Guide Metallographer:7.4今日黄金走势分析，黄金探底反弹走完还是弱

　　goldMessage interpretation:


　　过去一周发生了什么？


　　尽管七国集团(G7)的四个成员国决定禁止从俄罗斯进口新的黄金，但金价周一未能获得支撑。根据世界黄金协会的数据，俄罗斯是世界第二大黄金生产国，2021年产量为330.9吨。同时，从宏观角度看，美国数据显示，5Monthly increase in durable goods orders0.7%，好于市场预期的增长0.1%。


　　周二，金价在1820美元附近维持窄幅波动，但最终小幅收跌。咨商会周二发布报告称，美国6月份消费者信心指数从5Of the month103.2lower98.7。数据还显示，消费者一年期通胀预期从5月份修订后的7.5%Climb to8%。该报告发布后，美元指数上涨，黄金继续小幅走低。


　　美联储主席鲍威尔周三在欧洲央行年度央行论坛上发表讲话时重申，美国经济能够承受紧缩政策，并指出美元走强“在一定程度上是反通胀的”。美国主要stock market index因鲍威尔的鹰派言论而大幅下挫，美元继续寻求避险需求。


　　周四，美国经济分析局宣布，5Monthly personal consumption expenditure(PCE)物价指数年率维持在6.3%不变。作为美联储首选通胀指标的核心PCE指数年率降至4.7%, lower than expected4.9%. althoughPCE数据有所降温，但月末资金流动并未让黄金从下跌的美国国债收益率中受益。


　　周五，美元在厌恶风险的市场环境中继续跑赢对手，加之黄金的技术性看空压力上升，金价在欧市盘中一举跌穿1800美元关键关口。本周最新发布的数据显示，6月份美国制造业商业活动扩张速度远低于5Month,ISMManufacturing Purchasing Managers Index(PMI)from56.1lower53。在令人失望的PMI数据公布后，基准10年期美国国债收益率下跌超过7%，限制了黄金的跌幅。


Technical analysis of gold:


　　上周黄金白银整体是持续单边震荡下行的行情，而且上周最关键的是下破了1802Support. And it's breaking down1802Afterwards, there was an accelerated sell-off trend, and in the end1784There is support here, although there has been a rebound in volatility, the overall structure is still bearish. Even if there is a rebound this week, the overall expectation is to see further7month7The low point will only occur around the th, and there will be a significant rebound in the market afterwards. Therefore, structurally speaking, the overall trend is still mainly bearish, but7month7After the 11th, there may be a retaliatory rebound in the market through non agricultural activities. Also, it's important to focus on1780If we break the position, we will further see a bearish outlook1750And1720Support. And in the future, the overall focus will be on1858Breaking through the pressure is the key core, but I am bearish in the future1750Nearby, short-term, gold1The morning star form at the bottom of the hour level. Overall, the guidelines for gold operations today suggest that the main focus should be on rebounding from high altitudes, supplemented by stepping back on low altitudes, with short-term attention from above1820-1825Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1800-1795Frontline support.


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