Yu Yue on Jin:7.13Analysis of the US market trend of gold and crude oil, online guidance for gold and crude oil...

　　【goldMarket Analysis


Although everyone expected6monthCPIThe data will rise, but this unexpected increase contains an important signal that the market has not yet digested: this means that inflation has not yet peaked. Even though the next data may weaken due to the decline in commodity prices, the annual inflation rate may rise again later this summer. The Federal Reserve has been searching for clear and convincing signs that inflation is slowing down, but this will not happen unless the economy begins to cool down at a faster rate.



Yesterday, gold staged a roller coaster ride again, ultimately experiencing a rise and fall. From yesterday, it seems that bulls are getting closer1700Regional rebound indicates significant support. However, in the strong downward trend of the US dollar, long rebounds are all futile, and each significant rebound is accompanied by a large order that does not continue to rise, but instead rises and falls, indicating that this large order has rebounded and fled, not new buyingETFIt is also a gradual reduction in holdings, which indicates that gold is not optimistic in the later stage. In fact, gold has broken through levels1780In the future, the next support will be1680reach1703Regional, recently globalstock market indexWith the decline of oil and commodities, gold naturally follows the downward trend and remains unchanged in the short term. This is why we have emphasized more than once the sustainability of the US dollar interest rate hike and balance sheet contraction, and global assets are starting to reshuffle and re value.


　　6month10The unexpected increase in daily inflation data led to a drop in gold prices1825And then rebound directly1879The region is experiencing a sub bearish decline, so if inflation continues to remain high today, will it rapidly decline and then rise significantly? Personally, I think there is a possibility, as continuous declines are relatively low. History cannot be simply repeated, there must be similarities and surprises. In the early stage, gold fell to1721The region also experienced a single day rebound1764Area, then rise to1770Readjust1740Regional continued rebound1800reach1815Region and1877We will not comment on where this rebound can reach after reaching its peak adjustment. At least for now, we will continue to view the issue of bullish rebound without considering it. If we replicate the history of today's retaliatory rebound, we will not comment on it1764Area.



Operational strategy sharing:

　　1.The market is constantly changing, and there is a delay in the article's strategy. At that time, real-time strategy adjustments will be needed for actual trading. I have consulted the hotline for changes, please be informed;



　　crude oilMarket analysis

In terms of crude oil, as one of the main factors of inflation, the pressure is also very high after the release of high inflation data, and the pressure of subsequent market regulation will continue to rise. Although there is a rapid rebound after stepping back, the pressure still needs to continue to be short and unchanged. If energy prices are not lowered, Biden will face great pressure. This is a very common truth. Technically, I will share with you today94.5Multiple orders nearby are also very accurate, and they have been redeemed so far20Stay tuned and focus on the opportunity to continue short selling at the pressure level during the evening.

Operational strategy sharing:

Crude oil reverse extraction97.5-6Nearby empty, defend99Look95-94Below;