Guide Metallographer:7.7今日黄金走势分析，黄金暂时止跌企稳

　　goldMessage interpretation:


　　7month7日周四亚市盘中，国际黄金走势小幅上涨，金价早间开盘价格1737USD, lowest drop to1736The US dollar has risen to a maximum of1747美元，价格暂时止跌企稳。


　　周二黄金价格大跌，因市场对全球经济特别是欧元区经济衰退的担忧，刺激避险情绪升温，而投资者选择了美元作为避险的首选资产，美元大涨，周三黄金延续跌势，继续刷新年内新低，一方面是避险资金不断涌向美元，另一方面是美联储会议纪要强化加息预期，这推动美元继续走强，刷新近20年来新高。展望后市，指南金师认为，避险资金不断涌入美元，金价短线仍面临较大压力。


　　消息方面，市场对经济衰退的担忧，一致挥之不去，目前欧元区经济受能源问题困扰，而美国则暂时没有这方面的影响，这令美联储能够继续坚持其激进的货币政策，增加了美元的避险吸引力，市场避险资金首选美元，美元刷新20年新高，欧元刷新20年新低，美元强势对金价构成压力。


　　周三美联储会议纪要显示，决策者一致同意在6Monthly interest rate hike75个基点，并承诺进一步加息，与会者认为在7Monthly interest rate hike50或是75个基点是合适的，并愿意加息，直到通胀回归到2%的目标水平，另外会议并未提到有关经济衰退的风险。目前市场预计美联储将在7Monthly interest rate hike again75个基点，如果美联储继续大幅加息，黄金作为无息资产，对投资者的吸引力将会下降。


Technical analysis of gold:


　　从三月加息黄金自2070都是震荡下跌每次下跌震荡一个时代，下跌幅度近200dollar2070reach1900时代，1900reach1786时代，现在6month7月加息超预期，甚至不排除加息100基点，显然后期加息缩表继续，美联储再次提示通胀误判，其实就是告诉你加息缩表高于预期而且坚定紧缩刚刚开始那么黄金下跌主旋律，中长期黄金利空不断，日线5浪下跌形态明显走势，即使下跌复制1wave175美金，那么黄金至少要到1700区域，如果7月在强势也许1600时代。日线均线压制下跌，每次过山车冲高回落显然多头持续动能没有，那么显然再次下跌是大概率。日线大阴破位，总体依然空头控制盘面，你必须有一个大格局，要知道疫情时候黄金1450涨上来的，现在宽松变成紧缩货币政策，哪里来到哪里去，大趋势做空，那么你要做的就是压力区域分批布局做空。


Gold opened yesterday at1765.47dollar/盎司，亚欧盘金价窄幅震荡，最高点触及1772.8水平徘徊，美盘震荡下破，最低触及1731徘徊。日线级别大阴线，昨日发文就已经分析了，金价处于空头下跌第五波走势中，预期目标在1725-1720水平，从今日低开低走的格局上看，金价空头还没有走完，还是以反弹做空思路对待。综上所述指南金师总结：今日黄金操作上建议以反弹做空为主，回踩做多为辅，上方短期关注1752-1757Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1730-1725Frontline support.


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