Chen Zeqiang:7.20黄金美盘涨跌走势分析，黄金行情交易操作策略

Acquaintance is fate, acquaintance is fate. I firmly believe that it is fate to meet for a thousand miles, and it is fate to wipe our shoulders without a share. The journey of investment is long, and temporary gains and losses are only the tip of the iceberg along the way. You should know that a wise man who has a thousand worries will have a loss, and a fool who has a thousand worries will have a gain. No matter how emotional you are, time will not stagnate due to you. Pick up the boredom in your heart and stand up again to pack up and move forward. At this moment, being able to read here indicates that you and I are destined. As long as you are willing to share your gains and losses with me, I will be happy to help you overcome difficulties and become your confidant on the investment journey. The stagnation of your heart makes you sit at the bottom of the well and sigh in the sky. Am I fortunate enough to accompany you as I pass by.

InternationalgoldMessage and technical aspects:

　　黄金市场资讯：周三（7month20日）亚欧时段，现货黄金小幅反弹。虽然美元回调、地缘局势担忧、经济衰退担忧为金价提供逢低买盘和避险买盘支撑，但金价反弹相对较小，连续三个交易日反弹受阻，暗示上方卖压较强，而且市场认为虽然美联储7月不太可能会加息100点，但加息周期可能会持续到明年初，全球多个央行也偏向激进加息，全球股市普遍上涨，短线金价的进一步下探风险有所增加。需要留意的是，目前市场对欧洲央行周四加息50个基点的预期有所升温，英国通胀率创40年来新高，市场对英国央行8Monthly interest rate hike50基点的预期也显著升温，也降低了非孳息资产黄金的吸引力。本交易日重点关注欧洲央行公布的季度欧元区经济预期调查和美国6月成屋销售年化总数，留意地缘局势相关消息、新冠疫情相关消息和全球股市表现。

　　黄金技术面解析：黄金价格连续数日在低位震荡，目前方向不明，有震荡修正的嫌疑，积累一定的动能即可能出现宽幅快速行情！自7月初以来，金价一直处于超卖区间。不过，黄金目前可能已准备好大幅反弹，因为金价已在较低水平形成连续两个十字星。如果金价开始反弹，那么趋势线阻力位1733dollar/盎司将是多头需要攻克的水平。在此之前，昨日高点1725dollar/盎司可能会受到考验。14Daily Relative strength index(RSI)在超卖区域内缓慢走高，也支持金价出现修正性上涨。另一方面，如果金价跌破1705dollar/盎司支撑区域，那么金价将延续跌势并跌向数月低点1698dollar/盎司。在此之后，黄金空头的下一目标预计在1680dollar/盎司。综合来看黄金日线三连阳，但依然缺乏一根激励多方士气的中阳或大阳线。1小时周期低点继续抬升，整体走势更像是上涨前的蓄势行为，晚间建议重点关注上方1725-1733One line of resistance, pay attention below1705-1697Frontline support!

　　个人建议：回调做多为主；GOLDWatershed:1710dollar/ounce

　　黄金策略参考：空单建议1725-1733Entry and stop loss respectively5USD, target1705-1700Nearby; Multiple order suggestions1700-1705Entry and stop loss respectively5USD, target1725-1733nearby

　　crude oilMarket trend analysis

　　原油趋势预期卡MA5周线阻力104.1区域下跌，昨日尾盘更是暴跌40个点，这个空单利润完美把握到手。日线上原油实时油价跌破MA5\MA10Mean line bonding position99.6一线，日线布林带下轨支撑由昨日的93.2转变为现在的91.6，进一步确定原油价格行情的弱势，4小时盘面上，原油价格触及布林带上轨快速回落，价格连续跌穿MA5\MA10均线以及布林带中轨和MA60均线粘合位，向下延续的势头比较强烈。附图指标上KDJ随机指标死叉，MACD指标红色柱减弱，SAR抛物线指标出现在高位向下发展，抛物线转向指标同步给出顶部信号，综合来看今日行情上方关注101.8-104.3Resistance, pay attention below97.5-95.3支撑，操作上陈泽强建议反弹做空为主。整体结构陈泽强不看好破新低，下方94.7挂多单尝试波段持有。

　　注：反弹101.5（正负3个点）做空看98.0破位持有；激进反弹100关口附近建仓空单；策略默认止损6Points;

This article is exclusively authored by analyst Chen Zeqiang. I have always been passionate about the gold and crude oil markets. Due to the delay in online push, the above content is my personal suggestion. Due to the timeliness of online publishing, it is for reference only and at my own risk. Please indicate the source when reprinting