指南金师：今日黄金关注数据，空头跌势不变，反弹就是空

　　goldMessage interpretation:

Yesterday(7month20day), USA6月份成屋销售降至两年来最低水平，借贷成本飙升继续侵蚀人们的购房负担能力。美国全国地产经纪商协会公布的数据显示，美国6The total monthly sales of completed houses are annualized as512万户，较上月下降5.4%。经济学家的预期中值为535万。销量连续第五个下滑，这是自2013年以来最糟糕的情况，而且可能会进一步恶化。美联储正积极加息以对抗通胀，这一举措令整个房地产市场降温。由于市场对激进货币政策的担忧，美元指数在经历多日的回落后，昨日止跌企稳重新收复107Gateway;10年期美债收益率一度下破3%，最终收报3.03%。黄金在美盘时段遭遇大单砸盘，跌穿1700重要关口，最低触及1685nearby

　　日内聚焦日本央行和欧洲央行利率决议，需要留意的是，目前市场对欧洲央行周四加息50个基点的预期有所升温，英国通胀率创40年来新高，市场对英国央行8Monthly interest rate hike50基点的预期也显著升温，也降低了非孳息资产黄金的吸引力。

Today's Focus:

　　11:00 日本央行公布利率决议和前景展望报告

　　14:30 Bank of Japan Governor Toshiko Kuroda Holds a Press Conference

　　20:15 The European Central Bank Announces Interest Rate Resolutions

　　20:30 From the United States to7month16Number of initial claims for unemployment benefits in the current week

　　20:30 U.S.A7Monthly Philadelphia Federal Reserve Manufacturing Index

　　20:45 European Central Bank President Lagarde Holds a Press Conference

　　22:00 U.S.A6Monthly consultation chamber leading indicator monthly rate

Technical analysis of gold:

　　周三黄金空头重启，下跌再次刷新低点，趋势力度在午夜偷跌至1692，单日有22美金的跌幅，虽然没有前期的强势，但再次给多头的反攻沉重一击。对于趋势而言，多头已经完全沦陷，前期讲过，黄金跌破1700关口，下方就要去1675，而且并不一定是低点，这个周期顺势看空即可。日线压制在单边均线之下收大阴，很明显，这个周期黄金下跌再次开启，并且看不到底部，周线和月线也看不到底部，只有一个1675的参考点。如果跌破，下方就没有支撑，发展空间就无限量。因此，暂时黄金在1695附近还有较大的下跌空间，交易还需顺势做空，不猜底。

　　黄金到目前为止打破了窄幅区间震荡，目前的已经跌破前低点1697一线，横盘震荡的时间拉的越长爆发出来的空间也就会越大。4小时级别走势上的技术形态基本修复完成但是价向下破位，在H1级别走势上也练出走出向下破位延续的节奏，短期的走势仍相对偏弱一些。小周期4In the hourly chart,5，10日单边均线压制在1700，1707，日内顺势做空策略是等待反弹1700做空，美盘的力度先看1685Look again1675，如果意外大涨站稳1707之上则再次转为震荡。对于日内行情而言，黄金继续保持趋势空，看空不追空，亚欧盘等待反弹，趋势压制点在1700，1707，反弹结束后再做空。综上所述，今日黄金操作思路上指南金师建议反弹做空为主，回调做多为辅，上方关注1700-1703USD resistance, follow below1680-1675USD support.

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