Qin Zeran: Current price layout of gold and crude oil, analysis of the latest trends, and real-time operational suggestions...

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Always stay on the front line of investment and maintain a scientific attitude towards the investment market! Refuse to be blind, refuse to be ambiguous - Hello everyone,I am Teacher Qin Zeran!

There are no unprofitable investments, only immature operational models and precise and unique market structure analysis. I amgoldSenior analyst Qin Zeran is proficient in the band trend operation of the gold market, daily high and low short-term operations, has years of in-depth research on the rhythm of the market, has a bold and unrestrained personality, and sharp and accurate trading techniques. Over the years of employment, I have diligently helped countless friends who have fallen into confusion in their investments to get out of the mud. If you have any difficulties, Zeran has clever solutions!

Analysis of the latest gold market:

Analysis of Gold News: Wednesday(7month27day)在今日关键的美联储决议前，市场保持谨慎，美元基本在107关口持平。在此背景下，黄金继续在1720附近窄幅震荡，油价则试图维持升势，等待今日关键风险事件的展开。因投资者在美联储日内晚些时候公布政策决定前仍持谨慎态度。美市盘中，现货黄金持续走低并刷新日低至1711.34美元，较日高回落近14美元。美联储料在周三稍晚结束为期两天的政策会议后，再升息75个基点，以试图打压通胀。除了加息之外，市场关注的焦点还在于美联储主席鲍威尔的指引，如果没有鸽派转向，金价可能会重新测试低点。

Thursday Beijing Time(7month28day)2:00，美联储将结束为期两天的政策会议，几乎铁定加息75个基点。主席鲍威尔将在30分钟后召开新闻发布会，料详细阐述如何看待近期经济数据，并可能暗示下一步行动。当前市场焦点已经从高通胀转移到越来越多的经济放缓。经济增长面临压力的迹象正愈发明显，这增加了美联储未来决策难度。

　　加息是美联储遏制高通胀的重要手段。本周加息75个基点后，联邦基金利率区间将提升到2.25%-2.50%。到目前为止，美联储在对抗通胀的斗争中几乎没有取得任何进展。美国6monthCPI同比暴涨9.1%, creating over40年新高，市场一度预计美联储本周加息幅度将进一步扩大到100个基点。对美元有利的一点是，美联储政策从紧窗口不像欧、英等其他主要央行那样狭窄，投资者还没有准备好改变强势美元的立场。但美元可能会陷入一段时间盘整，待美国经济前景更明朗。鉴于美联储仍可能会以相对鹰派的措辞阐述政策框架从而提振美元，黄金价格前景维持看跌。但投资者须随时提防空头回补，毕竟高通胀减缓了金价下行步伐。

　　黄金技术面分析：近几天黄金维持小区间震荡，市场相对比较保守，同时也可以看出市场对此次利率决议高度关注。黄金日线级别来看，昨日再次收报一根长上影阴K线，高点压力逐步下移，不过有趣的是短期均线金叉而逐步扩展；一方面压力逐步下移，一方面短期均线支撑又始终未破下去，这就步入了这几日以来的区间窄幅运行；显然，目的就是为了等待今夜凌晨2点美联储利率决议的公布；按照市场预期加75基点概率最大，则加息落地后，黄金会出现“卖事实”的一波急速反抽上行，力度如何要根据后续市场对于美联储态度变化的炒作，但最终还会被打压下来，前两次的走势就是如此，急速反弹都基本只有一个夜间，最多加一个白天；如果是加息50个基点，那么小于市场预期，黄金才会出现较大力度的反弹；而加息100基点概率很小，若意外发生，黄金则不能参与多；当前10Moving average support1713，中轨阻力下移1744frontline.

Gold4小时级别来看，价格反复上下串于10均线，整体走势不稳，处于震荡期，延续性差；分割压力1728始终无法站上，压力仍存在；对应macd零轴之上运行，容易酝酿顶背驰而压制，思路上仍倾向于冲高回测；黄金小时线级别：隔夜压制1720窄幅整理，当然有所反弹，阻力关注1728下，一个是昨天高点，一个是趋势阻力衍生点；只要欧盘期间还是压制昨日高点下运行，那么美盘又大概率会走跌反复整理；而加息落地前，金价会处于压制，一旦公布前后有一个相对回落低位，比如1700一线或上方些，则公布后，狙击低多成功率会大些，入场胆量也会大些。综上所述，黄金今日操作思路上秦泽冉建议回调做多为主，反弹做空为辅，上方短期关注1740-1735Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1720-1715Frontline support.

　　crude oilLatest market analysis:

Analysis of crude oil news: Wednesday7month27At the beginning of the Japanese market, Meiyou Trading was trading on95.54dollar/桶附近，油价周二下跌近1%，受累于美国释放原油储备，同时国际货币基金组织对经济前景持悲观态度，下调全球经济预期;另外，猴痘疫情全球蔓延也为空头助力;日内交易或更多受到晚间EIA数据的影响。日内重点关注美国6月耐用品订单月率初值、美国6月批发库存月率初值、EIAdata;Thursday2:00发布美联储利率决议、2:30美联储主席鲍威尔讲话。

　　原油技术面分析：原油昨日先扬后抑，先惯性探高冲破98.0Platform high point, highest touch99.0Under pressure in the region, the US market still fell and closed lower during the trading period, resulting in a small negative daily harvestKLine, forming a high sounding and falling back. The daily line is still in a downward trend, mainly due to the repeated support of the short-term neckline. Reflected in the short form, it is a back and forth sawing.4The hour chart impacted the upper track of the Bollinger Road and fell back under pressure, closing at the middle track. Today, there are signs of a drop in the lower track in the short term. Daily Harvest Small YinKLine, forming a surge and fall back. The daily line is still in a downward trend, mainly due to the repeated support of the short-term neckline. Reflected in the short form, it is a back and forth sawing.

Crude oil4The hour chart impacted the upper track of the Bollinger Road and fell back under pressure, closing at the middle track. Today, there are signs of a drop in the lower track in the short term. Although there was a rebound at the beginning of the week. but4The overall operation of the hour is still in the downward channel, but the fluctuation base is large, which makes the amplitude of the downward channel relatively large. Currently4Looking down at the lower track first, relying on99.0Create a new platform defense point, with the down track position still in place92.80-92.0.多空胶着的位置，短期还会伴随来回拉。综合来看，原油今日操作思路上秦泽冉建议以反弹做空为主，回调做多为辅，上方短期关注98.9-99.4Frontline resistance, short-term focus below94.7-94.2Frontline support.

I believe everyone has seen too many analysts who show their profits in various markets, but Qin Zeran does not have magnificent profits. His strategy is publicly disclosed by friends every day, and the strategy is accurate and verified by the market situation. Keeping up is earning! No one earns every day, but someone earns every day. The difference lies in whether that person is you! There are many friends who have added Qin Zeran and are always skeptical about Qin Zeran's strategy. Is Teacher Qin's strategy accurate? Am I following or not? What should I do if I lose? I'll take a look again. Then the market came, others made a profit, and you lost. You always miss one opportunity after another in a skeptical wait and see, and then miss the next opportunity in a sigh of regret, so repeatedly that you lose the whole game. As an investor, we should remember our original intention of coming to this market and not let all our efforts go to waste. We should take cooperation and win-win as the starting point, cultivate and promote a healthy, harmonious and standardized trading philosophy, fundamentally eliminate non-performing trading models and order taking models, and truly achieve mutual benefit.

This article is originally contributed by Qin Zeran. I interpret world economic news, analyze global investment trends, and conduct in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, and silver. Due to the delay of network push, the above contents are personal suggestions. Since the network documents are timely, the suggestions are only for reference, and operational risk is borne by yourself! Reproduction and plagiarism without permission are strictly prohibited.