Qin Zeran: Current price layout of gold and crude oil, latest trend analysis and operational strategies

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Always stay on the front line of investment and maintain a scientific attitude towards the investment market! Refuse to be blind, refuse to be ambiguous - Hello everyone,I am Teacher Qin Zeran!

There are no unprofitable investments, only immature operational models and precise and unique market structure analysis. I amgoldSenior analyst Qin Zeran is proficient in the band trend operation of the gold market, daily high and low short-term operations, has years of in-depth research on the rhythm of the market, has a bold and unrestrained personality, and sharp and accurate trading techniques. Over the years of employment, I have diligently helped countless friends who have fallen into confusion in their investments to get out of the mud. If you have any difficulties, Zeran has clever solutions!

Analysis of the latest gold market:

Analysis of gold news: Thursday(7month7day)，国际金价小幅反弹，脱离上个交易日创下的2021year9月末以来新低1732.17dollar/盎司，因美元指数自上个交易日创下的2002year12月初以来高位107.2846回落。美联储决策层一致认为，有必要将利率提高足以使通胀达回落到美联储设定的2%目标所需的高度。但市场现在想知道，如果经济可能陷入严重衰退，而通胀却无法相应缓解，美联储接下来如何应对。美联储隔夜公布的6月政策会议纪要显示，不断恶化的通胀形势促使美联储官员围绕大幅加息展开行动。较高的利率和债券收益率提高了持有非孳息资产黄金的机会成本。分析师说：“自从美联储6月会议以来，经济确实发生了很多变化，债券市场和大宗商品市场走势强烈表明，(美联储政策)似乎正在发挥作用，也许美联储会考虑放慢(raise interest rates)速度。”市场分析师表示：“自上次会议以来，随着金融状况收紧，经济势头已经减弱。市场现在想听到的是，如果接下来公布的经济数据继续显示，经济可能陷入严重衰退，而通胀却无法得到相应缓解，美联储的想法是什么。”

　　黄金技术面分析：昨天黄金再次走了一个单边下跌的行情走势，走势在秦泽冉分析当中！前期黄金震荡了这么长时间，就是为了现在的下跌，现在的行情也仅仅只是做空的点位问题罢了！从盘面黄金昨日空头延续，反弹1773附近承压整理后，欧美盘破低延伸弱势下行，日线处于第三浪下跌当中，通常三浪的下跌的空间较大，且浪中有浪。故称延伸浪。随着结构的转换，此前长时间的蓄势整理带动中期指标拐头向下，一旦跌破颈线，就会形成空头加速，这也是近期一直坚定看空的原因。随着日线继续大阴K线收低，技术结构看空不变。

Currently4小时图短线走出一波单边的放量，同时也创出近期的最大单日跌幅，波动基数开始加大，K线形态则是大阴线下挫放量，小阳线反弹修正，反弹空间小，弱势修正的手法。昨日尾盘触及1732低点转换小阳线再修正，目前已有两根小阳K线的修正，结合昨日的整理修正走法，接下来会转阴再惯性的摔低，故亚欧盘的反弹是一个空点，随着日线和4小时的放量，日内短线在摔低之后，低位的空单及时落袋，可能伴随反复的下探回升整理再蓄势下跌。综上所述，黄金今日操作思路上秦泽冉建议反弹高空为主，回调低多为辅，上方重点关注1755-1760Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1725-1730Frontline support.

　　crude oilLatest market analysis:

Analysis of crude oil news: Thursday(7month7day)，国际油价在历经前两个交易日大幅下跌后站稳脚跟，尽管对全球经济衰退的担忧持续存在，但投资者将注意力重新转向供应紧张。担负全球约1%供应的里海管道联盟(CPC)被俄罗斯法院裁决停运30天。最近几周，随着世界各国央行提高利率以应对通胀飙升，包括石油在内的一些大宗商品价格下滑，引发了对经济急剧放缓和需求受到打击的担忧。油价过去两天累计下跌近12%。分析师表示，通过CPC管道的石油供应没有中断。但持有其50%股份的雪佛龙公司表示，已要求CPC方面澄清相关细节和后续步骤。CPC表示，包括雪佛龙和埃克森在内的财团必须遵守法院裁决。但已向俄罗斯黑海新罗西斯克法院提出上诉，要求暂停执行裁决，以避免停运可能对管道设备造成不可挽回的后果。分析师表示：“对经济衰退的担忧继续恶化需求前景。然而，供应紧张意味着，油价进一步下行空间相对有限。”他补充说，由于布伦特原油合约价差仍处于近月大幅升水远月状态，表明供应紧张，因此很难过度看空油价。此外，最近的伊朗核谈判似乎没有取得太大进展。

　　原油从技术面来看，日线级别震荡下跌；MACDDead fork,KDJ死叉，空头占据上风，短线油价仍有进一步下跌风险，初步支撑在隔夜低点95.14附近，（4month25日低点支撑也在该位置附近），200The daily moving average is supported by93.35Nearby（4month11日低点支撑也在该位置附近），该支撑需要重点关注，如果失守该支撑，则增加中线看空信号。布林线轨道开口，投资者需要提防油价沿布林线下轨向下运行的可能性。在失守200日均线前，需要提防多头反扑，初步阻力在100Near the integer level,6month22Resistance at daily low points101.54Nearby,5Daily moving average resistance103.19Nearby,100Daily moving average resistance106.78，多头若能收复该位置，则暗示趋势转多。小时图上看，NYMEX油价料升破99.58USD, and further up touch102.34美元。它们分别是6month29day-7month6日下行空间的23.6%and38.2%斐波那契回档位。综合来看，原油今日短线操作思路上秦泽冉建议以回调低多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期重点关注105.5-106.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below99.5-100.0Frontline support.

I believe everyone has seen too many analysts who show their profits in various markets, but Qin Zeran does not have magnificent profits. His strategy is publicly disclosed by friends every day, and the strategy is accurate and verified by the market situation. Keeping up is earning! No one earns every day, but someone earns every day. The difference lies in whether that person is you! There are many friends who have added Qin Zeran and are always skeptical about Qin Zeran's strategy. Is Teacher Qin's strategy accurate? Am I following or not? What should I do if I lose? I'll take a look again. Then the market came, others made a profit, and you lost. You always miss one opportunity after another in a skeptical wait and see, and then miss the next opportunity in a sigh of regret, so repeatedly that you lose the whole game. As an investor, we should remember our original intention of coming to this market and not let all our efforts go to waste. We should take cooperation and win-win as the starting point, cultivate and promote a healthy, harmonious and standardized trading philosophy, fundamentally eliminate non-performing trading models and order taking models, and truly achieve mutual benefit.

This article is originally contributed by Qin Zeran. I interpret world economic news, analyze global investment trends, and conduct in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, and silver. Due to the delay of network push, the above contents are personal suggestions. Since the network documents are timely, the suggestions are only for reference, and operational risk is borne by yourself! Reproduction and plagiarism without permission are strictly prohibited.