Guo Shengshan:6.24早间黄金走势分析，原油最新操作建议

　goldLatest market analysis:

Analysis of Gold News: Thursday（6month23日）现货黄金小幅下跌，目前交投于1826美元附近。昨日黄金走了一波“V”The market, which is experiencing a reversal, continued to decline at the beginning of Wednesday. Before Powell's speech in the evening, prices continued to rise, but they did not break through key resistance levels. Last night, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell acknowledged in his Senate testimony that there is definitely a possibility of a recession in the US economy, and the challenge of a soft landing is significant. This puts pressure on the US dollar, providing support for the price of gold, which is considered a tool to hedge inflation. Inflation data in both the UK and Canada have risen40The annual high also increases the attractiveness of gold. However, the expectation of global central banks to raise interest rates remains high, the yield of treasury bond is still high, and gold bulls still have concerns.

　　总结一下昨晚鲍威尔的态度，继续加息是合适的，决定将逐次会议作出，加息的速度取决于未来的数据，不排除任何加息幅度，美联储可能需要在未来某个时候卖出所持抵押贷款支持证券。当然存在经济衰退的可能性，但是美联储没有试图引发经济衰退，实现软着陆将非常具有挑战性，当前的衰退风险并非尤其偏高，经济增速正在放缓。美联储坚定致力于让通胀率回到2%，目标是放缓增速，而不是打压需求，美联储对解决油价问题无能为力。

　　黄金从技术面来看，日线级别震荡；MACDBonding,KDJBonding, interweaving of moving average lines, closing of Bollinger lines, lack of clear direction for short lines, pay attention to Bollinger line tracks1817.72-1873.82Regional breakthrough situation. At present, gold prices are located below the majority of the moving averages and the middle track of the Bollinger Line, while breaking through the middle track of the Bollinger Line1845.77In the front and back markets, there was a slight downward trend towards volatility. If it falls below the support of the Bollinger Line, it will increase the short-term bearish signal and is expected to further explore in the future1800INTEGER GATES AND5Monthly low point1786.70Nearby support. If the gold price breaks through the middle track of the Bolin Line1845.77Nearby resistance increases short-term bullish signals, further resistance at last week's high1857.39附近。日线图上看，金价自1879US dollar starts to decline((iii))Wave trend, expected to decline38.2%Target bit1798USD.((iii))Waves are from1998The downward trend of the US dollar openingCThe sub waves of the waves. Looking at the hourly chart, the price of gold varies from1848US dollar starts to declineiii浪走势，料下探61.8%Target bit1826USD and76.4%Target bit1821USD.iiiWaves are from1858The downward trend of the US dollar opening(iii)Waves.(iii)Waves are((iii))浪的子浪。综上所述，黄金今日操作思路上郭晟衫建议反弹高空为主，回调低多为辅，上方重点关注1840-1845Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1815-1810Frontline support.

　　crude oilLatest Market Analysis

Thursday(6month23day)，国际油价继续回落，延续隔夜逾4%的跌势，因投资者重新评估经济衰退的风险以及主要经济体加息对燃料需求的影响。西方对俄罗斯制裁的影响比大多数人此前估计的要小。目前地缘方面存在较大的不确定事件，等待进一步方向指引。前期欧盟制裁导致俄减产预期的地缘利多支撑，已经开始向欧佩克增产预期的地缘利空压力逐渐转移。若欧佩克确认结束减产周期，短期油价或见顶回落；如果欧佩克维持减产，油价或仍高位震荡。

　　原油技术面分析：原油方面，昨日走了典型的极弱跟随。前一日大跌之后，早间小幅安抚那天，而测试位置刚好在前面凌晨高点。二次回撤欧盘下跌。这是极弱。而美盘二次探底回升，却凌晨走了延续回撤。整体来看，原油价格回测100美元关口势在必行了，整个市场的利空因素不断，加之多头的获利了结，短线油价再度冲高有点难度。日线级别，布林带开口向下，价格跌破下轨一线支撑，走势震荡偏空，早间开盘延续昨日下跌，日内有望试探100The US dollar barrier.4小时，布林带开口向下，价格成震荡下行态势，价格反弹力度不大，日内操作思路明确反弹做空即可，上方关注107.0A line of resistance.

US crude oil fluctuated and retreated within the day102.3After the first line, there was a rebound from the decline, and the pressure was measured before the European market105There has been some obstruction, but currently it is rebounding again to the high point107附近，回顾日内整体走势，虽然未超出预期判断的区间，但走势节奏偏强，以及下方并未给出新的低点的状态，还是超出预期范畴的。1The hourly chart runs down the steps, slowly descending with the high point. If the secondary high point of short-term operation does not recover, this downward trend will continue, and the rebound will remain high in operation. The short-term high point106.8Short orders can be followed up nearby, and the low point will start with Wednesday's low point101.5，综上所述总结：原油在经过连续下跌后，今日原油操作上郭晟衫建议反弹布局空单为主，上方关注107-108USD frontline, lower support attention102-101One line of US dollars.

Author/Guo Sheng Shirt

My Interpretation of World Economic News,Analyzing the Global Investment Trends,Has in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, silver, etc,Guo Shengshan, Technical Director, provides an online solution,Loss recovery,One on one real-time guidance due to network push latency,The above content is personal suggestion,Due to the timeliness of online publications,For reference only,At one's own risk,Please indicate the source for reprinting.