Xiao Yizhou:7.18今日黄金价格趋势，早间黄金最新走势分析。

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Xiao Yizhou - The following is for the daygoldcrude oilDaily trend analysis and specific operational strategies

　　黄金上周连阴收低，创下近期的新低位1697.36dollar|盎司。周线五连阴下跌，周初开盘维持在此前的修正高点1752之下承压下行，整理后弱势走低，周尾稍有停顿，局部震荡修正，从反弹空间来看，仍不改弱势空头局面，反弹空间有限，以横向整理代替大幅度反弹。美元的短暂回踩，给金价短线反弹喘息之机会。消息方面：美国通胀同比增幅创逾40Annual high9.1%，对美联储加息提速的预期大幅提振了美元，打压了上周金价的整体走势。

　　美联储官员表示，为应对高通胀，可能会在本月晚些时候再次加息75Basis points.7month26Solstice27日，美联储将召开新的货币政策例会。从16日起，美联储官员进入会前静默期。上周，美国公布的通胀数据续刷历史纪录，7Monthly interest rate increase100基点的预期快速升温。不过美联储官员迅速安抚市场，表示7月美联储单次加息100基点有些冒进，支持7Monthly interest rate increase75Basis points, interest rate hike100基点的概率随即回落。

　　4小时短线仍处于下行台阶通道中运行，次高点1752是短期的强弱分界点，此位之下看空依旧，而目前已经甩开较远距离，随着弱势向下的测低，反弹高点也会慢慢向下，反复找临界点去择机看空，而目前在中轨处的阻力与上周五的高点1716重合。此位是短线反弹首个阻力考验，其次就是1723-1728一带。反弹修正之后继续看下行，目前就是确定反弹修正的空间大小问题，弱势反弹小，以低位横盘整理为主。

　　原油上周中阴线下挫收低，曾一度虚破颈线92.80后下探90.50.不过尾盘仍收盘在颈线之上。周线仍在争夺颈线的得失，从周线来看，此前双高130.50123.50受阻。目前靠近颈线，一度能够收盘在颈线之下，周线级别的双顶调整空间会比较大，目前还在争夺防守点当中。日线阴阳循环，此前连阴下挫后，十字K线下探回升仍拉回颈线之上震荡，本周仍重点留意颈线的得与失。消息方面：美国公布的6monthCPI数据意外大幅度超预期，使得市场对美联储大幅升息的预期升温，这不利于油价。另外，上周美国总统拜登开启中东之行，希望敦促中东国家增产，该消息也给油价沉重压力。

　　4小时目前仍处于下行台阶中运行。上周虽有反弹，但在下行趋势线附近承压仍收在之下，目前两个级别的下行通道趋势线，第一道阻力在99.0.第二道阻力在102.50附近。结合小台阶高点105.20的防守，整体处于向下当中，只是波动基数大，此前下探后的反抽空间也略大，但结构上处于下行趋势，短线维持反弹高空，周初先依托99.0第一道阻力看空。继续看争夺92.80.有效失守则加仓跟进空。

　　7-18(Monday)Gold, crude oil:

Gold:(1)1716-1721间分别空防守1728target1700-1698破位再下看。

Crude oil: {1｝97.30-97.50Nearby air defense99.15target94.60-93.0落袋半仓破位再下看。

Yizhou Case Sharing:

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