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Dingsheng Jinshi:7.22今日黄金走势分析,黄金隔夜探底回升,底...

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Thursday20:15,欧洲央行公布利率决议,将三大关键利率均上调50个基点,这也是欧洲央行11年来的首次加息,并结束了欧元区的0利率时代。另外拉加德的新闻发布会意外鹰派言论支撑了欧元,给了gold上涨的理由。


In terms of gold:


  欧洲央行加息并没有美联储加息影响大,关键是这次欧洲央行加息以及发布会的鹰派言论都出乎市场意料之外,导致这波黄金上涨,也要解释下,虽然都是加息,对黄金的影响是不一样的,比如美联储加息,对黄金影响就是利空的,但欧洲央行加息,却是利多黄金的,所以不要认为加息就都是利空黄金的。暂时不考虑欧洲央行加息的后续影响,先从技术面分析昨天的行情走势。周四亚欧盘黄金震荡慢跌,整体的下跌力度并不大,关键点位1680一直未能下破,美盘反弹也是情理之中,日线以长下引线的阳柱收尾,午夜高点在1720, return to1700上方,日线周期有一定的筑底反弹信号,但是要看反转,还需要后续两个交易日能否继续收阳走涨,否则跟昨天看空一样,虽然跌破1700,但目前又回到1700上方,下破走势不稳,不能当成趋势走势,这也是为什么我在分析的时候,出现形态后,一直会强调要有确认信号的原因。午夜黄金高点在1720,早间开盘,黄金承压走弱,这里正好是小时周期240日均线压制,那么对于昨天美盘大涨,今天亚欧盘也有理由去看调整行情,下方关键支撑看1700-1705附近,欧美盘确认支撑,再去做多看涨。


Technical analysis:


  黄金日线呈下降趋势运行,昨日在低位出现了阳包阴,但仅凭单纯的K线组合还不足以改变趋势,最多只能说此处可能有反弹,至于反转还需要时间和空间进一步验证,所以中期走势目前仍然看下行;小时图V型反转局面,目前价格在1720一线受阻,预计短期向下调整的概率比较高。


  亚盘操作建议,黄金在1716Short selling, stop loss1721, Objective1705/1696


  黄金在回调1706Multiple, stop loss1700, look at the goal1720and1732and1740Pressure.


  crude oilTrend analysis:


  原油日内小幅震荡回落,在H4级别走势上隔夜一波拉升并没有太好的延续力度。目前K线有开始逐步走破短周期均线的迹象,原油在技术形态上开始逐步走弱。H1级别走势上日内小幅寸头下行之后走出一波小幅反弹修复,但是短期的空头形态依旧保持的较好。倾向于原油短线能有延续的回落走势。原油在连续三个交易日反弹之后开始逐步放缓,在H4级别走势上目前虽暂时维持在高位窄幅区间震荡中,短周期均线开始由前期的向上发散逐步转为放平向下发散,在技术形态上已经开始逐步走弱,要注意原油可能出现的回落走势。今日操作思路上金珩建议原油高空为主。上方关注101Resistance, pay attention below94.5Frontline support.


Today's Key Financial Data and Events2022year7month22日周五


  ①07:01britain7monthGfkConsumer confidence index


  ②07:30Japan6Monthly CoreCPIthe annual rate


  ③14:00britain6Monthly retail sales rate after quarterly adjustment


  ④15:15France7Monthly manufacturing industryPMIinitial value


  ⑤15:30Germany7Monthly manufacturing industryPMIinitial value


  ⑥16:00eurozone7Monthly manufacturing industryPMIinitial value


⑦16:30britain7Monthly manufacturing and service industryPMI


⑧20:30Canada5Monthly retail sales rate


⑨21:45U.S.A7monthMarkitmanufacturingPMIinitial value


1021:45U.S.A7monthMarkitService industryPMIinitial value


  ⑪次日01:00From the United States to7month22Total number of oil drilling in the current week


  ⑫次日03:30U.S.ACFTC公布周度持仓报告


Serve as an analyst and commentator for well-known financial channels such as Sina Finance and Globalforeign exchange》Professional contributors to several well-known financial forums such as "Huitong Net" and "Zhongjin Net", specializing in short, medium, and long term operations of gold, crude oil, and silver. Investment is risky, and caution should be exercised when entering the market. Suggestions are for reference only; This article is original by Dingsheng Jinshi, who carefully writes every analysis and conveys valuable investment concepts. If there is any similarity, it is purely plagiarism. Readers should be discerning and respect originality!

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