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goldMessage interpretation:
Monday(7month25day)，现货黄金有望终结此前两个交易日的反弹走势，因在本周晚些时候美联储大幅加息之前，市场心态趋于谨慎。美国财政部长耶伦警告美国经济放缓，但表示衰退并非不可避免。
美联储即将加息75Basis points
尽管6月份通胀同比达到逾40New Year High9.1%，市场一度预计美联储本月加息幅度将扩大到100个基点，但美联储官员排除了在7month26Solstice27日的会议上加息100个基点的可能，而是延续6Monthly interest rate increase75个基点的做法。
上周，欧洲央行加入到全球不惜代价抗通胀的阵营中——超预期加息50个基点。欧洲央行行长拉加德随后在接受德国媒体采访时表示，欧洲央行将提高利率，直到通胀回落至2%The goal of.
尽管欧洲经济面临日益增长的下行风险，但欧洲央行仍将通胀视为即将到来的最大威胁，日益严重的通胀威胁促使欧洲央行放弃负利率政策。加上美联储本月进一步扩大加息幅度的可能性减少，为欧元兑美元汇率提供了新的动能，打压了美元，进而推动金价。
耶伦：衰退风险可避免
美联储希望在不引发失业激增的情况下冷却需求和经济活动，即所谓的“软着陆”情景。不过官员们也承认，实现这一目标的道路具有挑战性。
美国财政部长耶伦上周日(7month24day)表示，美国经济增长正在放缓，她承认存在衰退风险。但她表示衰退并非不可避免，强劲的招聘人数和消费者支出表明，美国经济目前并未陷入衰退。
耶伦说：“这不是一个处于衰退中的经济体，但我们正处于增长放缓的过渡时期，这是必要和适当的。”她补充到，最近美联储加息有助于遏制物价飙升，因为通胀“太高了”。
美联储正在密切关注即将到来的数据，以寻找通胀终于开始回落的信号，但它已承诺在通胀大幅降低至美联储设定的2%目标之前不会放松其货币政策收紧。
拜登政府正在抛售战略石油储备，耶伦称这已经帮助降低了能源价格，“最近几周，我们看到天然气价格下跌了约50cent(每加仑)，而且应该还会进一步下跌。”
ING FX分析师在一份给客户的报告中写道：“对衰退的担忧应该会继续阻止风险情绪稳固复苏，这应该会给避险资产(包括黄金)提供一些额外支撑。”
在普遍避险的环境下，金价下行势头受到缓冲。对全球经济衰退的担忧削弱了投资者信心，脆弱的市场情绪，促使投资者涌向避险资产。
Technical analysis of gold:
黄金上周五收日线级别报一根长上影阳K线，收盘价站上了短期10均线，但同时上影线暗示1739下压制也存在，加之短趋势仍还处于下跌通道，空头趋势不变，反弹只作为一种短期修正，随时容易压制打回原形；日线级别短期压力关注1739、1745、1752三处，短期支撑关注1715、1698、1690、1680四处； 离宣布加息还有两个交易日时间，直接很快跌破1680概率可能不大，即便下穿了也容易马上快速回抽上行；4小时级别晚间关注小区间1728-1723上下有效得失破位情况，指南金师倾向于是向下破位，走加息前的压制回测过程，下方留意10均线收盘价，一旦成功处于10日下，则很快会试探中轨1712一线，然后就是1700下方去回补和修正下短期的顶背驰指标，因此黄金今日操作思路上指南金师建议以反弹做空为主，回踩做多为辅，上方短期关注1731-1736Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1705-1700Frontline support.
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