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goldMessage interpretation:
周四国际金价再度遭遇滑铁卢,亚欧时段在美元走强及各国央行鹰派言论的打压下,金价一度逼近1800dollar/盎司附近,但晚间的美国5Monthly CorePCE数据低于预期及周请失业金人数的意外增加,支持金价探底回升,一度涨超20美元。具体数据显示,美国5Monthly CorePCEAnnual rate recorded4.7%,为去年11月以来最低,较前值4.9%有所回落,且略低于4.8%的预期。值得注意的是,随后的美盘时段市场很快消化了数据的影响,投资者对美联储进一步加速紧缩的预期仍然强烈。此外,俄罗斯总统普京表示,俄罗斯愿意就战略稳定及核不扩散问题进行对话的言论,削弱了市场的避险情绪,加速了金价的高位回落。
今日市场消息面相对较多,欧美各国的制造业数据将陆续公布,作为衡量经济景气程度的重要指标,具体数据的好坏有助于投资者对经济是否陷入衰退进行提前预判,此外欧洲央行还将公布6monthCPI数据,在欧洲央行迫切加息之际,CPI数据若好于预期,有望加速欧洲央行的加息进程,间接利空黄金。投资者需密切关注具体消息面的进展,把握盘中交易机会。
Technical analysis of gold:
近期黄金的价格下跌趋势很明显,但是就是难以下去,这个过程很煎熬。周三欧美盘,黄金价格大涨后大跌,收线在1820下方,以阴十字星收尾。对于日线周期,或者说是近期的大趋势而言,依旧是震荡看空不变,但是对于日内短线来说,震荡反弹调整信号不明显,所以今天黄金短线以18阻力看下调,下方预计看1800附近区间,指南金师总结:近期黄金没有什么好说的,大趋势坚持空头,短线也许有反弹,但要区分反弹调整走势还是反转走势,目前这个阶段,黄金日线没有收线站稳1850上方,都不算是反转行情,所以短期反弹空即可。综合来看,黄金今日操作思路上指南金师建议以反弹高空为主辅,上方短期关注1825-1830Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1795-1790Frontline support.
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