Xiao Yizhou:7.15今日黄金价格趋势，早间黄金最新走势分析。

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Xiao Yizhou - The following is for the daygoldcrude oilDaily trend analysis and specific operational strategies

Gold trend analysis:

　　金价周四急挫超过2%，触及近一年来最低，美元延续大幅反弹的趋势，同时市场对美联储大幅加息的预期增强。美元触及20年高位，在近期经济风险不断增加的情况下，成为首选避险资产，而黄金则受到打击。周三的数据显示，美国消费物价创下40年半来的最大同比涨幅，为美联储大幅加息以抑制通胀提供理据。同时，美联储理事沃勒表示，“市场消化7月会议加息100个基点的预期，这可能过头了。“美国上周初请失业金人数连续第二周上升，表明劳动力市场有所降温。金价昨日技术面再度迎来空头反包极弱破位走势，价格在亚欧盘小幅冲高承压1734一线再度回落走跌，午后进一步向下击穿前一日颈线位1725关口并持续走弱，最终欧美盘进一步加速下行破位1707一线前期低点支撑延续走弱，晚间美盘价格继续破位1700整数关口到达1697一线小幅反抽弱势收盘，日k线报收回落破位中阴，在前一日借助数据探底回升后金价再度被打回原形，进一步呈现空头弱势下行格局，今日上方压力继续关注昨日欧盘开跌口1720上方，日内冲高依托此位置压制继续主空下看回落，下方目标位继续关注破底，在前一日多头一日游后昨日空头迎来猛烈反扑收阴，趋势依旧弱势空头下行不变，所以近期继续保持顺势主空节奏即可，多单暂时不做安排，具体操作策略我会在盘中提示，及时关注。

Gold Operation Strategy (Short term)

　　1Asian and European markets stabilize1720Short selling, stop loss1727target1710-1705

　　2European and American markets are under pressure1718Direct empty, stop loss1725target1708-1705

Analysis of crude oil trend:

　　7month14日美油futuresClosing down0.5%Settlement price report95.78dollar/桶；盘中一度暴跌近6%approximation90美元。早前投资者关注美国本月晚些时候大幅加息的前景，这可能会遏制通胀，但也会打击石油需求。与此同时，美元大幅走高也打压着油价。美国总统拜登将于周五飞往沙特阿拉伯，在那里他将出席海湾盟友的峰会，并呼吁他们生产更多石油。然而，石油输出国组织(OPEC)的闲置产能已经很低了，大多数产油国都在以最大产能进行生产，目前还不清楚沙特能迅速地再向市场提供多少石油。早在3月，白宫曾试图安排拜登与重要产油国沙特及阿联酋领导人通话，商讨遏制油价。未料吃尽“闭门羹”，无论是沙特王储还是阿联酋阿布扎比王储，都拒接拜登的通话。而今，拜登亲赴中东，计划当面阐述欧佩克国家增加石油产量的理由。不过分析人士并不看好，认为拜登可能只会获得“象征性”石油增产，对降低美国国内油价没有多大帮助，包括沙特在内的欧佩克+面对美国的要求可能会保持谨慎。综合来看，宏观风险因素完全压倒了实物市场基本面吃紧，油价自由落体式下跌。未来几周的风险偏向下行。

　　原油日线十字碎阳线盘整，盘面中日线布林带开口，各均线指标空头排列，关键MA5阻力下移99.3，MA10均线阻力下移至101.2一线，整体结构并没有改，还是处于空头控盘阶段，但月线MA10average93.7支撑也比较强劲，日内大区间暂定98.7-93.5区域，短线思路贴近高低点进场。4小时盘面中布林带上轨向下发展，下轨下移至92.0一线，近两个交易日行情承压布林带中轨98.7下方运行，思路依旧保持反弹做空更稳妥。附图指标上MACD绿色柱衰竭，快慢线低位粘合即将有结金叉信号，KDJ随机指标运行于中部区域，上涨下跌都有空间，SAR抛物线指标依旧延续向下延伸，萧毅舟更看好原油反弹后再次下跌。综合来看，原油今日操作思路上萧毅舟建议以反弹高空为主，回踩做多为辅，上方短期关注99.0-100.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below93.0-92.0Frontline support.

Yizhou Case Sharing:

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