Dingsheng Jinshi:7.20黄金走势分析，美指重创金价多头不为所动...

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Yesterday,gold波动不大，维持在1710附近窄幅震荡，虽然美元指数延续跌势，日线三连阴，并一度创近两周新低至106.36附近，但黄金价格却维持低位窄幅震荡走势，并没有走出明显的反弹行情，一方面是美G大涨收盘至六周高位，打压了避险需求，而且美债收益率上涨，增加持有黄金的机会成本，另一方面，虽然市场预计美联储7Monthly interest rate increase100点概率仅30%，但未来可能会维持激进加息，而且全球多数央行倾向于大幅加息，也对金价打压明显，考虑到周四欧洲央行将加息25Point or50点，黄金价格短线进一步下探的风险也明显增加。


　　整体来看，黄金价格目前处于低位震荡调整走势，美元回调、地缘局势担忧、经济衰退担忧为黄金提供逢低买盘和避险买盘支撑，但价格整体反弹相对较小，连续三个交易日反弹受阻，暗示上方空方压力较强，而且市场认为虽然美联储7月不会加息100点，但加息周期可能会持续到明年初，全球多个央行也偏向激进加息，这令黄金多头有所顾忌。


　　7.20今日金价行情分析解读：


　　黄金日线级别：昨日再次收报一根上影线阳十字K，连续两日震荡反弹都显得无力，且始终承压于10均线下运行，则存在再次破底风险；而由于1680-75一线处于前期大双底，也临近2070-1998下降通道下轨支撑，另外按照每一波跌幅200美金左右则会出现企稳反弹上攻修正，力度也会相对可以；因此，个人认为黄金底部整理不上，会再最后诛心杀跌一波，才会出现力度偏大的上行反弹去修正1780，届时也刚好可以修复下严重的背驰和超卖指标；


Gold4小时级别：短期均线已经密集缠绕一处，布林带缩口走平，这是为下一波行情在做准备；价格只要处于10日和中轨下运行，短期就是弱势；而macd是处于背驰状态，一旦跌破1697前低，就容易出现反抽修正；


　　黄金小时线级别：隔夜基本维持窄幅5美金整理，早盘小幅拉升承压1713.5，当前下滑有所破位短期趋势支撑线，那么1710作为反抽确认存在一定压制，承压不上则会进一步的走跌，下方支撑关注1705Frontline and1697First line, strong support1680上下；而风水岭明确就是早盘高点1713.5，要震荡延续下滑，就不能再去破高；因此，操作思路很简单，以早盘高点作为防守，去择机跟空，看欧盘能否进一步的打压下行，一旦连阴继续破位，则美盘反弹二次做空即可；反之，欧盘破早间高点，则美盘继续回归区间内反复整理；


In terms of gold operations:1713.5上为防守，去择机跟空，目标1705、1700-1697、1690、1680下企稳计划反手波段多；


　　7.20今日油价行情走势解读:


　　石油经过123一路震荡下跌，基本日线双顶形态成立，乌克兰危机前所有品种都是回到当初价格，现在唯一石油还有测试77reach83区域，一直说消息最终影响波动幅度和力度，不会改变趋势，哪里来到哪里去，这个和前期分析一致，米国最后禁止石油进口，最大利多出现没有突破130It indicates that stress manifests when things reach their extreme. Rebound and continue to short to meet the second gap92区域其次85Region, which means100Give you a light warehouse without hesitation, even if it's empty1Ten thousand dollars0.1The layout is also acceptable, and the total warehouse should not exceed0.3Then wait for the market news to ease, or the bulls will experience a final crazy flash crash, following the bearish trend40一样走势，现在加速赶顶，你要做的，就是不要追多了，防止突然开启下跌。


　　crude oilOperation strategy:


Radical97Participated in the empty space nearby, encountered again in the stable midline104.8Near the area, the central line has been opened for short selling, after all, the pressure is gradually moving downwards, and the following is running92reach85Go. First encounter85reach80Multiple regional options.


Serve as an analyst and commentator for well-known financial channels such as Sina Finance and Globalforeign exchange》Professional contributors to several well-known financial forums such as "Huitong Net" and "Zhongjin Net", specializing in short, medium, and long term operations of gold, crude oil, and silver. Investment is risky, and caution should be exercised when entering the market. Suggestions are for reference only; This article is original by Dingsheng Jinshi, who carefully writes every analysis and conveys valuable investment concepts. If there is any similarity, it is purely plagiarism. Readers should be discerning and respect originality!