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Always stay on the front line of investment and maintain a scientific attitude towards the investment market! Refuse to be blind, refuse to be ambiguous - Hello everyone,I am Teacher Qin Zeran!
There are no unprofitable investments, only immature operational models and precise and unique market structure analysis. I amgoldSenior analyst Qin Zeran is proficient in the band trend operation of the gold market, daily high and low short-term operations, has years of in-depth research on the rhythm of the market, has a bold and unrestrained personality, and sharp and accurate trading techniques. Over the years of employment, I have diligently helped countless friends who have fallen into confusion in their investments to get out of the mud. If you have any difficulties, Zeran has clever solutions!
Analysis of the trend of gold market;
Thursday(7month28日)亚洲时段,现货黄金震荡走高,小幅刷新近两周高点至1741.54dollar/盎司,虽然隔夜美国6月耐用品订单好于预期,美联储加息75个基点,一度都令金价承压,但加息幅度符合预期,更关键的是,美联储主席鲍威尔在新闻发布会上称未来加息路径将取决于经济数据,市场对解读为鸽派或者是不及预期的鹰派,市场对美联储放缓加息路径的预期升温,美元指数大幅走弱,美债收益率下跌,给金价提供了上涨动能。美联储主席鲍威尔表示,经济未来轨迹缺乏清晰的能见度,意味着美联储只能在“逐次会议”上就其政策走向提供可靠的指引。如果市场现在认为利率可能不会上调得那么高、那么快,这对黄金市场走势相对来说是一个积极的环境,也是我们在美联储会议后看到金价上涨的原因。投资者还需留意市场对美联储决议的进一步解读情况,重点关注晚间的美国二季度GDP数据,市场预计同比仅增长0.5%,仍有望给金价提供上涨动能;此外,投资者还需关注地缘局势和新冠疫情的相关消息。整体来看,美联储主席鲍威尔新闻发布会的偏鸽派讲话将在短线主导市场,美元指数面临进一步下跌风险,金价短线有望继续震荡走高,从技术看涨信号也有所增加。
黄金技术面分析;黄金昨日先抑后扬,先行回踩1711First line stabilization and consolidation. In the second half of the night, we will recover the lost land and at the same time adjust the high point at the beginning of the week1739Also virtual break, highest1740.Closing at1735Above. Daily closing with a bullish candlestickKLine. Yesterday, as a key turning point in the short term, was unable to fall back and close lower. Influenced by the news, it brought back the rebound style and closed at a high levelKThe closing trend continued to rebound.4Before the hour chart1680doAWaves rebounded, yesterday at1711Once again stabilizing and rebounding, currently breaking through the high point1739Afterwards, there is a continuationBThe waves rebounded. Structurally, a wave shaped rebound correction has been formed, so yesterday's closing pattern is quite important if it can directly fall and close lower. If the rebound wave shape cannot continue, it will form a weak downward trend in the short term. The reverse trend of closing higher and breaking through the high point is a continuation of the rebound space. At present, after repeated downward explorations and rebounds at the beginning of the week, it has actually driven the short-term moving average to turn downward and form support.4Hourly support1711Construct a rebound channel at a low point. This level is the critical point for bulls, and it will fall below in the future1711Only then can it turn weak again. Short term support within the day1711Defensive first, look for rebounds with a low, high, and then adjust your thinking. At the same time, during the rebound process, if you encounter resistance, you will also step back. In the short term, it is a volatile thinking, with a low, high, and stuck range. In summary, Qin Zeran's suggestion for gold's trading strategy today is to focus on a pullback and buy long, with a rebound and short selling as a supplement, and short-term attention above1753-1758Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1728-1723Frontline support.
crude oilLatest market analysis:
Analysis of crude oil news: Wednesday7month27At the beginning of the Japanese market, Meiyou Trading was trading on95.54dollar/桶附近,油价周二下跌近1%,受累于美国释放原油储备,同时国际货币基金组织对经济前景持悲观态度,下调全球经济预期;另外,猴痘疫情全球蔓延也为空头助力;日内交易或更多受到晚间EIA数据的影响。日内重点关注美国6月耐用品订单月率初值、美国6月批发库存月率初值、EIAdata;Thursday2:00发布美联储利率决议、2:30美联储主席鲍威尔讲话。
原油技术面分析:原油昨日先扬后抑,先惯性探高冲破98.0Platform high point, highest touch99.0Under pressure in the region, the US market still fell and closed lower during the trading period, resulting in a small negative daily harvestKLine, forming a high sounding and falling back. The daily line is still in a downward trend, mainly due to the repeated support of the short-term neckline. Reflected in the short form, it is a back and forth sawing.4The hour chart impacted the upper track of the Bollinger Road and fell back under pressure, closing at the middle track. Today, there are signs of a drop in the lower track in the short term. Daily Harvest Small YinKLine, forming a surge and fall back. The daily line is still in a downward trend, mainly due to the repeated support of the short-term neckline. Reflected in the short form, it is a back and forth sawing.
Crude oil4The hour chart impacted the upper track of the Bollinger Road and fell back under pressure, closing at the middle track. Today, there are signs of a drop in the lower track in the short term. Although there was a rebound at the beginning of the week. but4The overall operation of the hour is still in the downward channel, but the fluctuation base is large, which makes the amplitude of the downward channel relatively large. Currently4Looking down at the lower track first, relying on99.0Create a new platform defense point, with the down track position still in place92.80-92.0.多空胶着的位置,短期还会伴随来回拉。综合来看,原油今日操作思路上秦泽冉建议以反弹做空为主,回调做多为辅,上方短期关注98.9-99.4Frontline resistance, short-term focus below94.7-94.2Frontline support.
I believe everyone has seen too many analysts who show their profits in various markets, but Qin Zeran does not have magnificent profits. His strategy is publicly disclosed by friends every day, and the strategy is accurate and verified by the market situation. Keeping up is earning! No one earns every day, but someone earns every day. The difference lies in whether that person is you! There are many friends who have added Qin Zeran and are always skeptical about Qin Zeran's strategy. Is Teacher Qin's strategy accurate? Am I following or not? What should I do if I lose? I'll take a look again. Then the market came, others made a profit, and you lost. You always miss one opportunity after another in a skeptical wait and see, and then miss the next opportunity in a sigh of regret, so repeatedly that you lose the whole game. As an investor, we should remember our original intention of coming to this market and not let all our efforts go to waste. We should take cooperation and win-win as the starting point, cultivate and promote a healthy, harmonious and standardized trading philosophy, fundamentally eliminate non-performing trading models and order taking models, and truly achieve mutual benefit.
This article is originally contributed by Qin Zeran. I interpret world economic news, analyze global investment trends, and conduct in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, and silver. Due to the delay of network push, the above contents are personal suggestions. Since the network documents are timely, the suggestions are only for reference, and operational risk is borne by yourself! Reproduction and plagiarism without permission are strictly prohibited.
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