Guide Metallographer:7.25今日黄金走势分析，美联储加息预期降温

　　goldMessage interpretation:

　　关注数据及时间：

　　16:00 Germany7monthIFOBusiness Prosperity Index

　　18:00 britain7monthCBIIndustrial order difference

　　22:30 U.S.A7Dallas Fed Business Activity Index for the Month

Last Friday(7month22day), USA7monthMarkitmanufacturingPMIInitial value recorded52.3, creating2020year8月以来新低；美国7monthMarkitService industryPMIInitial value recorded47, creating2020year6月以来新低。机构认为，美国经济正在令人担忧地恶化，排除公共卫生事件封锁时期的月份，工业产出正以自2009年全球金融危机以来从未见过的速度下降。数据公布后，相关数据显示本周美联储加息75基点的可能性略有下降。此外，欧洲央行行长拉加德表示，为了让通胀回到2%，利率需要提多高就会提多高，而且加息只是取消特别措施过程中的最新一步，将评估形势，并根据最新数据决定下一步行动的正确步伐。根据市场押注，投资者预计欧洲央行年底前还将加息约113个基点。受以上消息面影响，黄金大举反攻，一度逼近1740美元关口，随后回落至1720nearby

　　本周四将迎来万众瞩目的美联储利率决议，投资者普遍预期本周美联储将仅加息75Basis points, interest rate hike100点的预期再度降温。除了美联储利率决议，本周投资者将重点关注美国二季度GDPand7monthPCE数据，市场预计美国经济增长乏力，GDP可能再次出现负增长，有望给金价提供进一步反弹机会。

Technical analysis of gold:

　　黄金上周下探回升走反弹修正，周线连阴下挫后，首周反弹收涨，周线收成中阳KFrom the perspective of the line and weekly chart, it is currently in a downward trend of rebound correction, and the combination of continuous negative and negative declines with the rebound correction of the small positive line belongs to the normal correction area. Last week, the daily line first suppressed and then rose, with inertia declining1680After stabilizing nearby, the daily line was corrected with two consecutive positive rebounds. Reboot1700上方。上周五尾盘时段一度冲击至1739High, but closing at1720Nearby. Daily Harvest Small Sun Cross with Shadow LineK线。日线进入夹角区间震荡修正，此前连续弱势下跌后，首次连阳反弹，停顿震荡修正，趋势而言，后市依旧看空，目前空间还不足以完成反转。

Gold4The rapid rebound of the hour chart, with a downward trend and a sustained cooperation in space, has led to a short-term break from a weak decline and a shift towards a volatile correction4Looking at the hourly chart, the rebound is still in the downward trend, and after a consecutive positive rebound, the market closed lower. The relative rebound space this week will be limited, which may be accompanied by repeated upward pressure and eventually turn into a weak decline. The principle of repeatedly declining. At the beginning of this week, the key is to determine the upper track of the rebound range. Follow first1739And the daily track1746Nearby, rebound today and tomorrow as long as it doesn't recover1746中轨阻力，则后市维持在此位之下继续看空。反弹只是修正而非反转。短线还会反复的走修正后的下探。综上所述，今日黄金操作思路上指南金师建议以回调做多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期关注1738-1743Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1715-1710Frontline support.

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