Xiao Yizhou:7.8Analysis of the latest trend and operational suggestions for gold midday.

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　　萧毅舟——以下是日内黄金原油日内最新走势分析及具体操作策略

Technical analysis of gold:

　　昨天黄金震荡上下窜，早盘先拉高回落，欧美盘先回落再新高后回落，整体形成了1737-1748的窄幅震荡，符合预期，对于当下的盘面来看，重点是晚上的非农数据，从基本面来看，非农预期是利好黄金，而技术面对应的美元来看，日线形成高位弱空，下方测试加速线这里破位回下线，这样对黄金也是一种支撑，另外直接看黄金，日图周三破加速线到达我们预期的32，昨天收十字，从系统来看，日图昨天没有50反而回防是一种反复的蓄势，因为指标已经超卖，不修正直接下跌空间有限，其次四小时在低位出现弱多反弹信号，现在看日内主要是反弹下线这里的压制，一旦四小时破高并收盘于下线上方，日内进一步反弹的概率的加大，这样黄金的四小时与美元的四小时正好形成一种反制，所以四小时没有出现二次弱转的情况下，直接破底的概率是0，收在下线上方看高一线，上方一线十字底，二是加速线，三是日图的下线，所以只是看反弹，只有冲过日图下线才能确定底部，因此结论就是趋势看空，但是短期看反弹；

Gold currently4小时图短线走出一波单边的放量，同时也创出近期的最大单日跌幅，波动基数开始加大 ，K线形态则是大阴线下挫放量，小阳线反弹修正，反弹空间小，弱势修正的手法。金价触及1732低点转换小阳线再修正，目前已有两根小阳K线的修正，结合昨日的整理修正走法，接下来会转阴再惯性的摔低，故亚欧盘的反弹是一个空点，随着日线和4小时的放量，日内短线在摔低之后，低位的空单及时落袋，可能伴随反复的下探回升整理再蓄势下跌。综上所述萧毅舟总结：今日黄金操作上考虑反弹做空为主，上方关注1756-1772USD resistance, follow below1732-1720USD support.

　　黄金短线操作建议

Empty order strategy:

Gold rebound:1753-1755Short (buy down) 2/10 positions in batches nearby, stop loss6Points, target1745-1740Nearby, break down and take a look1735-1730一线（建议仅供参考，投资有风险，入市需谨慎！）

Multiple order strategy:

Gold Callback1732-1736Nearby batch long (buy up) 2/10 positions, stop loss5Points, target1740-1750Nearby, break down and take a look1755一线（建议仅供参考，投资有风险，入市需谨慎！）

Analysis of the latest crude oil market

Analysis of crude oil news: Friday7month8日亚洲时段，美原油微涨，现报102.65dollar/桶，尽管库存增加，但供应担忧盖过了对全球经济放缓的担忧，油价受到提振，且俄罗斯一家法院下令停止从黑海码头装运原油，为欧洲能源危机再添窘困，俄罗斯一家法院下令停止从黑海码头装运原油，对于已经感受到多年来最严峻供应状况的欧洲原油交易员来说，这个消息让他们更加如坐针毡，与俄油构成竞争关系的其他石油价格应声上扬。周二，俄罗斯法院下令暂停CPC终端暂停营运30天，以往每月超过3000万桶原油（主要是哈萨克斯坦原油）通过该终端出口到海外。法院表示，下达禁止令是因为该设施违反了预防漏油计划。目前终端运行正常。但如果法令实施，对欧洲石油市场将是又一次冲击。由于利比亚局势的动荡，本来供应已经少了一大块，预计来自其他地区的石油也会出现大幅下降。华盛顿周三收紧了对石油输出国组织(OPEC)成员国伊朗的制裁，在德黑兰寻求恢复2015年伊朗核协议并释放其出口时对其施加压力，这进一步挤压了全球供应。总体来看，尽管库存增加，但油价更多的受到供应担忧的提振，且俄罗斯新举措为欧洲能源危机再添窘困，供应紧张加剧，油价短线或回升，但日内交易还需关注非农数据，若就业数据显示美国经济衰退，日内短线油价涨幅或受限。

　　原油从技术面来看，日线级别震荡下跌；MACDDead fork,KDJ死叉，空头占据上风，短线油价仍有进一步下跌风险，初步支撑在隔夜低点95.14附近，（4month25日低点支撑也在该位置附近），200The daily moving average is supported by93.35Nearby（4month11日低点支撑也在该位置附近），该支撑需要重点关注，如果失守该支撑，则增加中线看空信号。布林线轨道开口，投资者需要提防油价沿布林线下轨向下运行的可能性。在失守200日均线前，需要提防多头反扑，初步阻力在100Near the integer level,6month22Resistance at daily low points101.54Nearby,5Daily moving average resistance103.19Nearby,100Daily moving average resistance106.78，多头若能收复该位置，则暗示趋势转多。小时图上看，NYMEX油价料升破99.58USD, and further up touch102.34美元。它们分别是6month29day-7month6日下行空间的23.6%and38.2%斐波那契回档位。综合来看，原油今日短线操作思路上萧毅舟建议以回踩低多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期重点关注105-106Frontline resistance, short-term focus below101-100Frontline support.

Yizhou Case Sharing:

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