Dingsheng Jinshi:7.26今日黄金走势分析，金价盘整待关键催化剂...

——各类数据各显神通，最后关键花落谁家？——


SpotgoldCurrently in1725附近徘徊，投资者为本周晚些时候预期将加息75Preparing by basis points, the US Treasury yield slightly increased, putting pressure on gold prices, but the market's wait-and-see sentiment is also strong as the US second quarter is expected to arrive this weekGDPand7monthPCE数据。不过，地缘局势依然紧张，市场对美国经济衰退的预期挥之不去，美元周一在逾两周低位附近徘徊，，短线来看，没有仍有进一步回调风险，考虑到地缘局势依然紧张，金价处于相对低位，如果能够守住1700关口支撑，则后市仍留有震荡上涨的机会。


　　影响黄金的最大因素是对美联储会议的预期，将于周四公布的美国第二季国内生产总值(GDP)数据也可能是一个重要的驱动因素。“通常情况下，在美联储会议之前，你会看到金属遭抛售，这很正常。”不过，这次利率决议跟之前略微有所不同的是，此前金价一度消化了美联储加息100点的预期，而目前市场对美联储本周加息100点的预期已经显著降温，这使得部分黄金空头提前离场，反而在利率决议前有望给黄金多头提供机会。


　　——7.26今日黄金走势分析——


　　黄金昨日先下撤1720On the first line, it then rebounded as expected, although the upper part was1736Nearby the first line is under pressure, but technically, the three band rebound structure has been completed, and the late market continued to decline, falling to1715Nearby oscillation, the daily line closed with a small negative line. Structurally, it closed positive last Friday and closed at5、10On the daily line, although it closed negative this Monday, it is still in the5、10On the daily line, such a close is highly consistent with previous expectations, that is, before the Fed's interest rate decision on Thursday, gold completed a short-term band like rebound action, and then fell into a volatile digestion. It is likely that it will choose to run in the moving average interlayer, waiting for the Fed's interest rate decision to determine the direction. Current Gold5、10Daily line1715There is still some support in the vicinity, and not breaking for two consecutive days indicates that gold bulls are still looking forward to rising. However, whether they can further rise in the future depends not only on technical strength, but mainly on the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision. Stay tuned from above today and tomorrow20Daily line1742Nearby pressure, as a key short-term market pressure.


On the hourly chart, yesterday's gold movement rhythm was highly consistent with previous expectations, and there was another wave of upward continuation, but it did not break through Friday's high. However, the technical structure completed a three band rebound, and the pressure drop of the evening market also brought the market into a volatile digestion shock, confirming that1715Support effectiveness, including a rebound in today's market and a return to standing1724Above, stabilize the center of gravity of the short line structure. From the hourly chart structure, it can be seen that the previously expected gold may enter a range of fluctuations in the next two days. Currently, the range of fluctuations is already very clear, that is, the above focus1732/33Nearby interval upper edge pressure, lower attention1715-12区间下沿支撑。预期今明两日大概率围绕此区间震荡，等待周四凌晨美联储利率决定取决方向。操作上，今明两日黄金主结构看震荡，以防范重大事件前，市场情绪高度紧张可能带来的异常波动风险，保守选择观望，不做参与打算，激进也务必保持极轻仓尝试性参与，且务必带好保护止损，防止行情在事件前异动风险。


——Operation suggestions——


　　①今明两日保守选择观望，不做参与打算，关注1715/12—1733/35区间震荡，激进可在此区间内进行短线低多高空，但务必有待触及区间上下沿时再做考虑。


　　②隔夜有1715附近参与多单的，目前可在1727-30附近减仓改保本止损，剩余持单可保留看1733-35测压减离。日内行情如有回落，依旧选择在1715-12区域尝试短线多单，带止损1710下，目标同前。


　　③如果日内行情再回弹，触及1733-35附近，激进可极轻仓搏短空，带止损1740Look at the target below1725附近即做减仓改保本止损，剩余持单下看1720-15区域再做减离。


　　crude oilTechnical analysis:


　　原油昨日震荡回撤至93一线后震荡回弹，尾盘回弹测压至97附近，日线收得一带有下引线的小阳，上方5、10Daily line97.3未破。不过今日早间美油再出现回弹，目前对5、10日线已有刺破动作，如果短线行情偏强，站稳5、10日线上，那么技术上还有进一步测压20Daily line100.5/6的可能性。但是目前美油的问题在于技术上整体还是偏空状态，短线走势节奏又反复的多空频繁转换，给操作上带来极大的难度，短线方向很难把控，加之本周美联储利率决定也可能带来干扰，走势更加难做判断。


　　原油周一93The low point is considered a small cyclical bottom, and after Monday's pullback, it was determined that there is a standard technical basis for long trading. After the continuation of European and American markets, the current strength has continued to97.5Nearby, still maintaining Monday's technical level,H4The cycle is closing, and the mid-term strength of the rise has not been completed. Today's review99.6高点，因此，日内交易可能要稍微激进点，直接多，或者，等待欧盘回落确定后再多。早盘原油在95.8If it goes up directly, then it's not easy to catch up and support it95.8Above99Nearby strong pressure level, can continue to refer in the short term, not too much to chase up and sell, there are more opportunities for the European market. European and American markets touched99.6压制点，不破可尝试做空。综上所述鼎盛金师总结：今日原油操作思路上建议以回调做多为主，反弹做空为辅，上方短期关注99.0-99.6Frontline resistance, short-term focus below95.6-95.8Frontline support.


　　7.26Reference for crude oil operation strategy:


Empty order strategy:


Above the rebound of crude oil99.0-99.3Short selling in batches nearby, stop loss0.7US dollars, look at the target98.0-97.0Nearby; Dislocation96.0Near.


Multi order strategy:


Below the crude oil correction95.8-96.0Batch long nearby, stop loss0.7USD, target97.5-98.5Nearby; Dislocation99.5Near.


Serve as an analyst and commentator for well-known financial channels such as Sina Finance and Globalforeign exchange》Professional contributors to several well-known financial forums such as "Huitong Net" and "Zhongjin Net", specializing in short, medium, and long term operations of gold, crude oil, and silver. Investment is risky, and caution should be exercised when entering the market. Suggestions are for reference only; This article is original by Dingsheng Jinshi, who carefully writes every analysis and conveys valuable investment concepts. If there is any similarity, it is purely plagiarism. Readers should be discerning and respect originality!