Chen Zeqiang:7.8国际黄金晚间行情走势分析，白银原油交易操...

Acquaintance is fate, acquaintance is fate. I firmly believe that it is fate to meet for a thousand miles, and it is fate to wipe our shoulders without a share. The journey of investment is long, and temporary gains and losses are only the tip of the iceberg along the way. You should know that a wise man who has a thousand worries will have a loss, and a fool who has a thousand worries will have a gain. No matter how emotional you are, time will not stagnate due to you. Pick up the boredom in your heart and stand up again to pack up and move forward. At this moment, being able to read here indicates that you and I are destined. As long as you are willing to share your gains and losses with me, I will be happy to help you overcome difficulties and become your confidant on the investment journey. The stagnation of your heart makes you sit at the bottom of the well and sigh in the sky. Am I fortunate enough to accompany you as I pass by.

Message surface

Friday（7month8日）亚欧时段，现货goldNarrow volatility, currently trading at1741.55dollar/盎司附近，市场普遍关注晚间美国6月份非农就业报告，观望情绪较重，强势美元令金价承压，但逢低买盘给金价提供支撑。

　　日内重点关注非农数据、美国5月批发库存月率终值、美联储威廉姆斯讲话。

　　黄金分析

　　黄金没有延续大幅回落，低位区间震荡修正。周四黄金早上企稳1736反弹上涨，午后冲高1747承压回落，隔夜回落1738企稳再次反弹1748，午夜黄金二次冲高承压回落1748，低位修正。

　　黄金小时图上可以看到是明显的下跌趋势，趋势下跌不变，反弹高空继续坚持，震荡修正后继续下跌，现在的阻力是50average1750压力位置，昨日的反弹也一直没有突破！今日继续空！今天只要守得住昨天高点1749压制则继续看空，短线目标先看1732, break down and see1722附近离场！如果非农数据意外拉高，则在1757再空！

Operation suggestions

　　黄金继续在1748Short nearby, stop loss1754, Objective1736-1732；

　　crude oilTrend analysis:

　　7month8日亚洲时段，美原油微涨，现报102.65dollar/桶，美国能源信息署(EIA)周四表示，美国原油库存上周大幅上升，受库存增加和炼油厂减产推动。在截至7month1During the past week, crude oil inventories increased820万桶，分析师预期是减少100万桶。其中大部分库存来自于美国战略储备的又一次释放，上周美国战略石油储备减少了580万桶。尽管库存增加，但油价更多的受到供应担忧的提振，且俄罗斯新举措为欧洲能源危机再添窘困，供应紧张加剧，油价短线或回升，但日内交易还需关注非农数据，若就业数据显示美国经济衰退，日内短线油价涨幅或受限，甚至油价有望重回100关口下方。尽管库存增加，但油价更多的受到供应担忧的提振，且俄罗斯新举措为欧洲能源危机再添窘困，供应紧张加剧，油价短线或回升，但日内交易还需关注非农数据，若就业数据显示美国经济衰退，日内短线油价涨幅或受限，甚至油价有望重回100Below the gate.

　　原油整体来说还是处于高位震荡的局面，日线级别价格向上受到布林中轨的压制，向下100美元关口附近支撑强劲，短线来说，并没有明确的方向，后市大概率还将在此区域内震荡。4小时，布林带收口，价格反弹至布林中轨附近，走势震荡偏多，短线有望再度延续反弹，但空间并不是很大，日内操作思路先看反弹，下方关注101.5Frontline support.

　　原油策略：回调102Long nearby, stop loss100.5, Objective106。

Analysis of silver market trend:

　　白银周四虽然在19.40~19.45区域承压，但是市场中多头一直垂死挣扎的尝试上攻，在空头的碾压下晚间再次回落，幅度虽然不大说明目前陷入了短期的震荡走势中，因此多空都会出现一些机会，今天顺应日线趋势性继续看跌，只不过由于非农数据利多的影响需要等到反弹结束后才能再次进场。白银操作建议反弹至19.50一线卖出，风控19.70Above, target19.15~18.90。按照波浪交易系统的推演，目前白银Cwave5的跌势已经进入到了其中子浪3的末端，近两天如果迟迟不能破底需要考虑子浪4反弹周期已经到来的可能。

This article is exclusively authored by analyst Chen Zeqiang. I have always been passionate about the gold and crude oil markets. Due to the delay in online push, the above content is my personal suggestion. Due to the timeliness of online publishing, it is for reference only and at my own risk. Please indicate the source when reprinting