Guide Metallographer:7.25今日黄金走势分析，黄金横盘抗跌欲再冲

　　goldMessage interpretation:

　　上周黄金周线迎来了久违大反弹，金价从最低点1680.7一路反弹到1739.0附近，反弹幅度达60美金，黄金重新回到1700.0上方，多头强势归来。欧洲央行11First interest rate hike in years50个基点，意味着欧央行结束了持续八年的负利率。欧元跳涨，同时美元的弱势及美国国债收益率下降助推了金价上扬，因为欧元区担忧通胀明显恶化，此处加息是合理的。同时乌克兰的地缘政治风险、能源价格上涨和大量债务都在推动对黄金买盘。

　　上周美国劳工部公布，截止7month16日当周，初请失业金人数增加了7000多人，经季节调整后为25.1万人，为去年11月以来的最高，情况不容乐观。美国房地产市场也已经开始感受到加息带来的痛苦，最新数据显示，美国6月份新屋开工减少了2%, reduce9月份以来最低水平，而营建许可下降了0.6%，这两个数据都是月度数据。美国成屋数据下降了5.4%，创两年的新低，也就是说，美国的经济开始衰退信号。

　　目前市场注意力逐渐转向美国今年第二季度的GDP增长上，如果再次录得负增长，那么经济衰退就非常明显了。此前银行数据追踪机构的数据显示，第一季度美国GDPdecline1.6%，如果第二季度再次下降，实际上美国经济已经陷入技术性衰退。因此，加上美联储为抑制通胀不断加息的举措，人们对美国经济陷入衰退的担忧重现升温，黄金也因此获得了持续的支撑。

　　今日关注数据及时间：

　　16:00 Germany7monthIFOBusiness Prosperity Index

　　18:00 britain7monthCBIIndustrial order difference

　　22:30 U.S.A7Dallas Fed Business Activity Index for the Month

Technical analysis of gold:

　　黄金上周下探回升走反弹修正，周线连阴下挫后，首周反弹收涨，周线收成中阳KFrom the perspective of the line and weekly chart, it is currently in a downward trend of rebound correction, and the combination of continuous negative and negative declines with the rebound correction of the small positive line belongs to the normal correction area. Last week, the daily line first suppressed and then rose, with inertia declining1680After stabilizing nearby, the daily line was corrected with two consecutive positive rebounds. Reboot1700上方。上周五尾盘时段一度冲击至1739High, but closing at1720Nearby. Daily Harvest Small Sun Cross with Shadow LineK线。日线进入夹角区间震荡修正，此前连续弱势下跌后，首次连阳反弹，停顿震荡修正，趋势而言，后市依旧看空，目前空间还不足以完成反转。

Gold4The rapid rebound of the hour chart, with a downward trend and a sustained cooperation in space, has led to a short-term break from a weak decline and a shift towards a volatile correction4Looking at the hourly chart, the rebound is still in the downward trend, and after a consecutive positive rebound, the market closed lower. The relative rebound space this week will be limited, which may be accompanied by repeated upward pressure and eventually turn into a weak decline. The principle of repeatedly declining. At the beginning of this week, the key is to determine the upper track of the rebound range. Follow first1739And the daily track1746Nearby, rebound today and tomorrow as long as it doesn't recover1746中轨阻力，则后市维持在此位之下继续看空。反弹只是修正而非反转。短线还会反复的走修正后的下探。综上所述，今日黄金操作思路上指南金师建议以回调做多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期关注1738-1743Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1715-1710Frontline support.

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