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Guide Metallographer:6.30今日黄金走势分析,反弹不是底,是底不反弹

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  goldMessage interpretation:


  美元升值下,黄金futures29日收在逾两周低点,白银也挫跌至2020year7月以来最低水平。鲍威尔在欧洲央行论坛中,再度矢言积极升息以对抗通胀,他表示美国可以避免经济衰退,尽管要实现是有挑战性的。


  美元指数上涨0.6%to105.070,只比两周前触及的105.79两年高点略低。Zaner分析师说:“美元可能再度攀高,黄金若在8月跌到近期新的低点也不令人意外。”但美国同日公布第一季国内生产毛额(GDP)终值萎缩1.6%,低于修正值-1.5%。经济衰退的疑虑,限缩黄金跌幅。


  德国同日公布6月通胀率降至7.6%Yes1月以来首度下滑,西班牙的通胀率则冲破10%, for1985年迄今最高。OANDASenior Market AnalystEdward Moya提到说,华尔街可能逐渐期待欧洲央行(ECB)展开更多升息,引导美元走低。另外,鉴于经济展望减弱,黄金的避险买盘获得提振。


  Moya指出:“现阶段,黄金仍将在一个相对广泛的交易区间内盘整,但因为美元似乎已经走到近期高点,金价跌破1800美元的可能性降低。”


  瑞银分析师Joni Teves则说,最近七国集团(G7)成员国宣布禁止俄罗斯黄金进口,相关讨论延伸到其他贵金属、尤其是钯金,值得留意。俄国钯金供应占全球超过四成,而目前美国和日本等国家的汽车产业,仍仰赖用于燃油车触媒转化器的钯金。


Technical analysis of gold:


  黄金昨日探高回落收低,短线依旧胶着,但节奏上还是处于震荡向下当中,虽然短线伴随反复的冲高回落蓄势,但反弹后收不在高位。日线停旧是收低转阴的弱势走法,目前带动短期均线开始死叉向下空头发散,日线等待放量,目前处于整理蓄势当中。下行趋势线的压制依旧有效。昨日最高1832.82.minimum1812.冲高收低弱势不改。技术结构趋势偏空,短线迂回洗盘。4小时局部走不出单边,短线拉锯反复。点位比方向更重要的走法,昨日在1823一线做空以及1830上方加空,都有所斩获,趋势未改,伴随冲高择高补空,再尾盘回落收割。4小时暂时还处于下行趋势线之内运行,上轨的阻力在1840-1847.临界点未收复,短线看弱趋势不变,操作处依旧维持反弹高空看摔低1800Below.1小时图昨日伴随冲高回落的过山车,并没有走出单边,但拉锯的幅度也比较大,均线指标形成压制,综上所述指南金师总结:今日黄金操作思路上建议以反弹高空为主,回踩低多为辅,上方短期关注1835-1840Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1810-1805Frontline support.


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