Yu Yue on Jin:8.1黄金压制点可以先空原油价格走势分析白银...

　　goldTrend analysis



　　上周黄金在美联储加息落定后筑底，成功在1680大涨至1768，有88美金空间，全周主力方向只看涨，在1682开始一路做多，到周五美盘至1662全部获利，顺势多头交易屡试不爽，取得了不错的成绩。也给8月交易开了一个好头。再次基础之上，8月黄金也看好延续上涨空间，预计可见的目标点位在1800，1830，市场重点关注俄乌地缘局势动态影响，以及8月非农数据据影响。



Technically, the gold rally has not yet been completed, and in the medium term, it has risen to1768No top seen, the perimeter is connected to the sun at the bottom, not yet touched10The daily unilateral moving average suppresses the point, so there is still room for improvement. Let's take a look before the non agricultural data1780The high gains and losses of this month's non agricultural data may once again affect gold's exit from the bullish market, which is expected to be visible1800，1830两个高点，因此，周内上方空间很足，交易需顺势做多，别想在波段中间点位猜顶。日线周期中，暂时话黄金布林表现收口，但暂时的收口不是做空的理由，顶部没有收阴，就不可能有顶部形态，因此，交易还需顺势多，日线高位先关注60Daily moving average position1800Nearby. Stand firm from gold1750Above, it shows an extremely strong state, with a small periodH4The unilateral trend is very obvious,kThe line is completely closed above the unilateral moving average, and the small cycle is also very strong. Therefore, the operation needs to be more aggressive, and the focus should be on the day1756Support point, European market appears at a high point, while US market continues to increase.8月非农数据在周三，周四后再给分析。对于日内行情而言，黄金极强，继续保持看涨，日内支撑在1756，上涨关注高位1778，1800High point.



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　　操作上：早盘惯性拉高1775-77一线空，防守80，失守后重点关注1784-92压制，下看55一线破位看到46-40-36给这里再次布局多，弱市早盘68一线压制继续空，而短多重点是1755这里，如果先下不破配合四小时形态再考虑入场，损52就够了，所以这又考虑到节奏问题先上先下的问题，具体操作关注线下第一时间提示。



Analysis of silver trend:



Silver18.1形成底部，目前大涨至20.2附近，跟预测的一样，美联储加息是白银筑底的时间轴，趋势已变，19.2多单已经获利，耐心等待持续上涨空间。前期我们给出的19.2Multiple orders,21.2，22.3多单维持不变，8月黄金，白银都是大涨环境，暂时短线看23不变，大涨看25。纸白银，TD白银，同步交易，多单维持不变，等待8月大涨空间。



　　crude oilTrend analysis:



　　原油上周大涨至101.8，但是上涨不延续，大涨后下跌，确定本周原油看震荡，预计走不出区间。目前市场环境主要看俄乌局势影响，加上能源危机，长线看原油还是主涨，因此，好做原油大涨的准备。周内震荡的区间线看100.8/95，破位此区间可扩大中103.8/91.8，届时再看原油市场形成单边走势。周初先观察原油的走势，是先跌后涨还是先涨后跌比较关键，亚欧盘短线关注96.3支撑，上涨先看100.8目标，交易放在美盘以回落做多为主。