多大；或者干脆也不说下跌浪是不是就此终结。就说现在1680底部已经确认回升，当前就算迎来的不是ABC调整浪，只是下跌浪的调整6浪，我们就从调整2浪和调整4浪的幅度来看也各都有100美金的反弹幅度。就算这主跌浪产生异变要出现加长7浪，我们6浪反弹从1680—1780的调整幅度那板上钉钉少不了。近期突破1750Da Guan to1770进行高位震荡，今日欧盘成功突破1770关口，如期来到了1780预期高位！目前需要重点关注1780附近压力，此位置正好是低位反弹幅度100点，也是下行趋势线压制点，下方重点关注1760Gate support.


Golden Operation Strategy:


　　1--1766Nearby, stop loss1759, Objective1773-1778


　　2--1779Near empty, stop loss1788, Objective1770-1763


　　crude oilMarket trend analysis:


Analysis of crude oil news: Monday（8month1日）亚市盘初，美油微跌，现报98dollar/桶，因经济衰退担忧升温，且猴痘疫情在全球加速蔓延；但地缘紧张局势依然支撑油价，本周油价聚焦OPEC+会议。路透调查上周五显示，油价反弹可能会停滞不前，因经济衰退担忧和全球疫情重燃导致需求放缓，抵消对俄制裁和OPEC+产量限制带来的供应风险。对35位经济学家和分析师的调查显示，预计2022年布伦特原油平均为每桶105.75USD, below6Monthly Forecast106.82USD, this is from4月份以来月度油价预估首次下调。今年以来，布伦特原油的平均价格约为每桶105USD.


　　原油技术面解析：从盘面来看，原油上周五探高回落收平十字K线，日线局部进入收缩拉锯震荡，实体K线较小，形成了连续的星K线整理，局部多空陷入胶着。上周五虽有短暂冲高但尾盘仍承压收在低位，使得多空续量不足，更长时间处于拉锯震荡。


Currently4小时图探高承压回落收在中轨，从上轨处受压回落，K线结构形成阴包阳式的高位回吐，反弹也只是昙花一现。上轨处略有受压后向下轨回落靠近，结合上周五的高点102.0伴随了上影线，日内短线操作在102.0下方先行择机看空，下方继续去看测试颈线，本周颈线92.80依旧是考验点，破位下行打开空间，不破继续震荡，目前离颈线还有较大距离。周初暂时还是震荡思路对待。在上轨处空，下轨处短多。超短线震荡对待。阻力99.0-100.0brace94.8093.0。操作上鼎盛金师建议99.0-100.0分别空，止损102, Objective96.0-95.0. See below94.60-94.30反手短多一次防守93.0, Objective96.60


Serve as an analyst and commentator for well-known financial channels such as "Golden Net" and "Globalforeign exchange》Professional contributors to several well-known financial forums such as "Huitong Net" and "Zhongjin Net", specializing in short, medium, and long term operations of gold, crude oil, and silver. Investment is risky, and caution should be exercised when entering the market. Suggestions are for reference only; This article is original by Dingsheng Jinshi, who carefully writes every analysis and conveys valuable investment concepts. If there is any similarity, it is purely plagiarism. Readers should be discerning and respect originality!