Yu Yue on Jin:7.25黄金原油最新行情走势分析，黄金交易策略...

　goldTrend analysis



　　小时图上，上周五黄金冲高1740后回撤至1720上方震荡，短线跨度还是比较大的，虽然触及了预期的压力区，但也存在短线上涨被透支的可能性，导致本周行情技术上有些不稳，延续回弹的难度有所加大。日内黄金下方先关注1720一线争夺，主要支撑则看1715-12附近支撑回撤，不破1710下方，则短线整体还是会表现偏强，但在周二三时间段，受加息预期的打压，行情上涨难度还是很大的。



　　操作上，周初黄金暂时延续看一波回弹，但不要期待过大，本周初的回弹可以突破周五高点1740，但不破的可能性会更大。从周二起，黄金即看震荡为主，不做过多的参与，保守选择观望，以等待周四凌晨利率决定影响。



　　①周初激进可在回踩1720附近再轻仓搏短多，至1715附近轻仓补多，统一带1712Stop loss, target view1727-30即减仓，剩余持单再看1735-40附近减仓。上周有多单遗留的，也可继续带好保本止损持有，目标同前。



　　②周初暂时还是不考虑任何空单参与，如果上方在1740附近再度表现承压，或触及20Daily line1747-50区域，那么盘中根据实际情况再做短空策略调整。



　　③如果周初行情意外跌回1710以下，盘中务必先做观望，具体根据实际情况再做策略调整。



　　crude oilLatest market analysis:



　　原油技术面分析：原油近期的走势一直是大开大合，相对于之前的0.5美金风控当下稍显不足，因为之前是以技术面走势为主，目前是添加了情绪化的因素，因此经常会出现虚假的破位。周五也不例外，打破了短期的压力后上冲不到70美分再次出现预期中的大跌走势，转折点也是直接V型反转，目前看短线已经形成了向下的5波走势，说明下跌的第一阶段可能已经结束，行情需要充分的反弹修整才会开启新的跌势！



　　原油上周测压100.8一线后表现承压回落，日线级别回落节奏持续，连续三个交易日收阴下跌，再度跌破200日线，整体表现再度显得偏弱。但从小时图走势来看，美油短线依旧还是多空频繁转换的状态，行情走势受多重基本面以及市场情绪的影响，本周原油先保持弱势空头慢跌状态，看前期低点88.2是否破位，如果市场继续打压原油，本周可能会有新低出现，本周的利率决议也会影响原油走势，值得关注。周内技术面原油以先空为主，关注98压制下跌力度，日线连阴暂时还是弱势，因此，交易等待反弹做空。保持节奏，看空的状态也需要等待亚欧盘消化走完再给出交易，美盘反弹不过97可做空看美盘延续下跌空间，综上所述总结：今日原油操作思路上建议以反弹做空为主，上方短期关注95.7-96.2Frontline resistance, short-term focus below92.0-91.5Frontline support.



Silver Technology Analysis:



The rising potential of spot silver is relatively weaker than that of gold, and the price is inflated to break through the key pressure in the near future19.07After the first line of recovery, the price was driven by the overnight large funds, and the sentiment of gold rose. The overall technical indicators were moving upwards, and the potential to focus on prices continued. The focus for the day is still18.2-19Area;4The hourly price surge did not continue in the late trading session, and the price retreated to the Bollinger range. The indicators moved upwards, with a golden cross in the moving average. In terms of technical form, the overall trend of the market was inclined towards an upward pattern, as shown in the attached figureKDJThe indicators are moving downwards and there is a deviation signal in the technical aspect. As mentioned in the previous analysis, it is important to focus on the price above this week18.98The gains and losses of the price have not been effectively stabilized18.98Previously, it was recommended to be cautious in chasing up high positions and focus on high points under pressure from above19.2Nearby, suggested price retreat support in trading18.3Participated in multiple orders, rebound pressure last Friday's high still allows for short orders to participate.



Analysis of Paper Silver Technology:



DayK线价格交投布林中下轨窄幅震荡区间内，均线粘合布林中轨附近，市场情绪相对谨慎，价格主要受到现货白银的带动影响，预计价格冲高测试近期高点4.18附近将会出现回调的走势，KDJ指标处在超买区域，指标有修正需求，价格短期上方承压关注4.18-4.25，回撤关注3.96，建议涨跌不要胡乱追，区间震荡对待。