Guide Metallographer:6.23Today's gold trend analysis shows that the weakness of gold is obvious

　　goldMessage interpretation:

Yesterday(6month22day)Federal Reserve Chairman Powell stated during the Senate semi annual hearing that the Federal Reserve will be firmly committed to reducing inflation and must bring the inflation rate back to2%； Do not exclude any interest rate hikes, including100Basis points. Powell also acknowledged that the US economy may fall into recession and achieving a soft landing is very challenging. Chicago Fed Chairman Evans stated that significant interest rate hikes are needed in the coming months,7Monthly interest rate increase75A basis point will be in line with ongoing concerns that inflation has not slowed down and there is no need to raise interest rates100Basis points. If inflation improves, interest rates can be raised50Basis points. Philadelphia Fed Chairman Huck stated that the United StatesGDPThere may be several quarters of negative growth, but this is not necessarily an economic recession, and the US labor market is still very tight. Huck also stated that the Federal Reserve should raise interest rates to3%Then, based on the data, choose whether to pause interest rate hikes or not.

Due to rising market concerns about economic recession, US bond yields have fallen, and the attractiveness of gold has increased. The US dollar index briefly fell below yesterday104At the checkpoint, gold starts trading during the European period1823The nearby low point has significantly increased, and the highest point has surged up to1847.6frontline. But Federal Reserve officials say they will continue to increase interest rates to reduce inflation, which limits the rise of gold1847.5The front line once again fell back to1832Nearby, it swallowed up most of the increase. The fundamental influencing factors of the gold market fluctuate back and forth between inflationary pressure and the Federal Reserve's commitment to fighting inflation. In the short term, gold is likely to continue to maintain a range fluctuation pattern. Today's focus is on the evening22：00Powell's speech.

Technical analysis of gold:

Yesterday's low rebound of gold did not change the volatility, and the daily line followed a downward trend to recover and close positive. The overall operation is still within the range, with no obvious signs of unilateral breakthroughs. In the short term, it will still fall into a repeated tug of war, but temporarily in a downward trend of consolidation and correction. In terms of technical structure, the daily line is still fluctuating and slightly downward, but the short term is circuitous and repetitive.4After a negative drop of hours earlier, the single positive rose rapidly yesterday, but the closing was still unstable. The next day, there was still a slight rebound in the opening and a return to the east1836Oscillating operation below, rebound not closing high, lack of continuity, combined withKThe line structure and back and forth sawing are the main style, not the beginning of unilateral direction. In the short term, it may continue to maintain this wide range of oscillation sawing, with operations mainly focused on ultra short lines. The interval checkpoint is crucial. In summary, the guidelines for today's operation of gold suggest that the gold industry should focus on rebounding from high altitudes, supplemented by a pullback from low altitudes, with a focus on the above1848-1853Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1815-1820Frontline support.

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