Chen Zeqiang:7.11现货黄金震荡看空，黄金原油今日走势分析策...

Acquaintance is fate, acquaintance is fate. I firmly believe that it is fate to meet for a thousand miles, and it is fate to wipe our shoulders without a share. The journey of investment is long, and temporary gains and losses are only the tip of the iceberg along the way. You should know that a wise man who has a thousand worries will have a loss, and a fool who has a thousand worries will have a gain. No matter how emotional you are, time will not stagnate due to you. Pick up the boredom in your heart and stand up again to pack up and move forward. At this moment, being able to read here indicates that you and I are destined. As long as you are willing to share your gains and losses with me, I will be happy to help you overcome difficulties and become your confidant on the investment journey. The stagnation of your heart makes you sit at the bottom of the well and sigh in the sky. Am I fortunate enough to accompany you as I pass by.

Message surface

Monday（7month11At the beginning of the Asian market, in stockgoldNarrow amplitude oscillation1741附近，虽然地缘局势担忧和逢低买盘给金价提供支撑，但上周出炉的美国非农就业报告强劲，美联储多位官员强化7Monthly interest rate hike75个基点的预期，美元依然相对强势，金价进一步下探风险有所增加。

　　提示，北京时间周二2:00美联储威廉姆斯出席关于Libor利率过渡问题的讨论。

　　黄金分析

　　上周黄金周一震荡反弹最高触及1814.5后受阻回落，周二开启破位下跌，跌破1800US dollar level and1792支撑进一步下跌，最低下跌触及到了1732美元一线，周三黄金延续单边下跌在1773美元附近开始继续走跌，周四黄金在1749-1736区间走震荡，周五非农黄金在1752-1733区间走了一个大起大落的震荡修复行情，修复周二和周三的大跌走势，上周五黄金开盘在1739.8美元一线，亚欧盘小幅震荡后出现回落，最低回落触及到了1732.8，低点支撑1732支撑有效，黄金下探回升，美盘在非农数据影响下，黄金企稳1732出现一波冲高回落，最高反弹触及到了1752.3，随后再次冲高回落，最终收盘在1742.2。

　　现在黄金短线在1732获得支撑后震荡修正，上方1750压力非常明显，反弹多次尝试突破都没有成功！周五虽然反弹，但是遇阻后再次回落到现在的震荡范围内！压力依旧有效，日内依旧保持弱势环节看待，偏弱看下行，反弹依旧不见高，高空反弹空为主，继续看回落即可！短线阻力位在1745，不过一旦反弹越过这里，今天就未必下得来了。但是如果今天不再刷新低点，那么大涨我看也难，充其量就是陷入震荡胶着而已，趋势支撑关注1720-1722Area!

Operation suggestions

Gold in1745Short nearby, stop loss1751Stop surplus1736-1732；

　　crude oilTrend analysis:

　　7month11日亚洲时段，美油交投于105dollar/桶附近，美国6月份新增就业人数超预期，凸显出劳动力市场的韧性提振油价，地缘局势紧张依然支撑油价；但疫情在全球的新一波蔓延，限制油价涨幅；本周油价或更多关注耶伦赴亚洲游说更多国家支持对俄罗斯石油价格限制的结果。分析人士认为，拜登此次中东之行有三重考量。首先，要争取说服海湾产油国增产石油，以缓解因为制裁俄罗斯引发的能源危机和美国国内日益严重的通货膨胀。其次，在俄乌冲突、全球能源和粮食危机、恢复履行伊核协议谈判摇摇欲坠等因素驱动下，美国虽不会改变在中东地区战略收缩的趋势，但也有重建与传统盟友关系的需求，还可能继续要求阿拉伯国家选边站，配合美西方制裁俄罗斯。

　　原油价格近期走势相对纠结，在6月中旬冲击高点未果之后，基本处于震荡下行的态势，并且在上周一度跌破100美元这一重要关口。日线级别，布林带有收口迹象，价格整体运行于下行通道之中，而布林中轨的压制尤为明显，价格两次触及到中轨后都快速下跌，整体走势呈阶梯式下行。4小时，布林带走平，价格连续反弹之后在前期顶底转换位置横盘震荡，日内短线需关注此位置的破位情况，也就是105.5On the first line, if the price does not break, the probability of the future market will still revolve around100The US dollar continues to maintain a low and volatile trend, and short selling can be achieved through a rebound in operational thinking within the day.

Crude Oil Strategy: Rebound104.7Short nearby, stop loss105.7, Objective101.7。

This article is exclusively authored by analyst Chen Zeqiang. I have always been passionate about the gold and crude oil markets. Due to the delay in online push, the above content is my personal suggestion. Due to the timeliness of online publishing, it is for reference only and at my own risk. Please indicate the source when reprinting