Guide Metallographer:6.29今日黄金走势分析，黄金空头强势再创新低！

　　goldMessage interpretation:


　　周二来自市场对北约峰会有关俄乌局势进展的预期支撑金价，美国6月咨商会消费者信心指数不及预期，加大了市场对美国经济陷入衰退的担忧。黄金盘中一度在1820dollar/盎司一线企稳，但来自美元及美债的双双走强，使得金价多次反弹未果，并呈现窄幅震荡下行的走势。


　　昨日美联储威廉姆斯的鹰派讲话，加速了美元多头走势。威廉姆斯表示，美联储需要大幅加息，今年肯定需要把利率提高到3%-3.5%，下次会议是加息50基点还是75基点还需讨论。在威廉姆斯讲话的刺激下，强势美元打压了黄金价格。但另一方面，来自北约峰会所催生的部分避险因素支撑金价，限制了黄金的跌幅。据悉，七国集团重申坚定支持乌克兰的立场，并将推动禁止进口俄罗斯黄金的举措。美国发布了新一轮与俄罗斯有关的制裁措施，此外苏格兰已经提出新的独立公投计划。


　　今日市场消息面相对较多，晚间美国第一季度GDP、PCE及个人消费支出数据将陆续公布，此外，包括鲍威尔、拉加德及贝利在内的三大央行行长将陆续发表讲话。投资者需密切关注具体消息面的进展，把握盘中交易机会。


Technical analysis of gold:


　　从盘面来看，黄金昨日小阴线震荡收低，短线反弹1829.60附近承压阴跌。如昨日日评预期，日线处于下行通道中运行走弱，短线节奏稍慢，但整体呈现震荡下跌当中。日线连续的小阴十字K线收盘，也在反复测试低位。均线指标已开始拐头向下形成压制。不过要想放量下挫，还需要一定消息面的刺激，技术结构震荡为前，下跌为后。


Currently4小时处于小级别下行通道中运行，此前在1847and1840处三次承压下跌，目前在逼近低点，反复的伴随冲高回落蓄势洗盘收低，短线走弱，昨日反弹在布林道中轨附近承压下行，日内短线继续在中轨之下看短线空头回落，经过整理后的，短线可能会稍有放量，进一步下探会到1800At the integer checkpoint.1小时图依托1840.50做强弱临界点的下行台阶，昨日反弹在1829.60处承压，高点再下移。综合来看，上方关注1830-1837Follow below1807-1800。


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