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goldLatest market analysis:
黄金消息面解析:金价周二(7month5day)大幅下跌,并跌破1800美元的关键支撑位。在加息预期和美元走强的压力下,美联储正连续提高利率,试图遏制美国40年来最高的通货膨胀。通过提高借贷成本,美联储旨在降低需求,为快速增长的经济降温。最近的证据表明,美联储的努力开始取得成功。越来越多的经济学家甚至认为,美国可能在一年内陷入衰退。日内,美元指数DXY自日低大幅拉升逾170点,高见106.77, surged within the day1.5%。美元在近20年高点附近走强,令黄金对海外买家的吸引力下降。现货黄金自日高大幅回落近46USD, lowest touch1766.18dollar/盎司,日内大跌约2.2%;现货白银日内下跌4%, lowest touch19.149dollar/Ounces;
展望未来,在美联储宣布加息150个基点后,美国就业和通胀数据将让投资者了解经济状况。令人失望的就业报告可能加剧对潜在衰退的担忧。美联储定于周三召开的最新一次会议纪要将被仔细审查,以寻找美联储收紧政策路径的线索,以及美联储是否可能在7month26-27日的会议上加息50or75个基点。投资者还将等待周五公布的美国非农就业数据和失业数据。投资者密切关注即将公布的美联储6Monthly meeting minutes and6The monthly non farm employment report is pending further evaluation of the relationship between high inflation and the increasing possibility of economic recession.
黄金技术面分析:黄金日内先震荡回弹,上方测压至1812一线,然欧盘时段受美指强势异常拉升影响,黄金上涨动能显然受到打压,行情回落调整,跌回至1800下方,美盘行情直接破位,破位之后的行情要做的就是去跟随市场的走势进场交易,目前价格来到1770下方,多头基本是全部歇菜,现在价格已经破位走弱,就不需要去磨磨唧唧的多头,现在破位1800位置,下方格局打开,接下来就是看反复的持续弱势,上方看压力位置1785位置可以持续看弱下跌。
今日黄金也未延续反弹势头,亚欧盘依旧阴跌下行,美盘时段更是疯狂杀人夜,跌破1800大关开始加速下行,一度跌破1785前低,黄金开始一泻千里至1765附近,美盘单边下行40美金。目前行情走势与指南金师预期完全吻合,日线下跌5The waves have already fulfilled their mission and have fallen and broken through3Wave low point to1765附近,完美验证笔者思路。那么究竟底在哪里,相信现在很多朋友都想知道,个人根据波浪的幅度推算,从跌幅来看5The amplitude of the waves should be more than1765Because of the decline1Waves from2070—1890, decline180dollar;3The decline in waves goes without saying, just look at it directly5Waves,1870—1765The decline during this period is only enough100美金,远远低于1浪的幅度,所以跌势有望进一步扩大。下方关注1750附近,预期在此行情会出现反弹修复,综上所述指南金师总结:今日黄金操作思路上建议以反弹做空为主,回踩做多为辅,上方短期关注1781-1786Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1755-1750Frontline support.
crude oilLatest market analysis:
Technical analysis of crude oil: crude oil rebounded and closed higher yesterday, with the lowest retest107.30The first line started to stabilize, holding onto the low point of last Friday's late retreat, and ultimately rebounded to rise to110.30At a high point, and the daily harvest is at a high level, the harvest is in the middle of the positive line, and the daily rebound is consecutive positive.4The previous double dip rebound of the hour chart failed to break the low point, resulting in insufficient continuation of the decline. Combining with yesterday's hour chart, a wave of organized secondary rebound has been formed, currently relying on107.0Making a two wave small-scale rebound at a low point and touching a high point may lead to a short-term rebound, but persistence is a problem, that is, the persistence of rebound momentum. Structurally, there may still be broad oscillations. The combination of short-term operations in the day is from point to surface, and ultra short-term operations can be flexibly handled. Overall, it is recommended that crude oil operations today focus on rebounding from high altitudes, supplemented by bearish trading, with short-term attention from above106.5-107.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below100.0-99.5Frontline support.
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