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I really like a saying: An important choice is worth a thousand times your effort. The poor refuse in doubt, while the rich seek proof in doubt. Choosing the right one will get twice the result with half the effort, while choosing the wrong one will accelerate your demise.
Xiao Yizhou has no colorful language here, no flashy boasting, and no patience to win without pride or defeat. As a friend who treats the market with the most genuine attitude and sincerely invests in the market, I hope that my years of experience can provide you with a reasonable and scientific solution to add to the icing on the cake. It is not so unrealistic to provide timely assistance. Hope to communicate with you who are confused and confused! 【vx:xyz158986,QQ:467477536】
The characteristic of beginners is that they do not understand technology and blindly enter the field. They only consider the first issue in each transaction: they believe that as long as they anticipate market fluctuations, they can proceed with the transaction. This approach of prioritizing direction over position resulted in a complete defeat for traders. In fact, there is a big difference between "momentum" and "direction" that follow the trend, because the direction of market movement shows a fluctuating pattern, and the market trend is often global. What I can do here is to help you control your position reasonably, use support and resistance to place orders, and make every order reasonable and traceable. The buying and selling points should not be entered randomly, please be responsible for your own funds. At the end of the article, Xiao Yizhou wants to say that if you are really unsure of the market situation, you can come and find Xiao Yizhou. Having an additional analyst will not cause you any loss. Always remember the saying: professional people do professional things, and all practical battles are only for profit, while cooperation is only for win-win. 【vx:xyz158986,QQ:467477536】
goldMessage interpretation:
Last week, the rebound of gold prices was hindered, and the trend was fluctuating and under pressure at the beginning of this week. On Wednesday, gold prices continued to hit new lows this week. In the European market, gold prices quickly rebounded from low levels and recovered all the losses of this week. After the opening of the US market, gold's rise narrowed. Xiao Yizhou believes that Federal Reserve Chairman Powell testified in Congress that there is definitely a possibility of a US economic recession, and the challenge of a soft landing is great, which has led to a decline in the US dollar and US bond yields, Driven by the rebound in gold prices, after the rise of gold, market expectations for global central bank interest rate hikes remain high, while US dollar and US bond yields remain high, causing concerns among bulls, which has weighed on gold's retreat from gains.
Looking ahead to the future, the overall gold market is still in a wide range of fluctuations. On the one hand, the Federal Reserve is fighting inflation, with strong US dollar and US bond yields, putting pressure on gold prices. On the other hand, inflation pressure, geopolitical situation, and concerns about economic slowdown provide support for gold prices, which may be difficult to break through in the short term.
In terms of news, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's congressional testimony acknowledged that a significant interest rate hike could lead to an economic recession, making a soft landing very challenging. Deutsche Bank and Citibank expect that the global economy will50%The possibility of falling into recession, UK and Canada5Monthly inflation approaching40New year high, previously achieved in the United States5Monthly inflation approaching40New high for the year, and the market's interest rate hike cycle for the Federal Reserve has exceeded11The expectations for the mid month elections have significantly decreased, and the above news has supported gold prices. Market expectations for global central bank interest rate hikes remain high, with the Federal Reserve7May raise interest rates in the month50Basis points or75A basis point, the European Central Bank may7Monthly interest rate increase25Basis points, and within9The possibility of a significant interest rate hike in the month is unfavorable for gold prices.
Technical analysis of gold:
Yesterday's low rebound of gold did not change the volatility, and the daily line followed a downward trend to recover and close positive. The overall operation is still within the range, with no obvious signs of unilateral breakthroughs. In the short term, it will still fall into a repeated tug of war, but temporarily in a downward trend of consolidation and correction. In terms of technical structure, the daily line is still fluctuating and slightly downward, but the short term is circuitous and repetitive.4After a negative drop of hours earlier, the single positive rose rapidly yesterday, but the closing was still unstable. The next day, there was still a slight rebound in the opening and a return to the east1836Oscillating operation below, rebound not closing high, lack of continuity, combined withKThe line structure and back and forth sawing are the main style, not the beginning of unilateral direction. In the short term, it may continue to maintain this wide range of oscillation sawing, with operations mainly focused on ultra short lines. The interval checkpoint is crucial. In summary, Xiao Yizhou suggests that gold's operation strategy for today should focus on rebounding from high altitude, supplemented by a pullback from low, with a focus on the above1848-1853Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1815-1820Frontline support.
crude oilMarket trend analysis
Thursday(6month23During the Asian session, US Oil fell slightly and is currently trading at103.80dollar/Near the barrel, international oil prices continue to decline, continuing overnight for over4%The decline is due to investors reassessing the risk of economic recession and the impact of interest rate hikes in major economies on fuel demand. There is more data to prove that the impact of sanctions on Russia's crude oil supply is smaller than most people had previously estimated. morningAPIData shows that last week, US crude oil and gasoline inventories rose, and US President Biden called for a suspension of gasoline taxes. Coupled with the Fed's aggressive interest rate hikes, economic recession concerns have been raised, which could push down oil prices and lead to a short-term return of oil prices100Gateway.
From a technical perspective, the rebound at the end of last night's trading session cannot be considered a reversal. The daily distribution belt is open, and the three track structure is still extending downwards. The development of each moving average is in a bearish arrangement, which is crucial at the beginning of the weekMA5Moving average resistance from111.2Move down to107.8On the front line, real-time oil prices are still operating below the Bollinger band, and the overall structure is completely bearish control. The main idea is to treat it as bearish.4The operating trajectory of the Bollinger belt on the hourly market is relatively empty, and only one physical positive was received from yesterday's US market during the trading sessionKThe real-time price rebound is limited, and a good signal is that the price is running above the lower track of the Bollinger band, which can be considered as a preliminary stop down signal. On the attached indicatorsMACDThe fast and slow lines are glued together in the oversold area, with a knot golden cross signal,KDJThe random indicator is a golden cross, and there is also room for rebound in the short term. The Bollinger belt in the hour line graph starts to close, and the upper and lower rail sections are temporarily determined106.9-102.5The box is vibrating, and the short-term approach should be as close to the high and low points as possible to build a warehouse. Overall, today's market is closely watched above106.9-108.7Resistance, pay attention below102.5-101In terms of support and operation, Xiao Yizhou suggests building warehouses at high altitudes instead of short-term ones.
How to achieve stable profitability, the following6Points are important:
① Learn to let funds enter the market in batches. Once a loss occurs during the first market entry, the first principle is not to blindly increase the size. The initial position established has sufficient profit margin before gradually increasing the size.
② When the account is small, try not to make overnight orders. Close the position on the same day of trading, especially on weekends, and do not hold orders for weekends!
③ Try not to exceed each loss5Point: Before placing each order, it is important to achieve precise point positioning and set a stop loss point for oneself(Generally not exceeding5Points)Once it exceeds this range, it indicates either a wrong direction or a poor selection of the order point. Therefore, the initial loss is often the smallest loss, and the correct approach is to quickly recognize the loss.
④ : The daily loss cannot exceed two times: If there are two consecutive losses on each trading day, it indicates poor condition. The correct approach is to stop trading, take a day off, or even3From day to week. Calm down and reflect on where you were wrong?If traders are not stopped, there is a possibility of continuous errors and retaliatory errors in making orders!
⑤ Profit management: Set a practical and feasible profit goal for oneself, and do not aim too high. Small goals are easy to achieve and there is little psychological pressure. Although big goals are admirable, they are difficult to implement and can potentially increase pressure. After each account profit reaches the set goal, funds must be raised to prepare for a second battle in case of unforeseen circumstances!
⑥ A successful trader must be good at financial management. No matter how easy it is to make money, one must save the fruits of every hard work. Understand the principle that cash is king, and always be vigilant against unexpected events that may occur in the market, leading to the consequences of stock outflows!Therefore, it is necessary to prepare oneself for the ability to fight again. 【vx:xyz158986,QQ:467477536】
Confidence is the guarantee of success, and those who are good at fighting will not be good at it, and those who are good at it will not be good at it. I hope Xiao Yizhou's article can bring you harvest and have a smooth sailing in your future investments. If you have any questions, you can talk to me. I am not only a guidance teacher, but also a friend worth making in your life. Xiao Yizhou captures the ever-changing market with rich experience, precise perspective, and sharp judgment!
——This article is exclusively contributed by Xiao Yizhou. Please indicate the source when reprinting. Online publishing is subject to review, and the intraday market is volatile. The above suggestions are for reference only. To obtain daily real-time strategies and current price lists, you can add Xiao Yizhou【vx:xyz158986,QQ:467477536】
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