Guide Metallographer:7.22黄金抄底机会来了吗？还是一次诱多信号？

　　goldMessage interpretation:

　　昨日黄金价格出现强势低位回升，成功修复此前十分关键的1700大关，这对于近段时间的节奏而言明显有些好转的迹象，之所以会有明显的反弹，是因为昨日欧央行加息后欧元得到了上行，而美元也有所承压，另一方面市场进一步担心在全球过于激进地缩减政策的同时，可能会引发经济衰退的危机。

　　指南金师现货黄金参考新闻：美国上周初请失业金人数连续第三周上升，达到八个月最高，而一项备受关注的工厂活动指标本月也下滑，这些最新的迹象表明，在利率上升和高通胀的压力下，美国经济正在放缓。美联储以数10年来最快步伐加息，以抑制1980年代以来最高水平的通胀已经引发了对经济衰退的担忧，最新数据进一步加剧这一担忧。

Focus on spot gold market today:

Eurozone7monthMarkitmanufacturingPMI初值；

United States7monthMarkitmanufacturingPMI初值；

American goodsfuturesTrading Committee(CFTC)公布周度持仓报告。

　　指南金师提别提醒：来到本周最后一个交易日的市场基本面不算特别活跃，晚间只有制造业数据值得稍加关注，考虑到欧央行昨晚加息后以及下周美联储即将要再度加息75个基点，所以预计日内市场还是会继续发酵和预热为主。

Technical analysis of gold:

　　黄金昨日先持续震荡回落，主要原因在于市场对下周美联储利率决定可能打压黄金的预期担忧，同时黄金自身失守1700后导致消极情绪蔓延，不过晚间欧银超预期加息，使得黄金间接得到利好，多头也因此出现预期的报复性补涨动作，上方高点测压至1720一线，日线收得一带有下影线的中阳。

　　日线结构上，昨日阳线完全包络前一日阴线，贯穿突破5日线，测压至10日线附近，如此形态在技术上基本可以视作为短线反弹信号。技术指标上，底部背离信号也得到释放，短线行情延续看回弹的概率还是很大的，后期行情很有可能会回弹测压20日线附近，同时也是前期交易高点位压力，行情回弹至此后，大概率再选择震荡，以等待美联储利率决定影响。日内下方关注5Daily line1710附近回撤，只要行情不收回在1710下方，那么基本可以延续1-2个交易日的回弹，上方测压1730、1740even to the extent that1750都还是有可能的。

　　结合小时图走势，隔夜行情拉升突破1700后，整体表现出的状态也是偏强的，符合预期的报复性补涨需要，目前行情在17300一线有承压也是技术需要，日内下方可先关注1710附近回踩测试，主要支撑测可能要看1705-00一带，只要行情不落回1700以下，基本可继续看回弹。综上所述，今日黄金操作思路上指南金师建议回调做多为主，反弹做空为辅，下方关注1705-1710USD support, following from above1735-1740US dollar resistance.

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