Qin Zeran: Current price layout of gold and crude oil, analysis of the latest trends, and real-time operational suggestions...

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Always stay on the front line of investment and maintain a scientific attitude towards the investment market! Refuse to be blind, refuse to be ambiguous - Hello everyone,I am Teacher Qin Zeran!

There are no unprofitable investments, only immature operational models and precise and unique market structure analysis. I amgoldSenior analyst Qin Zeran is proficient in the band trend operation of the gold market, daily high and low short-term operations, has years of in-depth research on the rhythm of the market, has a bold and unrestrained personality, and sharp and accurate trading techniques. Over the years of employment, I have diligently helped countless friends who have fallen into confusion in their investments to get out of the mud. If you have any difficulties, Zeran has clever solutions!

Analysis of the latest gold market:

Analysis of gold news: Thursday(7month28day)In the European market, the US dollar index continued to be under pressure, and the index is currently reporting106.30Nearby. Spot gold maintains an upward trend, with the current gold price at1744dollar/Around ounces. Analysts say that as many countries face economic weakness and the cost of living crisis continues to squeeze spending, although there may still be some strong demand, consumer driven demand may weaken. Under the influence of geopolitical risks and inflationary pressures, gold prices rebounded at the beginning of the second quarter; But then investors shifted their attention to rapidly rising interest rates and a strong US dollar, and gold prices fell in the second quarter, with a single quarter decline of6%. Although gold demand may weaken in the second half of this year, the World Gold Council predicts that the market will not collapse. Analysts say that market uncertainty is sufficient to support demand. Thursday Hong Kong Time20:30The United States will announce its second quarter gross domestic product(GDP)Initial value. The Federal Reserve has raised interest rates twice in the past two months75A significant rapid interest rate hike of one basis point may slow down economic growth. The median forecast from media surveys of economists shows that in the second quarter of the United StatesGDPWill increase year-on-year0.5%. However, the latest forecast released by the Atlanta Federal Reserve shows that in the second quarter of this year, the United States actuallyGDPatrophy1.2%. If the Atlanta Fed's forecast becomes a reality, it means that the US economy is in a technical recession. Qin Zeran believed that if the United StatesGDPThe data may fall short of expectations or even unexpectedly shrink, and the US dollar may further weaken, driving other major currencies and gold to continue rising.

Technical analysis of gold: Gold initially suppressed and then rose yesterday, with a first retracement1711First line stabilization and consolidation. In the second half of the night, we will recover the lost land and at the same time adjust the high point at the beginning of the week1739Also virtual break, highest1740.Closing at1735Above. Daily closing with a bullish candlestickKLine. Yesterday, as a key turning point in the short term, was unable to fall back and close lower. Influenced by the news, it brought back the rebound style and closed at a high levelKThe closing trend continued to rebound.4Before the hour chart1680doAWaves rebounded, yesterday at1711Once again stabilizing and rebounding, currently breaking through the high point1739Afterwards, there is a continuationBThe waves rebounded. Structurally, a wave shaped rebound correction has been formed, so yesterday's closing pattern is quite important if it can directly fall and close lower. If the rebound wave shape cannot continue, it will form a weak downward trend in the short term. The reverse trend of closing higher and breaking through the high point is a continuation of the rebound space. At present, after repeated downward explorations and rebounds at the beginning of the week, it has actually driven the short-term moving average to turn downward and form support.4Hourly support1711Construct a rebound channel at a low point. This level is the critical point for bulls, and it will fall below in the future1711Only then can it turn weak again. Short term support within the day1711Defensive first, look for rebounds with a low, high, and then adjust your thinking. At the same time, during the rebound process, if you encounter resistance, you will also step back. In the short term, it is a volatile thinking, with a low, high, and stuck range. In summary, Qin Zeran's suggestion for gold's trading strategy today is to focus on a pullback and buy long, with a rebound and short selling as a supplement, and short-term attention above1765-1770Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1740-1735Frontline support. The article can only provide you with a temporary direction and ideas. As for the specific entry point and timing of settlement, please pay attention to Qin Zeran's firm offer and it will be provided in real time.

　　crude oilLatest market analysis:

Analysis of crude oil news: Thursday(7month28day)International oil prices continue to rise, as US crude oil inventories decrease and gasoline demand rebounds, US oil production faces multiple bottlenecks, and energy disputes between the West and Russia intensify, improving investor risk appetite. US Energy Information Agency(EIA)The latest data shows that in terms of supply, US crude oil inventories decreased last week452.3Ten thousand barrels, the decrease far exceeds expectations103.7Ten thousand barrels. Last week, gasoline demand in the United States rebounded8.5%. The United States has consolidated its position as the world's largest oil exporting country, with total exports of crude oil and refined oil reaching record highs109010000 barrels/Today, US crude oil exports reached a record high45010000 barrels/Day, becauseNYMEXThe relatively low price of crude oil compared to Brent crude oil makes US crude oil more attractive to foreign buyers. From the perspective of global oil inventory, except for EuropeARARegional diesel inventories remain at a low level, while European gasoline inventories, North American gasoline and diesel inventories, and Asia Pacific gasoline and diesel inventories are all rapidly accumulating. Therefore, using only the decline in natural gas prices in North America to drive the central decline in power generation fuel prices as an explanation7The continuous contraction of refined oil profits since the beginning of the month has been very far fetched, and the early arrival of the inventory turning point is forcing the comprehensive gross profit of refineries to shrink rapidly. Once the comprehensive gross profit of refineries continues to shrink, it may drive refineries in the northern hemisphere to reduce their burden ahead of schedule and directly drive a contraction in the demand for primary crude oil processing. For potential upward risks, the short-term focus should shift to8month3The upcomingOPECThe uncertainty from the supply side remains strong during the monthly meeting. Prior to this, oil prices may remain volatile and will not easily choose their direction.

Technical analysis of crude oil: Crude oil experienced a downward trend yesterday, rebounded and closed higher, with the lowest retracement94.30Starting and stabilizing on the front line, in4The support at the lower track of the hour started to stabilize and rebound. At the end of the trading session, the market recovered from yesterday's decline and lost ground, returning to its previous position98.0Above. And the daily line closed at a high level, with a bullish candlestick. The daily chart is still a cycle of yin and yang, with the lower neckline93.0-92.80Not lost, the daily chart is still at a high level of consolidation, with insufficient unilateral capacity.4The structure of the hourly chart is currently beginning to diverge. Although it is still operating in a downward channel, it experienced a second downward trend and rebounded yesterday, with signs of a low and stable opening on the right side. If the short term can break through the channel steadily at a low level, it will once again touch the high and upward direction. That is to say, switching between long and short positions is also a moment of form transformation. This is also the reason for the recent back and forth tug of war, where short-term direction selection enters the washing process. Short term operations during the day shift the time point to European and American markets, waiting for a certain amount of space to be released before proceeding. The midpoint is more important than the direction when pulling back and forth. Overall, in terms of crude oil operations today, Qin Zeran suggests a pullback and a long position, with short-term focus above99.3-99.8Frontline resistance, short-term focus below96.0-95.5Frontline support.

I believe everyone has seen too many analysts who show their profits in various markets, but Qin Zeran does not have magnificent profits. His strategy is publicly disclosed by friends every day, and the strategy is accurate and verified by the market situation. Keeping up is earning! No one earns every day, but someone earns every day. The difference lies in whether that person is you! There are many friends who have added Qin Zeran and are always skeptical about Qin Zeran's strategy. Is Teacher Qin's strategy accurate? Am I following or not? What should I do if I lose? I'll take a look again. Then the market came, others made a profit, and you lost. You always miss one opportunity after another in a skeptical wait and see, and then miss the next opportunity in a sigh of regret, so repeatedly that you lose the whole game. As an investor, we should remember our original intention of coming to this market and not let all our efforts go to waste. We should take cooperation and win-win as the starting point, cultivate and promote a healthy, harmonious and standardized trading philosophy, fundamentally eliminate non-performing trading models and order taking models, and truly achieve mutual benefit.

This article is originally contributed by Qin Zeran. I interpret world economic news, analyze global investment trends, and conduct in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, and silver. Due to the delay of network push, the above contents are personal suggestions. Since the network documents are timely, the suggestions are only for reference, and operational risk is borne by yourself! Reproduction and plagiarism without permission are strictly prohibited.