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Guide Metallographer:7.14恐怖数据压制市场,破而后立直接多

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  goldMarket trend analysis:

Analysis of Gold News: Tuesday(7month12day),现货黄金在创下2021year9month30New low since the beginning of the day1723.05dollar/盎司后持稳,因美元指数回踩108关口。即将公布的美国6月通胀数据料巩固美联储激进的鹰派立场,继续利空金市场,但增长前景担忧减缓了金价下行步伐。美联储决策层也对潜在过度收紧货币政策的风险发出警告。亚特兰大联储主席博斯蒂克周一(7month11day)表示,近期的通胀数据并不令人鼓舞。他表示,由于物价环比上涨速度并未改善,因此在政策制定者本月晚些时候开会时,联邦基金利率将再上调75个基点。随着即将到来的美联储进一步超大规模加息,黄金将在短期内继续受到严重压制。若美国整体CPI数据高于预期,应该会为本月晚些时候美联储再次加息75个基点铺平道路。这种情况将被广泛解读为对黄金不利。

  黄金技术面来看,黄金日KTwo consecutive negative events on the daily trading day, with prices operating below the weekly Bollinger band's lower track. Affected by factors such as the strong rise of the US dollar, the overall trend of gold prices is extremely weak. The three tracks of the Bollinger band in the daily trading day shift downward, and the daily Bollinger band's lower track support moves downward1715Frontline, the current high point of this week is1745Nearby, if there is no physical breakthrough in the trend, it will be a decline. In the short term, the US dollar will be strongly controlled, and the gold mentality will mainly maintain a high rebound.4On the hourly market, the Bollinger band is closed, with a small compression range, and various moving average indicators are relatively chaoticKThe trend of the line pierces the lower track back and forth, with a higher probability of breaking through downwards. On the attached indicatorsMACDStable development,KDJThe upward development of the random indicator golden cross indicates that low level buying is relatively strong, and there is room for rebound in the short cycle,SAR抛物线指标向下延伸,铭诚认为今日行情短线会反弹,上涨遇阻再做空。综合来看,黄金今日操作思路上指南金师建议反弹做空为主,回踩做多为辅,上方短期关注1745-1755One line of resistance, pay attention below1715-1710Frontline support.

  crude oilMarket trend analysis:

United StatesAPI原油和成品油库存的意外增加引发了油价隔夜的大幅下跌。显然,投机市场现在还不准备承受任何形式的抄底损失,可以预期,在衰退/通胀形势变得更加清晰之前,这种情况还会出现更多。也就是说,现实世界和投机世界之间的脱节越来越大,虽然不排除出现更多下行意外,但认为最近的抛售可能有点过头了。隔夜布伦特原油下跌6.75%,以每桶99.10美元收盘,WTIfall7.60%,以每桶95.60The closing of the US dollar.

  原油早间下撤至93.5Nearby rebound after oscillation, high point pressure measurement to97.3一线,虽然有所回弹,但整体状态还是偏弱。预期晚间美油大概率会以震荡消化为主,等待下一波行情选择方向。晚间技术点位关注上方97-97.5一带争夺,主要压力关注100.3-5压力带,下方支撑关注94-93.5,晚间原油操作思路上指南金师建议低多看涨为主。

Crude oil operation strategy: suggestions94Long, stop loss93, look at the goal97-99;

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