Guide Metallographer:6.27今日黄金走势分析，黄金区间震荡行情依旧

　　goldMessage interpretation:


　　美国、英国、日本和加拿大计划在周日举行的七国集团领导人峰会上宣布禁止从俄罗斯进口新的黄金。周一(6month27day)开局，黄金价格攀升。


　　周一亚市稍早，现货黄金上涨0.4%, to1,833.86美元。由于欧洲战争提振了对避险资产的需求，金价在3月份曾飙升至接近纪录高点，但今年以来基本没有变化。


　　英国政府在一份声明中表示，由于伦敦在黄金交易中发挥着核心作用，“这一举措将具有全球影响力，将这种大宗商品挡在正规的国际市场之外”，并对俄罗斯总统弗拉基米尔·普京(Vladimir Putin)的融资能力产生“巨大影响”。


　　自从西方国家因俄罗斯入侵乌克兰而对其实施制裁以来，俄罗斯和伦敦之间的货运几乎已经崩溃到零。今年3月，负责制定黄金市场标准的伦敦黄金市场协会(LBMA)将俄罗斯黄金精炼商从其认可名单中移除。


Brokerage companyBullionVault的研究主管Adrian Ash说，“这只是将黄金行业已经做的事情正式化。”


　　据知情人士透露，这一措施将首次适用于从俄罗斯流出的黄金，美国财政部将于周二发布美国禁令。根据美国总统拜登(Joe Biden)4month15日签署的一项行政命令，美国人被禁止与俄罗斯央行、俄罗斯国家财富基金和俄罗斯财政部进行黄金相关交易。


　　尽管西方惩罚俄罗斯的制裁在很大程度上关闭了欧洲和美国市场对这个世界第二大黄金开采商的黄金的大门，七国集团的承诺将标志着俄罗斯与世界上最大的两个贸易中心伦敦和纽约彻底断绝关系。七国集团的其他成员国还有德国、法国和意大利。


　　伦敦一直是俄罗斯贵金属最重要的目的地之一：根据联合国商品贸易委员会(UN Comtrade)的数据，去年运往伦敦的俄罗斯黄金价值150亿美元，占英国黄金进口总额的28%。


　　虽然理论上精炼厂仍可以直接进口俄罗斯黄金，但大多数精炼厂已誓言不再这么做。主导该行业的瑞士精炼厂协会否认其成员从俄罗斯购买黄金，此前贸易数据显示俄罗斯的黄金已流入该国。


　　英国首相鲍里斯·约翰逊(Boris Johnson)在声明中表示，由于俄罗斯精英争相购买黄金，以避免制裁带来的金融影响，该禁令“将直接打击俄罗斯寡头”。根据声明，这项即将生效的进口禁令将适用于新开采或精炼的黄金。


　　来自俄罗斯的其他金属铜、镍和钯等继续流入，而大宗商品行业正努力处理与俄罗斯这个全球原材料主要供应国的长期关系。


　　与此同时，俄罗斯的黄金行业正在寻找新的销售选择，比如增加对中国和中东地区的出口，这些地区不属于七国集团。


Today's Focus:


　　20:30U.S.A5Monthly rate of durable goods orders


　　22:00U.S.A5Monthly rate of contracted sales index for completed housing


　　22:30U.S.A6Dallas Fed Business Activity Index for the Month


The next day01:30European Central Bank President Lagarde delivers a speech


Technical analysis of gold:


The daily level fluctuates and falls;KDJSlightly dead fork,MACDGlued but with green bars appearing, the moving average starts to be bearish, and the short-term gold price tends to fluctuate downward, initially supporting the Bollinger Line's lower track1814.56Nearby, if the support falls below this level, the gold price may initiate a new round of decline, further supporting the1800Stronger support near integer levels5Monthly low point1786.70Nearby. In addition,6month14Daily low point1804.98There may also be some support nearby. Given that the current gold price is still in a volatile trend, it is necessary to pay attention to the support of bargain hunting,5Daily moving average and10The daily moving average resistance is currently at1831.50Nearby,200The resistance of the daily moving average and the Bollinger line in the middle track1844.60Nearby, if the position can be recovered, increase the short-term bullish signal; Further resistance in1850Near the integer level, and then6month16Resistance to daily highs1857.39Nearby. From a broader perspective, gold prices are1821.72USD to1847.95The USD range fluctuates up and down.20Period and50Moving Average of Futures IndexEMALocated at1828.30USD and1831.58The US dollar is declining, which strengthens the downward trend. Meanwhile, Relative strength indexRSI（14）Showing signs of losing downward momentum. Momentum oscillation index40.00Obtain support near the horizontal. In summary, the guidelines for today's operation of gold suggest that the gold industry should focus on rebounding from high altitudes, supplemented by a pullback from low altitudes, with a focus on the above1838-1843Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1808-1813Frontline support.


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