Guide Metallographer:7.6今日黄金走势分析，金价强势大跌近50USD!

　　goldInterpretation of message surface;


　　7month5日，周二


　　今天中午，又一个国家因为扛不住通胀的走高而改变货币政策，中午12spot30分，澳洲联储宣布将基准利率上调50Bps to1.35%, for2019year5月以来最高利率水平，基本符合市场预期，同时，澳联储承诺继续收紧货币政策以遏制通胀加速。不出意外的话，8Monthly interest rate hike again50个基点似乎是一个必然的选择。


　　另外，昨天中美全面经济对话中方牵头人刘鹤应约与美财政部长耶伦举行视频通话。双方就宏观经济形势、全球产业链供应链稳定等议题务实、坦诚交换了意见，市场预计本月美国大概率要取消之前加征的对华关税，遏制国内通胀的同时，也想从中国交换点好处。


　　需要注意的是，今天美元指数创出了历史新高，截止发稿，已经来到了115.85This is20年来首次，也可以认为有可能要开启了美元多头的新一轮涨势。受此影响，非美货币泥沙俱下，纷纷跳水，欧元创历史新低，贵金属自然也未能幸免。


Technical analysis of gold:


From the perspective of the gold daily structure, the gold first fluctuated and then rebounded within the day, but above1814The first line was blocked, and then the market fluctuated and retreated, while the low point in the European session retreated to1804On the first line, the overall trend is also in line with the expected volatility and digestion trend for the day. At present, the short-term market trend may not be easy to control, and the late US market closure will also make the market trading sentiment cautious, so the overall volatility will not be significant. Stay tuned above the evening gold5Daily line1812-14Short term pressure competition, although there were punctures within the day1812As5The pressure of daily and small cycle trend lines may still become a key point of contention in the evening. According to the daily structure, if we close today5Not too much on the daily line, but above1820Frontline action10The daily pressure and trend line pressure will still have a further suppressive effect, so short-term gold can be biased towards bearish, but do not expect too much space. Technically, the overall rebound is still weak, and the current rebound is only a technical oversold rebound, making it difficult to achieve a reversal.


At present, while both the bullish and bearish directions of the gold market may occur, it is recommended to focus on observing the current market situation and follow the trend direction before participating. The short-term trend structure should be clarified first, and the trend should still be bearish, meaning that bears have the main advantage. When the rebound is blocked and suppressed, the main rhythm direction is still bearish participation, rather than disrupting the rhythm direction due to short-term low rebound. Friday, althoughVType reversal, but never breaking the bearish trend line.4The mid hour orbit will stillKThe physical part of the line is pressed to death, and has not broken through the middle track multiple times, indicating the strong pressure. Breaking through is not a result of Asahi's efforts, and it will inevitably undergo the baptism of time. It is clearly not enough now. Now gold is at a critical watershed position, while4The hourly track suppresses gold prices, and dual factors guide us to continue bearish on gold. Don't blindly take the bottom line when gold hasn't turned around. In summary, the guide for gold traders suggests that for today's gold trading, it is recommended to focus on rebounding and short selling, with retracement and long selling as a supplement, and short-term attention above1790-1795Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1755-1750Frontline support.

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