Xiao Yizhou:7.14黄金原油早间最新走势分析及操作策略。

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Xiao Yizhou - The following is for the daygoldcrude oilDaily trend analysis and specific operational strategies

　　黄金昨日先抑后扬，高低点集中在美盘时段，最低回测1707.最高反抽1745.短线一波过山车式的下探回升，且日线相对收在高位。日线在连续弱势摔低之后首次出现回升收阳的走法，且伴随了下探回升，使得短线局部开始下行放缓。可能进入低位震荡拉锯。今日的延续性是关键，价格进入千七关口后，短线加剧震荡幅度。技术结构仍是空头下行，但买盘也开始涌现。使得短期多空互现。短线会反复上演冲高回落或者下探回升的洗盘。消息方面：美国6月消费者物价同比跃升9.1%, creating over40年来最大涨幅，这份报告提高了美联储加息多于75个基点的可能性。美元在最初的大涨后回落，帮助黄金避开了美国消费者物价飙升后大幅加息前景带来的压力。日线目前压制线在10Daily line1752附近，此位之下还会反复。直接反转不简单，但短线会迂回。

　　4小时图下探回升触碰上轨承压，布林道开始收口，上轨处的阻力刚好也是前一日的高点压力，触及后承压。今日早盘开盘在中性位置。如期将1752-1707做为本周区间，目前相对在中性位置震荡，上有空头压制，下有低点支撑。短线节奏稍有放缓，加上逼近千七关口有一定的低位买盘，这也是昨日1725-1728的空单在回落1712一带后及时落袋的原因，低位连续的摔低放量之后常常配合反复拉锯。稍有贪恋就会拉回原点，故要及时落袋。经过昨日过山车。打破了周初极弱的下跌格局，短线局部进入震荡。区间要待欧盘后来决定，结合形态临盘灵活应对超短线。波动基数大，更考验进场点位，多空都有机会。阻力1738-17401845临界点1752.50.

　　原油昨日小阳十字K线整理收盘，空间走得不大，区间来回拉锯，技术结构上从高位回落之后接近颈线93.0-92.80争夺点，此位是决定中期多空方向延续。市场进入谨慎争夺期。靠近后没有直接破位，使得短期延续性不定。日线十字稍有停顿。消息方面：尽管美国石油库存增加，且美国通胀数据支持美联储再次大幅加息。原油自高位123.0高位回落后面临颈线支撑点的得失选择。

　　4小时结构仍处于台阶下行通道中运行，单从4小时来看，不考虑颈线的得失，短线相对偏空一点点，就是空间延续性的问题，目前周线是在下轨受到支撑，同时也是周线的双顶构造确认颈线得失。所以相对谨慎。可能会陷入收缩震荡再蓄势放量选择突破。1小时图还处于回落当中，考虑到下行台阶还可适当靠近93.0-92.80.短线可尝试先行短空，至于能否破位再决定后市空间。先短空后在颈线上方及时落袋一次，破位再跟进。阻力97.20-97.70一带。小时图布林道开始收口，上轨阻力在97.20触及短空看下轨，看欧盘适当顶开一定空间。不过在收缩行情中，先当作震荡超短线对待。

　　7-14(Thursday)Gold, crude oil:

Gold:1736-1738Air defense1748.50target1720-1715.

Crude oil:97.0-97.20附近先超短线空一次 defense98.05target95.0-94.0.

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