Xiao Yizhou:6.27Gold opened high and fell during the day, mainly short, with the latest trend today...

I really like a saying: An important choice is worth a thousand times your effort. The poor refuse in doubt, while the rich seek proof in doubt. Choosing the right one will get twice the result with half the effort, while choosing the wrong one will accelerate your demise.


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The characteristic of beginners is that they do not understand technology and blindly enter the field. They only consider the first issue in each transaction: they believe that as long as they anticipate market fluctuations, they can proceed with the transaction. This approach of prioritizing direction over position resulted in a complete defeat for traders. In fact, there is a big difference between "momentum" and "direction" that follow the trend, because the direction of market movement shows a fluctuating pattern, and the market trend is often global. What I can do here is to help you control your position reasonably, use support and resistance to place orders, and make every order reasonable and traceable. The buying and selling points should not be entered randomly, please be responsible for your own funds. At the end of the article, Xiao Yizhou wants to say that if you are really unsure of the market situation, you can come and find Xiao Yizhou. Having an additional analyst will not cause you any loss. Always remember the saying: professional people do professional things, and all practical battles are only for profit, while cooperation is only for win-win. 【vx：xyz158986，QQ：467477536】
　　
　　goldMarket trend analysis:
　　　　
Gold's overall performance was under pressure last week20Daily oscillation state, retreat below to1816Nearby, the weekly line received another small negative star line, which meets the technical trend needs. The daily structure pattern continued to bear pressure on the market last week20The downward trend of the daily line is fluctuating and the overall market has evolved into a large cycle of sideways fluctuations. Technically, there should be some inertia to retrace this week, and the downward trend may retreat from the previously expected downward trend of the daily level range1810-07Find support in the area, but on SundayG7The meeting caused a stir in concerns about the geopolitical situation in the market, which also led to the opening of this week's gold market jumping short and opening high1838Frontline, but still unbroken20Daily line1840Pressure indicates that even the impact of fundamentals still has concerns about technical suppression, so this week, we will continue to focus on20The daily line is the main pressure to compete for a position. If this position is lost, the center of gravity of the gold structure will rise, and it may be possible to test the upper edge of the daily line level range in the later stage1870Nearby possibility, but the daily level is still in a large range of horizontal trading. And if the market continues to break this week20Under daily pressure, the center of gravity of the structure remains downward, and the market still has a pullback1810-07even to the extent that1800The possibility of.
　　
On the hourly chart, the market opened high and closed low this week. In the early trading session, the gap in short selling has been filled, and the current market has returned once again1830Above, the short-term market trend is still slightly stronger, mainly influenced by fundamentals. If the market's speculation about the Fed's interest rate hike expectations cools down this week, then gold may also break through1840Pressure, but it is still difficult to anticipate the momentum of the subsequent upward trend, and it is still difficult to anticipate the upward pace. During the week, focus on the gap below first1827Replenishment, if the market falls back below it, it indicates that the market has basically digested the fundamental events that occurred on Sunday, and the positive impact has also weakened, and the market may return to a weak and volatile state.
　　
In terms of operation, this week's gold trend may be difficult to grasp, so the top will focus on it first1840Nearby pressure, pay attention below1827To support testing, conservatives can choose to wait and see how the market makes a choice. Activists can try to conduct short-term low to high within the above range at the beginning of the week, while those who are more or less short are guided by market fundamentals and referenced by the US Index20The competition for the daily line.
　　
① Zhou Chuke stepped back1825、1827Light position short, with stop loss1820Below, look at the target1837-40Reduce positions in the area, change to breakeven and stop loss, and keep the remaining orders to see if they can finally stand firm20Above the daily line, consider continuing to hold if possible.
　　
② Retest above the beginning of the week1840、1843Radical can also try a short short short run with a stop loss1845Above, look down at the target1835-30Regional reduction of positions to break even and stop loss.
　　
③ If the market stabilizes at the beginning of the week1840Above or falling back to1827Below, adjust according to the actual situation in the disc.


　　crude oilLatest market analysis:


Analysis of crude oil news: Monday（6month27During the Asian period, the decline of American Oil exceeded1%Currently traded on105.95dollar/Near the barrel, because it was reported at the weekend that negotiations between parties concerned in the Comprehensive Agreement on nuclear program of Iran would resume in a few days, Iranian crude oil was expected to return to the market, and the European strike affected the demand of the aviation industry for crude oil. Analysts say, "A recession is not our baseline forecast, and growth is indeed significantly below the trend. This will restore balance to the imbalanced labor market and ultimately help inflation fall," he said., Our prediction is to2022At the end of the year, the terminal interest rate is3.25%To3.5%We anticipate that2023We won't raise interest rates again this year, mainly because the economy is slowing down and inflation is decreasing. I think at this level, the Federal Reserve may keep interest rates unchanged The data released after his aforementioned speech shows that,6The long-term inflation expectations of American consumers at the University of Michigan decreased in June, which led to a rise in the stock market. The report shows that long-term inflation expectations are reported from the initial values14The decline in annual highs may reduce the urgency for the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates more steeply. Overall, this week's oil prices may be affected by the resumption of the Iran nuclear talks, maintaining a bearish tone; However, it is also important to note that the decline may be limited due to ongoing geopolitical tensions and weakened expectations of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts. It is also important to pay attention to the impact of the Group of Seven's consideration of limiting Russian oil prices.


From a technical perspective, crude oil rebounded from a low point last Friday and closed positive. The final weekly trend was flat, with a small negative cross on the weekly trendKLine. Some parts are still in high level consolidation,KThe line entity began to contract, but after a slight retreat, there was no sustained continuation. The weekly trend continues to be high volatility. After a significant downward trend in volume, the daily line has slightly slowed down in the short term and is still fluctuating within the high range as a whole. This week, pay attention to the suppression of the middle track of the daily Bollinger Road. Previously, it was treated as a first wave retreat, and after the second wave rebound correction, we will see if we can continue the short-term retreat of the third wave. The resistance of the middle rail is114.0。4After an hour of decline, there was a slight pause, and the moving average index began to scatter in a disorderly manner, waiting to regain its direction. After forming a step retreat, there was a slight pause in the late trading period, but last Friday did not continue to break the low, causing the short-term to enter contraction and oscillation. It is possible to choose a local direction again and continue to break the low after adjustment. It remains to be determined whether to first rebound and correct before continuing downward. Put the time point in the European disk for operation before setting it. Overall, Xiao Yizhou suggests that the short-term operation strategy for today should mainly focus on rebounding from high altitude, supplemented by a pullback from low, with a focus on short-term operations above109.8-110.3Frontline resistance, short-term focus below103..5-104Frontline support.
　　
How to achieve stable profitability, the following6Points are important:
　　
① Learn to let funds enter the market in batches. Once a loss occurs during the first market entry, the first principle is not to blindly increase the size. The initial position established has sufficient profit margin before gradually increasing the size.
　　
② When the account is small, try not to make overnight orders. Close the position on the same day of trading, especially on weekends, and do not hold orders for weekends!
　　
③ Try not to exceed each loss5Point: Before placing each order, it is important to achieve precise point positioning and set a stop loss point for oneself(Generally not exceeding5Points)Once it exceeds this range, it indicates either a wrong direction or a poor selection of the order point. Therefore, the initial loss is often the smallest loss, and the correct approach is to quickly recognize the loss.
　　
④ : The daily loss cannot exceed two times: If there are two consecutive losses on each trading day, it indicates poor condition. The correct approach is to stop trading, take a day off, or even3From day to week. Calm down and reflect on where you were wrong?If traders are not stopped, there is a possibility of continuous errors and retaliatory errors in making orders!
　　
⑤ Profit management: Set a practical and feasible profit goal for oneself, and do not aim too high. Small goals are easy to achieve and there is little psychological pressure. Although big goals are admirable, they are difficult to implement and can potentially increase pressure. After each account profit reaches the set goal, funds must be raised to prepare for a second battle in case of unforeseen circumstances!
　　
⑥ A successful trader must be good at financial management. No matter how easy it is to make money, one must save the fruits of every hard work. Understand the principle that cash is king, and always be vigilant against unexpected events that may occur in the market, leading to the consequences of stock outflows!Therefore, it is necessary to prepare oneself for the ability to fight again. 【vx：xyz158986，QQ：467477536】


Xiao Yizhou's message: In our daily operations, most of them are mainly short-term operations. Once again, Xiao Yizhou hopes that everyone can adjust their mindset while making orders. Firstly, the entry point of the order cannot be very perfect. Since you have entered, don't regret entering early or late, just hold on patiently. Secondly, the market cannot always follow the direction of our orders, as there will be ups and downs. What we need to do is to strive to reduce risks while expanding profits as much as possible, in order to ensure stable profitability. Finally, we must first stabilize ourselves, make orders easily, and make profits happily! Friends who still have a set of orders in hand, as Xiao Yizhou is not aware of the details of your entry points and positions, it is difficult to provide corresponding unwinding strategies. Friends who need detailed unwinding strategies can contact me on a single line.
　　
Confidence is the guarantee of success, and those who are good at fighting will not be good at it, and those who are good at it will not be good at it. I hope Xiao Yizhou's article can bring you harvest and have a smooth sailing in your future investments. If you have any questions, you can talk to me. I am not only a guidance teacher, but also a friend worth making in your life. Xiao Yizhou captures the ever-changing market with rich experience, precise perspective, and sharp judgment!
　　
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