Wednesday(7month13At the beginning of the Asian market, spot gold fluctuated slightly and is currently trading in1724美元附近,美联储的加息前景和经济衰退的避险买需,帮助美元守在近20年高位附近,这令金价持续承压,本交易日还将迎来韩国央行利率决议、新西兰联储利率决议、加拿大央行利率决议,市场普遍预期会分别加息50个基点,料将进一步增加持有黄金的机会成本,对金价不利。本周还将出炉的一系列美国数据,包括消费者物价、零售销售和工厂产出,将在美联储下周的政策会议之前提供有关通胀已经急升到何种程度的线索。周三美联储还将公布经济状况褐皮书,投资者也需要予以留意。
7.14Technical analysis of gold:
Golden DayK的结构上,继续通道向下,通道支撑1680一线;指标上,随机指标死叉钝化,没有金叉;MACD指标双线死叉钝化向下,没有金叉,偏空信号;形态上,大阴形态K,后面紧接一字横盘K,再出现碎阴,没有反转形态K线;综合起来,整个日K都是看空向下的,给我们的启示信号就是高空为主的思路。黄金4小时图之中,随机指标没有强势的金叉提振,MACD指标的拉升也仅仅只是修正信号。形态上处于一字横盘的这个形态,整体上是偏空向下为主的走势。因此,今日我们继续主高空思路。压力位置目前是1730-1740/45-1750-1760这些位置。压力位置,目前已经形成的是一个压力带。昨日黄金市场延续回落过程,早盘开盘在1733.2The market will first decline after the position is given1723的位置后行情急速拉升,日线最高触及到了1744.3的位置后行情二次回落,随后区间整理,日线最终收线在了1725.8的位置后行情以一根上影线很长的倒锤头形态收线,而这样的形态收尾后,今日的行情依旧保持看空,点位上,跌破看1712and1705-1700这个区间,如果破位今日看到1690-1680这个区间离场做超跌反弹多单。综合来看,黄金今日操作思路上鼎盛金师建议以反弹高空为主,回踩做多为辅,上方短期关注1750-1755One line of resistance, pay attention below1730-1725Frontline support.
Analysis of crude oil news: Tuesday(7month12日)美盘时段,美原油震荡走弱,目前交投于99.8dollar/桶,市场对亚洲疫情的担忧情绪升温,因为需求前景受到拖累,全球股市普遍下跌,上证指数创两周半新低,对油价产生拖累;而且市场对全球经济衰退前景,尤其是欧元区的经济衰退担忧挥之不去,美元又持续走强,共同对油价形成打压。供给面方面,俄罗斯法院周一推翻先前关于暂停CPCCaspian stone*Line operation30After the ruling of days, concerns about the interruption of the Caspian Sea pipeline have been alleviated. In addition, US National Security Advisor Sullivan stated on Monday that when US President Biden meets with Gulf leaders in Saudi Arabia this week, he will promoteOPEC产油国增产以降低汽油价格。不过,仍需留意俄乌局势的相关消息和供给面的变化。本交易日留意OPECMonthly crude oil market reportEIAMonthly short-term energy outlook report andAPIChanges in crude oil inventory data.
原油技术面来看,原油日线布林带开口向下延伸,均线指标同步下移,近6The crude oil price remained on the middle track of the Bollinger Bands within three trading days106.2The operation below indicates that the oil price is still in the stage of short selling and control, and the current price is under pressureMA5MA10Mean line bonding position104.1The lower part fluctuates and consolidates. In the near future, the crude oil price should pay attention to the middle track of the Bollinger Bands106.2And down the track97.5Breakthroughs in the region.4The upper Bollinger Bands of the hour panel is closed, and the upper and lower rail sections are compressed to105.5-100.1Continue to include5Root YinKIn the case of a line, the price is once again close4Hour off track, if it returns to negative againKThe line will inevitably extend downwards. On the attached indicatorsMACDThe green column is emerging with a trend of dead forks,KDJRandom index synchronous dead fork signal,STOIndicator down,SAR抛物线指标向下发散,短线增加下行风险。综合来看,原油今日操作思路上鼎盛金师建议反弹做空为主,回踩低多为辅,上方短期关注97.7-98.3One line of resistance, pay attention below92.8-92.3Frontline support.
Serve as an analyst and commentator for well-known financial channels such as Sina Finance and Globalforeign exchange》Professional contributors to several well-known financial forums such as "Huitong Net" and "Zhongjin Net", specializing in short, medium, and long term operations of gold, crude oil, and silver. Investment is risky, and caution should be exercised when entering the market. Suggestions are for reference only; This article is original by Dingsheng Jinshi, who carefully writes every analysis and conveys valuable investment concepts. If there is any similarity, it is purely plagiarism. Readers should be discerning and respect originality!