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goldMessage interpretation:
对冲基金继续加大对黄金的看跌押注。不过，分析师表示，金价下行空间可能有限，市场正形成一种有吸引力的反向操作。
American goodsfuturesTrading Committee(CFTC)7month19日止当周分项交易商承诺报告显示，基金经理削减Comex黄金期货投机总多头仓位613份，至91056份。与此同时，空头仓位增加11992份，至109794份。
黄金净空头仓位增加至18738份。调查期间，金价测试支撑位在每盎司1700美元左右。看空头寸处于2019year5The highest level since the beginning of the month.
分析人士指出，随着美联储积极加息以减缓经济增长，并为不断上升的通胀压力降温，黄金市场一直处于稳固的下行趋势。美联储计划周四再加息75个基点。市场预计，到今年年底，利率可能会升至3.50to3.75%between.
不过，许多分析师也表示，这些加息已被市场消化，限制了黄金在今年剩余时间内的下行趋势。一些分析师还指出，经济放缓和潜在衰退可能会导致美联储放慢加息步伐。
Sprott Hathaway Special Situations Strategy高级投资组合经理John Hathawayexpress:“任何显示美联储放缓加息步伐的迹象，都将对黄金有利。”
法国兴业银行的大宗商品分析师表示，自6month21日以来，黄金市场的看空头寸已达210亿美元。他们还指出，市场“极其容易”受到空头回补的影响。
分析人士指出，上一次黄金净仓位如此看跌时，市场迅速扭转局面，持续了数月的反弹，将金价推高至每盎司2000美元以上的纪录高点。
Today's Focus:
18:00britain7monthCBIRetail sales difference
21:00U.S.A5monthFHFAMonthly rate of housing price index
21:00U.S.A5monthS&P/CS20Annual rate of housing price index in major cities
22:00U.S.A6Annualized total monthly sales of new homes
22:00U.S.A7Monthly Conference Chamber Consumer Confidence Index
22:00U.S.A7Monthly Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index
Technical analysis of gold:
黄金上周五收日线级别报一根长上影阳K线，收盘价站上了短期10均线，但同时上影线暗示1739lower*也存在，加之短趋势仍还处于下跌通道，空头趋势不变，反弹只作为一种短期修正，随时容易*打回原形;日线级别短期压力关注1739、1745、1752三处，短期支撑关注1715、1698、1690、1680四处;离宣布加息还有两个交易日时间，直接很快跌破1680概率可能不大，即便下穿了也容易马上快速回抽上行;4小时级别晚间关注小区间1728-1723上下有效得失破位情况，金珩倾向于是向下破位，走加息前的*回测过程，下方留意10均线收盘价，一旦成功处于10日下，则很快会试探中轨1712一线，然后就是1700下方去回补和修正下短期的顶背驰指标，综合来看，黄金今日操作思路上指南金师建议以反弹做空为主，回踩做多为辅，上方短期关注1736-1745Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1705-1700Frontline support.
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