秦泽冉：黄金原油晚间布局，最新走势分析操作策略

Always stay on the front line of investment and maintain a scientific attitude towards the investment market! Refuse to be blind, refuse to be ambiguous - Hello everyone,I am Teacher Qin Zeran!

There are no unprofitable investments, only immature operational models and precise and unique market structure analysis. I amgoldSenior analyst Qin Zeran is proficient in the band trend operation of the gold market, daily high and low short-term operations, has years of in-depth research on the rhythm of the market, has a bold and unrestrained personality, and sharp and accurate trading techniques. Over the years of employment, I have diligently helped countless friends who have fallen into confusion in their investments to get out of the mud. If you have any difficulties, Zeran has clever solutions!

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Analysis of the latest gold market:

Analysis of gold news: Thursday(7month7day)In the Asian market, spot gold rebounded slightly, with current reports1740dollar/Around ounces. Wednesday(7month6day)Affected by the strengthening US dollar, gold fell to9The low point in over a month. Spot gold receipt1739.00dollar/Ounces, significant decline25.64USD or1.45%The lowest daily hit1732.13dollar/Ounces. The hawkish wording of the Federal Reserve minutes also stimulated the strengthening of the US dollar. Wednesday's US dollar index hit a low20New high in the past year, rising0.5%Report collection107.09. Worries of a global economic recession have weakened market sentiment and boosted the US dollar. Gold is extremely oversold, but there is still room for further decline before the adjustment.

On Thursday, gold traders should focus on the United States6monthADPEmployment data, as this will become an early signal for Friday's non farm employment data. Thursday, Hong Kong time20:15, USA6monthADPThe employment report will be released. Market expectations for the United States6monthADPIncrease in employment20Wan, previously5Monthly increase12.8Ten thousand. This trading day will also welcome the minutes of the Federal Reserve meeting, as the last time the Federal Reserve decided to raise interest rates75Subsequently, several Federal Reserve officials delivered hawkish speeches, and even traditional dove officials shifted their views towards the hawkish side. The possibility of meeting minutes leaning towards the hawkish side is high, posing a risk of further downward pressure on gold prices.

Technical analysis of gold: Yesterday, gold once again experienced a unilateral downward trend, as analyzed by Qin Zeran! In the early stage, gold fluctuated for such a long time, just for the sake of the current decline, and the current market is only a short selling point issue! Yesterday, gold opened at1765.5The US dollar rebounded slightly in the morning1773The US dollar has started to decline, gold in Europe and America has fluctuated and fallen, and gold in the US market has started to increase in volume. Currently, the lowest decline has reached1731.5The US dollar is on the front line, with the closing of the day at1739Near the US dollar, the daily line closed with a large negative line with a longer up and down shadow. After such a pattern, there is no doubt that gold will continue to short and bearish, facing us only with the issue of short positions. Today, gold is focused on the resistance above1760Near the US dollar, the rebound relies on resistance here to short.

The current market trend is completely in line with Qin Zeran's expectations, with a daily decline5The waves have already fulfilled their mission and have fallen and broken through3Wave low point to1730Nearby. Under such a downward trend, one can only be empty, not much. The air force is unstoppable, and its support along the way is like a non-existent, with no effect at all and no rebound force. So where exactly is the bottom? I believe many friends nowadays want to know. Personally, based on the amplitude of the waves, we can calculate the decline5The amplitude of the waves should be more than1730Because of the decline1Waves from2070—1890, decline180dollar;3The decline in waves goes without saying, just look at it directly5Waves,1870—1730The decline during this period is only enough140USD, currently still below1The amplitude of the waves, so there is still some room for decline. Especially at present, the daily line is continuously declining, and once again, the space for Bolin's orbit is opened up,MA5—MA10Downward suppression with dead fork on the moving average,MACDThe green column is capable of measuring the state, but the bearish sentiment remains strong. In summary, Qin Zeran summarized that in today's gold trading, it is recommended to mainly rebound and short, supplemented by retracement and long, with short-term attention from the upper side1755-1760Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1732-1727Frontline support.

　　crude oilLatest market analysis:

Analysis of crude oil news: Thursday（7month7During the Asian session, US crude oil was traded at98Nearby, current report98.25dollar/Bucket, morningAPIData shows an increase in inventory data in the United States; Oil prices fell nearly on Wednesday1.5%At one point in the day, it hit a new low in nearly three months95.14dollar/Near the barrel, there are concerns about economic recession and the pandemic, and investors are increasingly worried that energy demand will be hit by a possible global economic recession, dragging down oil prices. American Petroleum Institute(API)According to data, US crude oil inventories increased last week, while finished oil storage decreased. As of7month1During the current week, crude oil inventory increased by approximately380Ten thousand barrels. Gasoline inventory has decreased180Ten thousand barrels, reduced distillate oil inventory by approximately63.5Ten thousand barrels. All oil and gas fields affected by the strike in the Norwegian oil sector are expected to resume full operation within a few days, further putting pressure on oil prices. According to insiders, the United States and its allies have discussed efforts to limit the selling price of Russian crude oil to per barrel40USD to60Around US dollars. The relevant discussions began before the G7 summit, and the allies were exploring several ways to limit Russia's oil revenue while minimizing the impact on their own economy. stay6month28At a summit held in Germany, world leaders agreed to study various options to limit oil prices, such as banning insurance and transportation services required for transporting Russian crude oil and petroleum products, unless the selling price is lower than its specified level. Overall, the US crude oil inventory has increased, and oil and gas production has resumed due to a strike in the Norwegian oil sector, leading to a decline in oil prices100At the critical juncture, coupled with the spread of monkeypox epidemic, concerns about economic recession have intensified, and oil prices remain bearish in the short term. Stay tuned for the dayEIAData, if the data shows an increase in inventory, oil prices may drop again95dollar/Support near the barrel.

Technical analysis of crude oil: Crude oil continued to decline and rebound yesterday102.25Nearby pressure consolidation, European and American stocks fell to a new low, but the continuity of the late trading was insufficient, and some lost ground was still recovered, reaching the lowest point95.0.Final retraction in neutral position98.0.The daily line has experienced a continuous decline in negative trading volume, forming a two wave downward trend in trading volume. Currently, the structure is still in a downward trend towards the previous low point93.0Near by. The low point is a key contention point for the daily bullish and bearish positions. Determine the mid-term trend of the future market. There are mutual concerns between the long and short sides, and there may be a rebound in the short term. Pay attention to the breaking situation to determine the direction of the future market. In terms of news: Investors are increasingly concerned that energy demand will be hit by a possible global economic recession. Announced in the morningAPIData shows that US crude oil inventories increased last week, while finished oil storage decreased. As of7month1During the current week, crude oil inventory increased by approximately380Ten thousand barrels. Gasoline inventory has decreased180Ten thousand barrels, reduced distillate oil inventory by approximately63.5Ten thousand barrels.

Crude oil4After the inertia of the hour drops, the downward momentum slows slightly and approaches the support point of the neck line. There is a slight competition for this position, and before falling, it is not advisable to be overly bearish and wait for the competition to choose. From the perspective of the downward step.4The hour is still in the downward stage, and currently the second wave is in the downward trend, combined with the change in trend. Attention in the future market93.0The competition to determine whether to break out of the complete three waves can further open up space if we miss the low point, otherwise there will be short-term fluctuations. Overall, in terms of crude oil operations today, Qin Zeran suggests that the main focus should be on rebounding from high altitudes, supplemented by bearish trading, with short-term attention from above101.2-101.7Frontline resistance, short-term focus below96.5-96.0Frontline support.

I believe everyone has seen too many analysts who show their profits in various markets, but Qin Zeran does not have magnificent profits. His strategy is publicly disclosed by friends every day, and the strategy is accurate and verified by the market situation. Keeping up is earning! No one earns every day, but someone earns every day. The difference lies in whether that person is you! There are many friends who have added Qin Zeran and are always skeptical about Qin Zeran's strategy. Is Teacher Qin's strategy accurate? Am I following or not? What should I do if I lose? I'll take a look again. Then the market came, others made a profit, and you lost. You always miss one opportunity after another in a skeptical wait and see, and then miss the next opportunity in a sigh of regret, so repeatedly that you lose the whole game. As an investor, we should remember our original intention of coming to this market and not let all our efforts go to waste. We should take cooperation and win-win as the starting point, cultivate and promote a healthy, harmonious and standardized trading philosophy, fundamentally eliminate non-performing trading models and order taking models, and truly achieve mutual benefit.

This article is originally contributed by Qin Zeran. I interpret world economic news, analyze global investment trends, and conduct in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, and silver. Due to the delay of network push, the above contents are personal suggestions. Since the network documents are timely, the suggestions are only for reference, and operational risk is borne by yourself! Reproduction and plagiarism without permission are strictly prohibited.